drivers

The international relations between Iran and Russia, as two pivotal players in the global political and economic arenas, have long attracted the attention of researchers and policymakers. Both countries, with their strategic geopolitical Locations, have a significant impact on regional and global developments. Throughout history, relations between Iran-Russia have been characterized by fluctuations shaped by a range of factors, including changes in domestic and foreign policies, regional and global crises and economic and security developments. Bilateral relations have entered a new and dynamic stage in recent decades, especially after the collapse of the Soviet Union and the resulting structural changes in the international system. On the one hand, shared interests in areas such as energy, security and trade have led both countries to seek deeper bilateral and multilateral cooperation. On the other hand, persistent challenges, including international pressures, economic sanctions and political differences, continue to pose significant obstacles to advancing a full-fledged strategic partnership.

Research question: 

This study aims to address the question of what opportunities and obstacles exist in Iran-Russia relations for establishing a strategic partnership?Research hypothesis: Despite the inter-connectedness of Iran-Russia relations in various fields and their extensive cooperation on regional and trans-regional issues, structural, political and economic challenges—including competition in the energy sector, economic sanctions and mutual distrust—have prevented the two countries from achieving a full-fledged strategic partnership.

Methodology and theoretical framework:

 This research uses a qualitative and descriptive approach to analyze the content of selected data along with topic analysis. The theoretical framework of this article is based on the construction of strategic relationships in international relations. The goal of these relations is to bring countries closer together on a global stage, enabling them to pursue and achieve their national interests through proximity.

During the Islamic Republic of Iran, it sought to establish strategic relations with selected governments within the framework of the international system and prioritized a structured approach to these partnerships. Russia stands out as a key country in this effort. Several factors, including historical, political and normative commonalities, provide the foundation for strengthening strategic relations. However, despite some progress, significant challenges remain that prevent the full realization of a sustainable strategic partnership. Iran-Russia relations have evolved over the past four decades, shifting from short-term tactical interactions to more comprehensive cooperation in regional and international geopolitical arenas. Trade relations, with significant growth over the past decade, have been one of the main pillars of this partnership. For instance, Russian exports to Iran increased from $770 million in 2011 to $1.58 billion in 2022, while Iranian exports to Russia increased from $350 million to $750 million over the same period. This economic growth is driven by mutual efforts to counter Western sanctions, with key cooperation in the energy, technology, and agriculture sectors. Joint projects, such as developing oil and gas fields, constructing nuclear power plants and participating in technology transfers, underscore the economic interdependence of the two countries. Geopolitical and security cooperation has also played a vital role, especially in conflict zones such as Syria and during the tensions in Ukraine. In Syria, both countries supported the Assad regime and demonstrated their ability to align with strategic goals. Iran’s stance on the Ukraine crisis further reinforces the country's geopolitical alignment with Russia against Western influence. However, fundamental challenges remain. Geopolitical priorities and diverging national interests often cause friction. Russia’s broader strategies sometimes include aligning with countries that Iran consider enemies, complicating their relations. Domestic political dynamics in both nations further limit their ability to fully commit to a long-term alliance. Despite these obstacles, opportunities remain for deeper cooperation. Strengthening economic ties in energy, technology and agriculture, along with mechanisms for building mutual trust and resolving disputes, could pave the way for a more sustainable and enduring strategic partnership.

