Thresholds Value of Soil Trace Elements for the Suitability of Eucalyptus (The Case Study of Guadiamar Green Corridor)

The development of suitability species models look for the availability to growth in a study area. These models can be used for different targets. In this research, a suitability model of Eucalyptus has been developed to soils contaminated by trace elements management. Guadiamar Green Corridor has been selected due to the huge data available regarding trace elements, forestry species and so on. Logistic regression (LR) and Random Forest (RF), as popular machine learning model, were applied in a geodatabase from Guadiamar Green Corridor with more of 20 years of data. This database is composed by soil physical and chemical variables, climate (temperature min and max, annual precipitation), forestry species. The results show the poor performance of LR and RF applied directly over the unbalanced training set. However, when Up-sampling or SMOTE are applied, both procedures improve its sensitivity, however, RF show more improve that LR. The methodology applied can help to determine the potential distribution of Eucalyptus in similar Mediterranean areas and extended to different areas according to Soil, Climate and Trace Elements data. Finally, the models developed under this research work can be used to reduce human and environmental health by trace elements taking into account local conditions but also climate change scenarios.