Analyzing the Elites Emigration and the Impacts of Preventive Policies by Using System Dynamics

The issue of elite emigration from our country to the developed countries as a social phenomenon is the result of economic, cultural, social and political factors in Iranian society. This phenomenon had harmful impacts on the economic, political and social growth and development processes. Elite emigration has been neglected over the years. Statistics reports show that by each emigration of an elite person from Iran, $ 5 million of the Iran's capital will be lost. Therefore, it is essential to find the motivations of elite emigration and explore the strategies and practical solutions for the elite emigration. Thus, the aim of this study is to analyze a variety of scenarios and their impacts on the rate of emigration. Due to the complexity of the problem and causal relations, feedbacks and causal loops, system dynamics approach was used in this study. The model performed in Vensim software. Results show that the policy of reducing tension in foreign relations has not a significant impact on the rate of elite emigration. In addition, according to the results of proposed policies, it is recommended to the government and policy makers to respect the meritocracy in the scientific, management job appointments as well as improve the job security and employment status of elites.