Despite a long history of cooperation in geopolitical, security and economic spheres, Iran and Russia have not yet reached the level of a sustainable and comprehensive strategic partnership. This situation is shaped by various structural and systemic challenges that affect their relations at the domestic, regional and international levels. On the other hand, competition in energy markets, different approaches to some regional issues and historical mistrust, especially in economic and political spheres, create significant obstacles to deepening these relations. Western economic sanctions against both countries have created opportunities for closer ties; however, structural challenges, such as inefficient trade mechanisms, underdeveloped transportation infrastructure and a lack of technological innovation, limit their ability to fully capitalize on these opportunities. Additionally, geopolitical issues, such as conflicts in the South Caucasus and Russia's engagement with countries such as the Republic of Azerbaijan and Armenia, further complicate their relations. Furthermore, Iran-Russia relations are heavily influenced by external factors, including Russia’s tensions with the West and Iran’s efforts to reduce its dependence on limited partners and their relations are largely opportunistic and tactical rather than strategic. To overcome these challenges and strengthen their strategic relationship, Iran and Russia should focus on several key areas: 1) Building mutual trust through the development of joint institutions and legal frameworks that ensure long-term benefits for both countries. 2) Enhancing economic and trade cooperation by removing structural barriers, improving transportation infrastructure such as the North-South Corridor and strengthening technology-based partnerships.3) Deepening cultural and social interactions to bridge gaps in understanding and create greater social cohesion. 4) Determining long-term and common foreign policy goals with a focus on countering unilateralism and promoting multilateralism in the international system.

The study of all the different aspects of changes in the population structure, along with its increase or decrease, is accompanied by factors. The macro trends affecting the age structure of the country's population include sub-trends with numerous effects and consequences that are beyond the control and will of the role-players. The macro trends, influenced by key factors and drivers in the population area, are able to bring about extensive changes in the population structure. The present study aims to determine the macro trends and environmental trends, key factors and drivers affecting changes in the age structure of the population of the Islamic Republic of Iran, with an emphasis on military defense. This study is descriptive-analytical in terms of research method, and after receiving the opinion of the statistical population (30 people), the data were analyzed and the final result was obtained. The research findings show that three environmental macro-trends including: "economic changes", "cultural changes" and "social changes", with four key factors of mortality, migration, infertility and population development policies and programs, along with three drivers of cognitive warfare, technology and lifestyle, will affect the age structure of the country's population with an emphasis on military defense, and as a result, the country will face a significant population decline.

The region of West Asia isof special importance fromthe pointof view of geo-economics,geopolitics and geostrategic, so that after the discovery of oil in West Asia,this black substance found avery important and decisive role in the oreign policy of West Asian countries.Today,West Asia supplies a third of the world's oil,and the main question is,what are the main drivers affecting the importanceof oil and the regional security of West Asia in thefuture,and what effectswill these drivers have on stability in this region?In response,the hypothesiscan be put forward that the reduction of oil consumption based on increasing environmental concerns and efforts to not depend onoil,has led to the push of oil-producing countries to exploit the non-oil economy,which is the field of non-oil economic cooperation in the framework of It will create mutual dependence inthe West Asian region,which will increase the security factor and reduce the possibility of conflict in the region.The findings of the research indicate that the discovery of oil for the first time in Iran and West Asia turned this region into the"largest oil region in the world"The issue that made West Asia a ieldof competition for great powers.Therefore,if until now the other inherent superiority of West Asia was important for global and regional powers and acted as a tool for regional actors,after the emergence of oil, the function of West Asia for the region and beyond has undergone a fundamental transformation.

