فصلنامه سیاست های راهبردی و کلان
پیاپی 4 (زمستان 1392)

The ability of attraction and maintaining of skillful، multifunction and entrepreneur employees with high capability for act in complex situation is one of the key success factors of world class organization but in the other hand، decreasing staff commitment to a company and willingness to more freedom، is a new challenge for those corporations. This a more significant problem in higher education because there is a completion between universities worldwide for attraction of third world countries talents. This study tries to investigate on brain drain effective factors and then formulate new strategies using QFD model. We categorized our factors in two groups: Pull & Push factors. Using TOPSIS method، we prioritized factors and found that (Weaknesses of society in consideration to meritorious) is in the most priority and (Low level of salary) is not important. Using a comprehensive QFD interview with 11 managers of surveyed universities، we found 12 new strategies and based on QFD relative and absolute weight، (Benchmarking from best practices) and (Idealistic social environment) are the most important strategies to do. Keywords: Talent attraction، Brain drain، Higher education، Higher education System. The ability of attraction and maintaining of skillful، multifunction and entrepreneur employees with high capability for act in complex situation is one of the key success factors of world class organization but in the other hand، decreasing staff commitment to a company and willingness to more freedom، is a new challenge for those corporations.

The objective of this study is to analyze impact of various types of government expenditures on poverty reduction in Iran.. Estimation is based on time series data 1981-2012، using a system of equations including variables affecting poverty and income distribution. The system equations is based on a framework that designed by World Bank، include poverty، income distribution، economic growth and basic social indicators functions that according to simultaneity and diagonality of variance –covariance matrix of residual tests has been estimated with “three stage least square” method. Government expenditures are disaggregated into different types social affairs، economic affairs and other sectors. The system equation shows that spending on social sectors is more likely to benefit the poor than are other types of expenditure. enhance of human capital and social expenditure has a positive effect on decreasing Gini index، improvements in education and health statue have contributed significantly to economic growth. totally، The results reveal that public investments on social affairs that improve social indicators and human development index impacts on poverty reduction and improve in equity.

The aim of this paper is to forecast inflation and price index in Iran. This data includes annual inflation and monthly data of consumer price index in Iran from 1340 to 1392. In this research، artificial neural network is used to forecast inflation. In this paper are used Error-Back Propagation (BP) with 15 neurons and a radial basis network (RBF) with 10 neurons in the middle layer. For predicting the monthly consumer price index were used the back-propagation with five neurons and neural network with 15 neurons in the middle layer. In the first layers were used sigmoid transfer function and the second layers were used linear transfer function. The remaining 70% of observations is used for testing and training the network. Network input and output price index has been used، consumer price index، with a 12 break in the current period to predict consumer price index in period 12. Based on these results of this paper، it is expected that the inflation reduce to 27. 3 with BP approach.

This paper adopts Kalman filter approach to investigate factors affecting the supply of Iran’s non-oil exports during the period 1981-2011. This approach examines the structural instability in the coefficients of the models and allows for parameters change over time. In view of the structure of Iran’s non-oil exports، the empirical results imply that the elasticity of Iran’s non-oil exports supply to domestic product، price and exchange rate during the war years were very unstable. With the end of the war and the relative stability of the economy، the elasticities show little fluctuations. In sum، the elasticity of Iran’s non-oil exports supply to domestic product، and exchange rate were positive، however the elasticity of Iran’s non-oil exports supply to price was negative. This means that increasing in domestic product and exchange rate has positive impact on the Iran’s non-oil exports supply. On the other hand، inflation influences negatively the Iran’s non-oil exports supply.

Man and his abilities is the main base of innovation. Although in past the comparative advantage based on natural resource endowments، but in the twentieth it is man and his capability’s that create comparative advantage. In other words man can using their technical kknowledge، creative force، skills and education and with discovery of human needs and producing new goods will established foundation of modern knowledge economy. The role of population growth and its impact on all aspects of life، especially economic impact has been one of the main interests of researcher. The population growth is one of the most important issues facing developing countries and the impact of population growth on the innovations is one of the controversial topics. Hence this paper examines the impact of population growth on innovation in selected developing countries during 1975-2000. The results indicate that population growth، human capital and intellectual property rights ate directly related to innovation in developing countries will increase innovation، but the degree of trade openness and interest rates have an inverse relationship to innovation.

In an Islamic democracy system، people have an effective role in creating acceptability for government، in order to make it efficient. But according to some different factors، people’s attitude towards their role and its extent in the government changes during the time; that is an effective factor in determining the interaction between nation and government، and thus determining the acceptability and effectiveness of the government. This study aims to examine Iranian’s attitudes about the ways to improve situation and life standards in Iran and to identify the influence of probable factors in their attitudes. For this purpose، Q methodology is used to explore the attitudes and factors in it. This methodology after identifying the existing discourses، chooses attitudes of different people who were polled and then checks them out، and detects and analyzes the mentality of individuals in each group. The result of this study indicates that، the type of people’s attitude towards relationship between the nation and the government and consequent their role in making government efficient is a determining factor in their approach towards the national issues and problems and the style of their social and political behaviors as well، thus it clearly shows that how senior managers should pay attention to manage public opinion and modifying public attitudes in this case.