فصلنامه مطالعات راهبردی
سال نوزدهم شماره 3 (پیاپی 73، پاییز 1395)

Given the recent developments in Turkey, the question is that how the clash between the government and the Kurdish opposition party as well as the failed coup de eta against Erdogan government will affect the internal gaps and future politics of the country. According to the hypothesis of this paper, the authoritarian and ideological approach of the AK party (nationalistic and Islamist), Especially of its leadership, i. e. President Erdogan, and it's not willingness to solve the problems caused by the gaps between the Alavids, Sunnis, Turks and Kurds, welcome pie did domestic gaps more and more and so will extend and escalate the political crisis in Turkey.

of the paper believes that the July 2016 Coup in Turkey is a result of deviation from Neo-Ottomanism and its prototype model. In fact the concept grew up after 2002 in the following models: Aspirational model, Optional Activism, Forced Activism and finally Coward Teenager model at domestic and external levels and actually the coup was led by the three latters along with a deviation from the first, aspirational model.
President Erdogan actions against the coup although will weaken the civil society but will not eradicate it at all. They will just delay civil society's advancement.
Erdogan' policies to realizing a prototype Neo-ottoman political system will face a contradiction and in a very near future they will loose in favor of the civil society. Erdogan' era from now on will have to focus on internal crises while being passive in the field of foreign policy.

The paper discusses the Turkish leadership, especially of president Erdogan, perception about the new developments in the Middle East and its influence on the country's foreign policy.
The main argument of the paper is that the founding factor in Turkey's foreign policy and behavior is not merely the concrete developments in its strategic environment but is its leadership and especially Erdogan's perception from those developments.

The Syrian crisis has led to a very important restructure of power and region of groupings. With the analysis that President Assad's government over meant is going to be toppled down very soon, Turkey supported the Syrian a position in a very strong way. After extension of the crisis, the Syrian Kurdish party (PYD) which is equivalence of PKK for Turkey took the power in northern Syria which is located closer to southern Turkish border. In this situation, there I S I L and Turkey began to keep closed eye on it and became passive. This led to termination of peace process in Turkey and in the meantime labeled Turkey as supporter of t ISIL. The authors of the paper believe that enjoying realism and ontology approach, the Turkish approach against the I S I L can be analyzed; it behavior that for the Turkish leaders is because of the absence of optimal options and security concerns.

Russia has been taking a position against military interventions in other countries and has been supporter of territorial integrity of the sovereign states, now the question is that which interests have let the country to initiate a military operation in Syria. The authors have chosen the following reasons to illustrate the new Russian policy in this regard: the Russian Federation needs to prove itself as a very powerful actor in its own security environment; the Syria, Iran, Iraq and Lebanon Hezbollah axis should be supported at the regional level; and finally the extremist Islamic groups activities in Northern Caucasia should be prevented.

The main argument discussed at the paper is that the Azeri officials are thinking about the relationship with Israel in the context of their dispute with Armenia especially on the Karabakh issue. In this context they are mainly seeking for having the advanced military equipment and technologies from Israel as well as to acquire the support of Zionist lobby in the USA against Armenia. Israel and its turn values its relationship with Azerbaijan within the context of this so-called peripheral doctrine The main purpose of which is to cope with the Islamic Republic of your own in terms of political, military, intelligence as well as economic matters.