Erdoğan; the Mirror of the Opponents and Exponents, and the Future of Turkey
An Analytical View of Turkey's Current Political Picture Based on the Analysis of Election Statistics
The results of Turkish general and presidential parliamentary elections demonstrated that we are not witnessing special changes comparing to previous elections and Erdoğan's Justice and Development Party is still the most popular and influential party in Turkey's society. Still, the votes to the aforementioned party have decreased comparing to the last election. Also, analysis of the results of the opponent parties, especially those of the Republican People's Party, points to the fact that in the mid-term, the replacement of the dominant party and passing of the power is highly unlikely. Bahçeli's National Movement Party supported Erdoğan and Justice and Development Party during this election; their coalition put the opposition in a much more difficult situation, especially because Meral Akşener, the Good Party's leader, refused to accept and introduce Abdullah Gül as the common candidate of the opponent parties. The results related to Kurds suggest that in the Kurdish regions of South and East South, the main competition is between the two poles supporting Erdoğan and Öcalan, and other parties have very few votes in these regions. The People's Democratic Party which is a satellite party of Kurdistan Worker's Party (PKK) could get acceptable results despite difficult situation and many limitations. Evidence suggests that in Turkey's macro political picture and in the new presidential system, Erdoğan can have the opportunity to take actions in order to achieve the "2023 Vision" goals; however, he should also take some problems and obstacles of the way into consideration.
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