جستجوی مقالات مرتبط با کلیدواژه « چشم انداز 20 ساله » در نشریات گروه « پزشکی »

The divorce has reached its critical point in Iran and many families are involved in it, so it has caused many researchers to investigate this issue. The main purpose of this study is to investigate the optimal scenario of divorce status in future generations of the Iranian family in a 20-year perspective.

The research method is qualitative in screenwriting type. One of the objectives of future studies is “describing alternative futures” and screenwriting is one of its mediums. The statistical population of this study included family specialists (sociologists, family lawyers, psychologists, faculty members) in 2019. Considering the data saturation, 19 specialists were selected through purposive sampling method and were interviewed through semi-structured interview. Content analysis was used to analyze the results of the interviews.

The results showed that the development of central scenarios of divorce status in future generations of the Iranian family can affect the status of divorce in the future. There are also favorable socio-cultural beliefs and contexts about the importance of the family in Iranian society that can play a decisive role in planning and policy-making aimed at managing and controlling the extent and severity of family injuries and the rate of divorce (especially future generations).

Therefore, the divorce rate (formal and affective) will decrease in the future generations through correct, preventive, managed and on-time practical solutions at macro policy making level.

Introduction and The divorce has reached its critical point in Iran and many families are involved in it, so it has caused many researchers to investigate this issue. The main purpose of this study is to investigate the optimal scenario of divorce status in future generations of the Iranian family in a 20-year perspective. The research method is qualitative in screenwriting type. One of the objectives of future studies is “describing alternative futures” and screenwriting is one of its mediums. The statistical population of this study included family specialists (sociologists, family lawyers, psychologists, faculty members) in 2019. Considering the data saturation, 19 specialists were selected through purposive sampling method and were interviewed through semi-structured interview. Content analysis was used to analyze the results of the interviews. The results showed that the development of central scenarios of divorce status in future generations of the Iranian family can affect the status of divorce in the future. There are also favorable socio-cultural beliefs and contexts about the importance of the family in Iranian society that can play a decisive role in planning and policy-making aimed at managing and controlling the extent and severity of family injuries and the rate of divorce (especially future generations). Therefore, the divorce rate (formal and affective) will decrease in the future generations through correct, preventive, managed and on-time practical solutions at macro policy making level.

The decision regarding internationalization in Iran higher education seems indispensable. This necessity is in line with the implementation of the objectives of Iran’s 20-year vision plan that is, turning country into the supreme scientific power of the region. Therefore, the purpose of this study is developing an international model of higher education among the national North-Eastern Universities of Iran in 2018”.

This study was a qualitative and quantitative study with an exploratory design which was conducted in 2018. As to the qualitative part, the sample included 18 members of the scientific experts at national universities who were selected by a purposeful method regarding the saturation rule. At the quantitative section, it included 302 experts who were selected using the random stratified sampling. The data collection instrument was semi-structured interview. As to the quantitive part, it was researcher-made questionnaire about the internationalization of higher education. To identify the components at the qualitative part, the content analysis method was used. Also, at the quantitative section, model analysis was done using the structural equations modeling.

The results of the exploratory analysis show that from among the 126 of the indicators, 8 main dimensions are identifiable. To be more specific, the opinions of the reliable professors of this field were asked; the identified dimensions were as follow: political strategies, academic strategies, communicative strategies, the establishment of the special organization, the political structure and relationships, inter-university approaches, service-orienteers, and the flexible leadership. Later on, the model designation was done using Structural Equation Modeling. The t value for the internationalization of higher education dimensions in this research was estimated to be between 16. 33 to 24. 40 which was bigger than the given t value (1.96). The political strategies (F1) had the highest t value, but the political structure and the relationships (F5) had the lowest t value.

Regarding the findings, it could be concluded that, all the aforementioned dimensions have desirable and direct impact on the internationalization of higher education.