نشریه مطالعات دفاعی استراتژیک
پیاپی 57 (پاییز 1393)

The animosity of West arrogant system led by U.S.A. and the Zionist regime against the IRI will be sustained in the future in such a way that the antagonistic soft, semi-soft and if possible hard measures against the IRI will be on their table. The coming war will be the result of knowledge and experience intensity during the history which has contemporarily reached its zenith in respect of knowledge, pace, precision and destruction. One of the effective variables in the coming war is the strategies for countering the enemy which is rooted in the potency, environmental conditions, friends and allies, military knowledge and experience and the conditions of the enemy with her related allies. Due to being in the U.S. interest sphere along with those of her European and regional allies, the presence of her naval fleet and sustainable conflict between U.S. marines with those of the IRI, vitality for the IRI's national security as well as for regional and global security, the battlefield of Persian Gulf is more potential for such a conflict. Accordingly, conducting studies to achieve the appropriate strategies for such a counteraction could highly help us in the possible war. The present study is an applied one in type which is conducted upon descriptive- analytic and case-field methods. The population and sample of the study includes 61 who have been selected upon full-counting. In this study, using the theoretical principles and the related literature, the internal and external factors are extracted and by means of SWOT and SPSS, the primary strategies are explored and then by QSPM, the strategies are promoted and sequenced. In the final stage, out of 11 combined strategies six strategies are prioritized for counteraction and the next five ones are set in the subsequent preferences of policy-making.

Contemporarily sea is of a critical significance in growth and life of nations. The national interests of the countries possessing sea is directly concerned to their demands, needs, capability and culture in such a way that they are achieved in the format of naval strategy. Meanwhile, given the speeches of the supreme leader as "The navy is a strategic force which should be looked to from a strategic perspective", the present study, given the strategic mission of navy, aims to discuss the inappropriateness of the existing model for educating the deck officers and to develop a model based on empowerment approach. As a developmental and applied research, it was conducted in the training centers of armed forces in Tehran as well as in bases of IRIAN in a combined manner and in the format of exploratory and developmental plans. The population of this study is made up of two expert societies (internal and external) and the overall society of deck specialists. The sampling from experts was conducted upon criterion sampling and from the overall society of specialists, it was conducted upon cluster sampling. The data of the study was gathered through semistructured interview and a researcher-planned questionnaire and then the data were analysed through content-analysis and modeling of structural equations. In the end, the model for indoctrination and education of deck officers is presented with three dimensions, 21 constituents and 102indicators.

Scientific-religious paradigm in socio-cultural and political environments leave various sustainable impacts. Paradigms shape the background and frame of economic policies and the adoption of economic privatization by governments is based on the former. Paradigm is a set of beliefs and presuppositions of scientific community which includes a set of physical and metaphysical, theoretical and instrumental commitments. This is the paradigm which shows how human looks to the man and the world and it also explores the problem and renders the solution. Paradigms encompass law, theory, and measurement instruments and are distinctive from each other in respect of concept, methodology and observation. Meanwhile, the present study aims to propose a model for economic privatization out of the current paradigms including economy, political economy, and Islamic economy. Doing so, the paradigm theory and systematic- interdisciplinary approach (politics, sociology, psychology and strategic management) are applied and for analysis of the data, the study uses Q Correlation Method, and for factor analysis, it operates the SPSS. Out of 42 main propositions and hypotheses specified to the three above-mentioned paradigms of economic privatization, 27 ones are concerned to political economy, and Islamic economy finds a meaningful relation and the 20 main concepts and constituents of which are analysed in the frame of the proposed model. The hypotheses of the mentioned model including constructivist, paradigm-centric and endogenous dimensions could be assumed as the approaches of resilience economy.

The Islamic Revolution of Iran (IRI) faces various levels of threats. In the recent years, the economic threats have been heeded and escalated by the enemy. Accordingly, after the communication of meta policies on selfsufficiency in security and defense in the late 2013 by the supreme leader, the strategy of resilience economy was specifically put on agenda, and the role of defense sector was taken into consideration. On the other side, the concept of learning economy could be heeded in order to implement the resilience economy at a national level. In other words, the transition to learning economy could be assumed as an infrastructure for resilience economy. Transition into learning economy in developing countries means how the economic systems could embed the required qualitative changes into themselves in the face of pressures from environmental changes and the upcoming incremental upheavals. Meanwhile, the present study deals with transition into learning economy in Iran with the approach of science and technology policy and in reliance with defense sector. The approach of the research is an inductive one which is conducted in a qualitative manner and the data are extracted upon grounded theory. Following, it reviews the significant cases in terms of the 11 issues and then presents the political advices.

Perhaps it could be claimed that the daily decisions which were easily taken up to some decades ago have turned into multifaceted equations at the present. This is blatant in all spheres of social life including security, policy, culture and management. Given the domineering ambiguities and many effective variables in decision-taking, application of math-centric methods and sophisticated systems like FCM are new approaches in clearing the ambiguous environment dominating the security and defensive decisions. Meanwhile, the present study aims to explore and simulate the action of effective actors in the performance management of the IRIB by means of the new instrument for analysis, Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM). To do so, the concept of FCM is first explained as the facilitator for decision-taking and analysis of systems. In the following, its application is discussed in the performance of organizations specifically in the IRIB. The method of this study is description-survey which understands and sequences the constituents and variables effective on the performance management, and key considerations and risks effective on the performance and implementation of strategies in the IRIB. Elsewhere, the action of the mentioned factors is simulated through analytic instruments including Pearson's correlation, Friedman Test, Cronbach's alpha coefficient and the FCM. Accordingly, the active and effective forces and constituents in the domineering spatiality of performance management for meeting aims and execution of strategies in the IRIB hit 0/89. Following, the factors effective on the performance management in the IRIB are explained and analysed. In this line, the consequences coming out of the factors and constituents effective on the performance management are rationally predicted in respect of shape. Due to the long process of interview and open questionnaire, the fullcounting is not possible; hence, the factors effective on the performance management are clarified and sequenced upon Panel of Experts and the action of the actors effective on the performance management of the IRIB is simulated by means of FCM.

The model of developmental state in East Asia specially in relation to Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, etc, once again proved the role of developmental state in the process of development and weakness of the neoclassic in terms of market as a balancer. In the model, the role of state is not discussed as the lonely administrator of development and its joint with private sector and society-centric independence is of its obvious features. Accordingly, the main hypothesis of the present study is that the IR of Iran is a rentier state and the main question that it deals with is how the rentierism of the IR of Iran impedes it as a developmental state? To answer the question, the administrations in post-Islamic revolution are reviewed and their dependence on petroleum as the rentier indicator is confirmed according to statistical data. To explain it, it is shown that a rentier state establishes its own relationship with society and the financial independence stemmed from oil revenue aggravates the gap between government and society and also deteriorates the relationship between government and social institutions. Oil rentier allows government to lessen the impact of social classes on public policies and promote its own plans. Hence, public sector plays a key role in enforcing plans, meta policies and economic development. The keyword in this paper is "No taxation-No representation" upon which the IR of Iran as a rentier state reckons itself a meta-class government; therefore, it never turns to a developmental state.