The Analysis of Fiscal Policy's Effects on Iran's Trade Account with Emphasis on Government Expenditure

The aim of this research is to analyse of empirical relationship of fiscal policy and Iranian trade account in the years 1338-1385(1959-2006). In and econometrics model the methods of Engle and Granger (1987), Johansen (1988), ARDL, pessaran and Shin(1998), Philips and Hansen(1990), have been used to find out the effects of variables such as government expenditures(the component of public demand), Private investment and private consumption (the component of private demand), and other related variable, on the trade account. The results show that firstly increase in the government expenditure, private consumption and investment deteriorate the trade account. Secondly, a long run equilibrium relationship between variables composing the import function will be verifid in extended assertion.