Analysis of tectonic seismic activity in the Tabas area

Independent estimates of deterministic and probabilistic methods of hazard analysis in the region of Tabas City were conducted in this study . Gutenberg - Richter relation for Tabas was obtained by analyses of seismic data based on LogN= 2.3 - 0.50 Ms. The greatest horizontal acceleration on Tabas city is 0.7g rsulted from Shotori thrust with a shaking power of 7.4 Richters. The obtained results show that, Kalmard fault with length of 170 km and distance of 50 kilometers from Tabas, has the highest impact after Shotori thrust. So that, the most expected seismic (8.93 Richter), the maximum relative intensity at the center (8.32), the maximum horizontal displacement at the center (29.82cm) and the maximum vertical displacement (66.70cm) are the result of this fault on Tabas. Using geostatistical analysis tool in ArcGIS (ordinary kriging), a suitable model was introduced for mapping the maximum gravitational acceleration. Using this map, zones with high and very high seismic risks and two liner earthquake sources with NE- SW trend (west of Tabas) as a result of Kalmard and Ladar faults and NW-SE (east of Tabas) as a result of Shotori, Esfandiar and Nayband faults were identified.