Priority Setting of Breeding Research Under Risk Conditions in the Caspian Coastal Plain (Case Study of Golestan Province)

The national agricultural research systems of developing countries have faced limited resources in recent decades and are not able to finance all the research needs of the agricultural sector. In such an environment, the necessity of optimal use of limited financial resources through prioritization is proposed as the most important solution to face the challenge of limited financial resources. Therefore This study was conducted to prioritize crop breeding research Agricultural and Natural Resources Research and Education Center of Golestan Province.

This study was conducted by using the economic surplus analysis, efficient utility programming and simulation method.

Based on the results, breeding research on irrigated wheat, cotton, rain-fed wheat, soybeans, irrigated barley, rice, irrigated rapeseed, rain-fed barley, potatoes, rain-fed rapeseed, rain-fed chickpeas, corn, durum wheat and sunflower are in the first to fourteenth priorities of Budget allocations respectively. The results of sensitivity analysis showed that different combinations of budget allocation can be presented between breeding research that have more benefits than the initial optimal research portfolio.

It was suggested that priority setting be considered in checking and approval research projects, and according to the changes in the preferences of the National Agricultural Research System over time, priority setting should be done in five-year time periods to be revised the limited resources allocation among research alternatives.