The West Asian region is of special importance for the great powers in terms of geostrategy, geoeconomics, and geopolitics, and for this reason, the history of the past one century in this region has had many ups and downs. The countries of this region cannot be separated from each other in terms of their specific complexities and the increasing regional and extra-regional threats, as well as the existing concerns, and the insecurity of each of these countries can lead to the insecurity of other countries. For this reason, realizing the interests of the Islamic Republic of Iran in the region and what scenario can bring the interests of the Islamic Republic of Iran in this region, or in other words, monitoring possible scenarios and designing a scenario that guarantees Iran's vital values contains strategic value and It is of special importance for the Islamic Republic of Iran that the main question of the present research was also focused on what are the possible future scenarios of the regional order in West Asia? Based on this, Digzi's sub-questions were designed as follows: Who are the most important actors in the regional order of West Asia? What are the most important key and influential factors in the regional order of West Asia? What are the most important drivers of regional order in West Asia? What are the most important key uncertainties in the regional order of West Asia? Since the main goal of this research was to achieve possible future scenarios of the regional order in West Asia, other sub-goals were considered to achieve the main goal as follows: Identifying the most important actors in the West Asian region Identifying the most important key and influential factors in the regional order of West Asia Identifying the most important drivers of regional order in West Asia Identification of key uncertainties in the regional order of West Asia Therefore, in this research, with the GBN future research method and by conducting interviews with 25 experts and elites familiar with the West Asian area and analyzing them with the content analysis method, as well as the data obtained from the questionnaires distributed among 36 people from the statistical community in the form of With Excel and SPSS software, we purposefully identified actors, actors, surprise makers, drivers and uncertainties, and the following results were obtained:First, the most important active and effective actors in the regional order of West Asia were determined: transformational actors in West Asia are divided into two categories: regional and extra-regional actors. The regional actors of West Asia are the four powers of Iran, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and the usurping Zionist regime. America is considered the main actor in the developments of West Asia at the extra-regional level, and other countries, including the European Union and the Zionist regime, will move in line with it. Then, the most important key and influential factors in the environment including military, economic, social and cultural, political, security and environmental factors were determined as follows: The geopolitical and strategic importance of the West Asian region for world powers The location of the West Asian region and the highway of economic exchanges The importance of the security of strategic points in the West Asia region Internal stability, social cohesion and political legitimacy of West Asian countries The entry or exit of extra-regional actors, their interventions, alliances, support and political agreements in the region. Conflicts and territorial differences of West Asian countries Economic stagnation, high inflation rate, high unemployment rate and poverty and inequality (horizontal and vertical) in West Asian countries. Ethnic conflicts and differences and identity gaps, sectarian and ideological rivalries, and the occurrence of political movements. Improvement or deterioration of the economic situation of the countries in the region in the future Crisis of oil reserves and natural resources, high demand and increase in energy consumption. The efforts of the West and the countries of the region to prevent the influence and proliferation of the Islamic Revolution The amount of economic, political, social and military support of the Islamic Republic of Iran to the axis of resistance and its strengthening and development against the Zionist regime The secret relations between the Arabs and the Zionist regime Heterogeneous distribution of strategic resources (energy sources, fresh water, food, minerals, etc.) Food security The transition state of the international system The importance of the security of the Zionist regime in the region affected by the developments in West Asia The crisis in Yemen and the future of the situation in Syria and Iraq Existence of fallen states as a regional power vacuum Regional role of Russia and China Nationalism, racism, increasing religious differences, conflicting macro narratives and conflict-oriented framing, dual discourse of compromise and resistance in the macro security issues of the region. The pressure of the West and the usurping Zionist regime on Iran in order to reduce the movements in the region Globalization and development policies of the West led by America, England and some European countries Based on the summary of the findings of the research, the number of 10 drivers was identified as follows and it was confirmed by experts and experts in terms of quality and quantity. Geopolitical conflicts of Iran identitarianism; Religious extremism intradiscourse competitions in the region Competition for energy Internal political instability of governments The arms race of the countries of the region Objective conflict in the interests of regional actors The drivers obtained were given to experts and experts and they were given a score of 0 to 3 based on the degree of influence (importance) and uncertainty. Improving the political, military and economic capabilities of the Islamic Republic of Iran and gaining the strength of the axis of resistance and achieving Iran's undisputed power in the region. The destruction of the political, military and economic capabilities of the Islamic Republic of Iran and the weakening of the hegemony of the axis of resistance Improving the political, military and economic strength of Saudi Arabia and its alliance with Arab and Western countries and the usurping Zionist regime and its hegemony in the region Orientation and different tendencies of goat powers reg in support of coalitions The West's cooperation with the Saudi-oriented coalition The weakening of Western cooperation and the failure of the Arab-Western coalition The weakening of cooperation between Russia and China with the resistance alliance America's withdrawal from the region and regional countries including Iran gaining power Increasing US intervention, support and political alliances with effective actors in the region Convergence and cohesion of the coalition and companionship of the Arabs and the Zionist usurper regime Weakening the Arab coalition and the usurping Zionist regime Arms races of regional actors at a very high level Setting aside some basic and identity-building problems of regional and extra-regional countries And finally, four possible scenarios were identified as (the collapse of the current order and disorder, the hegemony of the Islamic Iranian order, the hegemony of the Western Salafist order, the concert of regional powers and collective order).

