Analysis of Iran Gas Export to Turke

Energy sector is one of the main sectors in each country whit big effect on other economic sectors. Having knowledge on effective factors on energy source, let policy makers have better forecasting. Natural gas is one of the main energy in 21 century which has main rule in global trade. Iran has many gas sources and should use it for export to different countries. in this paper, effects of effective factors on natural gas export to Turkey with pipeline is surveyed with Vector Autoregressive model and impulse response and variance decomposition according to (1994-2014). Results reveal that, the first hypothesis effects of increase of natural gas price is more than decrease of natural gas price on gas export to Turkey is not Confirmed and second hypothes is effects of natural gas price changes on it’s export to Turkey is asymmetric is Confirmed.