The Prospect of the United States and Saudi Arabia’s Relations In Light of the Khashoggi Murder
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Article Type:
Research/Original Article (دارای رتبه معتبر)
Abstract:
A decade after the establishment of the Saudi regime Riyadh and Washingtonconstructed a strategic alliance between themselves in 1945. On the other hand,given the “Pivot to Asia” doctrine adopted by the Obama and TrumpAdministrations, the decline of Washington's dependence on Saudi oil, as wellas some important events such as the murdering of Saudi journalist JamalKhashoggi by Riyadh officials, the prospect of relations between the twocountries has been highlighted in political circles. Based on a scenarioplanningstudy, the current paper tries to answer the question: “what willhappen to the future of US-Saudi relations considering the aftermath of theKhashoggi murder?” Concerning the impact of this fiasco on the future of USSaudirelations, we can logically consider five scenarios: the continuation of thestatus quo, the deepening of strategic relations, the decline of strategic relations,a strategic shift, and, finally, the elimination of strategic relations. But givenongoing circumstances, the deepening or end of strategic relations is unlikely tohappen, the present article only focuses on the three other scenarios; thecontinuation of the status quo, the power shift and the decline of strategicrelations amidst the two countries. However, the removal of Mohammed binSalman (MBS) from the position of crown prince (should it be low-cost) couldalso be in Washington's agenda for maintaining strategic ties between the twocountries. The paper's hypothesis is inclined to the status quo scenario and arguesthat with the official stances of the Trump Administration, in particular that ofNovember 20, 2018, the strategic alliance of Riyadh-Washington will continue,with more expenses shouldered from the Riyadh side.
Language:
English
Published:
World Sociopolitical Studies, Volume:2 Issue: 4, Autumn 2018
Pages:
605 to 632
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