Purpose and context:

The speed of changes and its epidemic in the current era has changed the type of skills needed in the labor market, in such a way that it is no longer possible to respond to the educational needs of society with past-oriented and one-dimensional planning, and to create lasting and effective changes, an interdisciplinary and future-oriented approach is needed.

The current research is among the mixed designs and it is applied in terms of purpose and descriptive in terms of data collection and the scenario writing method was used.Four different scenarios were set for the two drivers that had the highest weight in terms of importance and degree of uncertainty.

In this research, four scenarios of the future of accounting education in Iran were obtained by combining the two main uncertainties regarding the drivers of accounting education, which were described and illustrated in the final stage of this study and with the approval of experts.

Although many and interwoven factors influence the future of accounting education in Iran, but the most priority drivers according to the opinion of experts are the emergence of start-ups and the expansion of business opportunities related to new educational methods, which from the intersection of these two uncertainties, four The scenario of transformation, an impenetrable fortress, entry for the public and finally a custom production line is conceivable from the future of accounting education.

Artificial intelligence as an evolving technology, great economic and social benefits have been drawn for the future. This technology can be created in the way of life, work, learning, discovery and revolution. This research has been conducted with future research and the aim of drawing scenarios for the future of Iran's labor market with the emergence of artificial intelligence the horizon of 2032. The current research is applied in terms of its purpose and in terms of its nature and method, it is an exploratory description based on a qualitative approach in order to conceptualize and provide analysis. The methods of gathering information and the method of analysis and analysis included the examination of scientific and specialized libraries, brainstorming, news panels, and the use of future research methods such as the future cycle, stakeholder analysis, and the global business network scenario model. Using the combination of these methods, 9 actors, 52 drivers and four uncertainties were identified, and as a result of the interaction of uncertainties, 16 uncertain states were created, which were finally drawn with the approval of experts, 5 plausible scenarios. These five scenarios, which were named "smart service", "monopoly", "sarafa world", "destructive competition" and "markets", can be used to help policy making in the field of market and work in this field.

Identifying and analyzing trends affecting the future of crime and strategies for crime preventionThe increase in crime, the emergence of new forms of crime, the use of new measures in crime and the rapid advancement of technology have led to the expansion of criminal activities in the last decade and at the same time, increased feelings of insecurity and fear in society. Therefore, the need for a correct understanding and sufficient knowledge of the direction of crime trends in the future is quite obvious.This research has looked at the field of crime with a trend analysis approach. Based on this approach, identifying and analyzing crime formation trends in the future will greatly help managers and planners to identify ways to deal with and develop crime prevention methods.In this study and 6 drivers affecting future crimes and 22 global trends affecting future crimes in 5 categories along with their consequences are identified, extracted and reviewed in a panel of experts consisting of 5 people and the titles of each trend were approved. Also, 7 main trends in future crimes are identified and validated during interviews with experts. Content analysis is performed on the results of the interview and explained in the form of a trend analysis report. Finally, based on these identified trends, 10 strategies are presented to prevent crime.

Today, the pervasiveness of the sports industry is considered as a tool for development in political, economic, social, cultural, etc.; therefore, the need to explain the factors affecting the growth and development of this tool can be effective in achieving the goals and strategic policies of countries. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to analyze the drivers of effective development of the sports industry using the futures research approach.

The present research is applied in terms of purpose and nature-based on futuristic, analytical and exploratory methods that were performed qualitatively; it is also a method of collecting documentary and library information, and the required information was obtained through in-depth semi-structured interviews with 28 qualified experts from all over the country, which included 9 drivers and 68 main indicators. To analyze the collected data, a 9-in-9 matrix cross-effects matrix was used by Mick Mac software.

The results showed that political and diplomatic drivers, specialization drivers and scientific and educational drivers as effective and influential drivers, will play an important role in system relations in the future. The future of Iran's sports industry depends on the development of these drivers, and these are the most important and influential indicators in the development of the sports industry.

According to the identified drivers, there is a need for those involved in the sports industry to put more education and diplomacy on their agenda.

The influence of the emerging flow of the Fourth Industrial Revolution in the old construction industry has led to the formation of a new revolutionary flow in this field, which has been introduced to the world of science and technology in recent years as "Construction 4.0". The main question in this study is what are the drivers and areas affecting the formation of the phenomenon of construction 4.0 in Iran and which of them have more importance and priority.

To find a scientific answer to this question, a developmental, qualitative and descriptive research was designed. In the first step, an initial list of possible drivers of this phenomenon was compiled based on research records and valid scientific reports. Subsequently, with the formation of a meeting of experts, this list was refined based on the local requirements of the Iranian society. In the second phase of this study, which was conducted with the aim of prioritizing these drivers, with the participation of a number of experts, while performing two rounds of Delphi technique, these factors and areas were prioritized at three levels.

Two drivers "Scientific cooperation with the developed countries" and "Technological advances in new fields" were selected as the first priority,

The findings of this research can be used to draw a roadmap for our country to join the new construction 4.0 trend and guide strategic and operational plans for the success of the country's construction industry in this field.

After the Islamic Revolution, one of the most stable models of regional order in the Middle East, has been the competition between the Islamic Republic of Iran and Saudi Arabia. However, one cannot speak of fully establishing this pattern of bipolar order in the Middle East. And the Middle East regional order may change dramatically over the next ten years. The present study seeks to answer the main question of what the future scenarios of regional order in the Middle East will be like by 2030,and what is the favorable scenario for the Islamic Republic of Iran and Saudi Arabia under these patterns of regional order?In order to provide answers to the questions with a futuristic approach, the method of identifying and analyzing the impulses affecting the formation of regional order and identifying weak surprises and weak markers was used through interviewing experts using Mick Mac software. The research findings consistent with the effect of key drivers and analysis of power blockades in this region indicate that a wide range of scenarios can be proposed regarding the Middle East regional order,but the most desirable order for Iran is the hegemony of the revolutionary order and the most probable scenario for the Islamic Republic is the continuation of the balance of power scenario in this region. In contrast, the most favorable scenario for the pro-Western order is the hegemony of the Western-Salafi order and the most probable scenario for the pro-Western order is the continuation of the balance of power scenario.

One of the problems of the world today and in fact the apocalypse is the use of the word spirituality instead of religion and religiosity by apostates. That is why they are confronting Islam with the slogan "I am spiritual but I am not religious" and finally blowing the apocalyptic gaze in their minds. The school of Soleimani, with the establishment of pure Islam and study in the school of the Supreme Leader of the time and religious teachings, went against such heresy. This article uses the existing tools, stimuli and components with the view of Soleimani school in the form of drivers and paving the way for emergence to provide plans to move towards laying the groundwork for different segments of the people and creating a strong and comprehensive relationship for the Islamic world. The main question of this article is "What are the impulses of the Soleimani school in the field of emergence?"Methodology of this article is derived from futures research with descriptive-analytical method using data collection method; Libraries and their tools are well established. Research is applied in terms of purpose and type. The result of the article leads to the enumeration of religious lessons and obvious and behavioral guidelines in accordance with the do's and don'ts of the school of Martyr Soleimani from the point of view of Imam Khamenei. In this article, 7 cases of emergence drivers were obtained.

The present study aimed to identify and categorize the effective drivers shaping the future of accounting education in Iran in a scientific and systematic manner.

Even if numerous methods have thus far developed for futures studies, it seems essential in most cases to identify the significant drivers affecting the future. For this purpose, the present study was an attempt to analyze the effective drivers in the future of accounting education through desk research methods and a survey of expert opinions, and then identify the most important ones using the Delphi method.

In total, 27 effective drivers shaping the future of accounting education in Iran were categorized based on the EPISTLU model, and then divided into seven groups; namely, economic, political, institutional, social, technological, legal, and academic. The study participants also included 15 experts engaged in the field of accounting and familiar with futures studies topics.

The categorization of the study findings with reference to the above-mentioned seven groups demonstrated that many intertwined drivers were involved in the future of accounting education in Iran. Accordingly, it is crucially important to reflect on all these various drivers and plan for them to shape the future of accounting education in this country. Therefore, analyzing and categorizing such drivers paves the way for prioritizing and determining the importance of each one in the future of accounting education in Iran.

This paper seeks to discover the process of forming the coordinates of the existing political studies space using futures research through trend analysis method in order to pave the way for achieving the desired political studies in the Islamic Republic of Iran with a prescriptive approach. With a glance at the analysis of the trend and the current state of political studies, we will find that this field of knowledge, despite the astonishing progress of the Islamic Republic of Iran with the focus on experimental sciences, is taking place and conditions are inconsistent with the lofty goals. The Islamic Republic of Iran has. For this purpose, two macro-divergent and convergent trends of desirable political studies are expressed and the ideas of its formation and propulsions are discussed without elaborating on its examples. The trends of Westernism, Orientalism and Nationalism as divergent trends as well as the trend of Islamic civilization as a convergent trend will be examined in this article. In the continuation of the process of the educational system in the country, it should be examined separately. Based on this trend analysis, long-term and medium-term futures for political studies can also be imagined. The analysis of knowledge trends in the system of the Islamic Republic of Iran indicates that the first step of this ups and downs is to understand the current situation, to see the desired point and solutions in a timely and appropriate manner to transition from the current situation to the desired.

One of the most important duties of governments in the world is planning for the development of public sports. Public sports are closely related to physical and mental health of the community. Developing plans for public sports is influenced by macro-processes, actions, events and various elements that are often uncertain and cannot be accurately predicted. Therefore, decision-makers need to know the possible opportunities of the future. The current study aims to spot the opportunities standing in front of Iranian public sports. 

This research is qualitative and applied. The statistical population included elites on sports management, sociology of sports and sports law as well as technology, politics, culture and futures studies.A snowball sampling methods was applied to the research sample and 25 persons were selected purposefully. However, using Schwartz’s model, main drivers and components of the structure were obtained. Next, the wizard-scenario software was employed for structural analysis and examining relationships between uncertainties. Then, spaces of the scenario were extracted.

A number of four probabilistic scenarios were developed compliant with the future of public sports, namely, the happiness ecosystem(the most optimal possible scenario), health scanners (development of public sports in the middle class), stagnators (no change in circumstances) and downsizers (the most unfavorable possible scenario).

When each scenario narrated and the findings summarized in expert panels, strategic recommendations(flexible and practical in all 4 scenarios) were provided regarding the future of Iranian public sports for relevant managers and policy makers.

Understanding the drivers, events, and trends influencing the shaping of future, can help identify and explain alternative futures from a futurist perspective. Yemen is located in Southwest Asia and is of special strategic importance. Understanding the future political scenarios of Yemen is essentially important for the strategic planning of the Islamic Republic of Iran in this country. This exploratory research investigates key drivers and actors for exploring scenarios of the alternative political future of Yemen up to the horizon of 2029. This is a combined research applying quantitative and qualitative methods using futurist techniques such as review of literature, elite panel, analysis of cross referential and balanced works, scenario writing, and using Wizard and Excel software for designing the scenarios of the future of the political future of Yemen until 2029. 21 experts were referred to in the implementation of this study. Among the 78 drivers for Yemen's future, three key drivers were identified by experts, and six scenarios were identified based on the output of the Wizard software and expert confirmation. Then, the stories were written and the scenarios were subjected to the "wind tunnel" test. Afterwards, the significance of the realization and validation of the scenarios were identified in the expert panel. Scenario number one was selected as the most desirable one for the Islamic Republic of Iran. Key influential players for this scenarios were identified.

Theological seminaries have a significant role in creating and maintaining the values of the Islamic Revolution. For this reason, the enemies of the Islamic Revolution, in order to advance their goals, sought to turn the seminaries into the cause of the decline and destruction of the Revolution. Therefore, by creating and using the driving forces of the antithesis of the Islamic Revolution in the seminaries, they intend to degenerate and decline the revolution from within the seminaries. In this study, the antithesis of the Islamic Revolution in theological seminaries have been measured by interviewing seminary experts and the method of content analysis. The antithesis drivers of the Islamic Revolution in the seminaries that have been identified and analyzed in this study are: weakening social status, transforming values and principles of the Islamic Revolution, causing seminaries` disability in the management of social issues, strengthening opposing currents in seminaries, increasing ambiguity, lack of strategic intelligence and expanding and promoting reactionary in seminaries.

Statement of Problem/Objective the Saudi Arabia, under the pretext of returning the Yemeni runaway president, created a coalition of reactionary governments in the region and with the support of Western countries launched a comprehensive military invasion against the revolutionary government and the oppressed people of Yemen and besieged it. In this way, Yemen's political transformations became a security issue on the regional level that is accompanied by complexity and uncertainty. The purpose of this study is to identify the most important domestic, regional and international actors of Yemen's transformations and its key factors in political, economic, social, cultural, military areas as well as effective drivers on the political-security transformations in this country.

The study employs developmental and applied method with respect to research's objective and utilizes case-based approach and was based on both quantitative and qualitative research techniques due to the mixed nature of research. According G.B.N approch in scenario planning Data were gathered in three ways: exploratory studies, library note-taking and interview with 20 experts in Yemen's subject and then the views of 37 officials involved in Yemen's political-security transformations with a full-scale approach using questionnaire. Furthermore, targeted sampling method was utilized to theoretical saturation level. Data analysis was done using descriptive statistics and statistical analysis and the mean scores of experts extracted by Friedman test with SPSS software.

The findings show that from the 38 actors including domestic, anti-Yemeni coalition, near-regional, distant regional and international the most important actors are Saudi Arabia, Ansarullah, United State of America.
Based on the results of the research, the key factors, respectively, include the geopolitical and strategic importance of Yemen for Saudi Arabia and global powers and their support for the coalition, the apparent and hidden support (economic, political, social, and military) of Iran from the Ansarullah and finally the existence of resistance and abidance spirit among the Shiites of Zaidi and the Yemeni revolutionaries.Effective drivers on Yemeni political-security transformations from the expert's perspective, respectively, including the great financial resources of the coalition for political, economic and military confrontation with the Yemeni revolutionaries, the destruction of the main infrastructure in Yemen in order to defeat Ansarullah for the future of Yemen administration, the increase of Yemini news influence in global media and etc., which critical uncertainties and future’s scenarios can be extracted from them to be presented.

The importance of conducting research on issues in the field of human resources has become more apparent regarding the changes in this arena. This research aims to study the future of human resources and also to recognize the characteristics of human resources during the future decades in the defense industries. Thus, in this study, at first the effective drivers on the future of human resources were extracted by conducting interviews and data analysis method, then in order to determine the validity of these drivers, the expertise of professors and experts in this field were used in the form of expertise Delphi. The statistical population included experts in the field of human resources in the defense industries and the sampling method is nonprobability due to the quality of the research method. Finally, by using interviews and extracting drivers and surveying experts in the form of expertise Delphi and using SPSS software, the most important drivers affecting the future of human resources were presented. The results of this study showed that the most important drivers affecting the future of human resources are as the following: Economic inequity, decline in the attraction of employing knowledgeable forces in government organizations, reduction in economic growth, intergenerational gap, increase of elders in the future of the country and unemployment. Finally, solutions have been presented for each of these drivers.

In this Study, the Integrated Approach of Scenario Planning and Institutioal Analysis and Development Analysis was employed to analysis the Human Made Climate Change on Sustainable Development in Iran. Thise paper is using the approach of Future Studies and the introduction of driver forces through the Delphi method in the form of scenarios to identify futures of sustainable development on the 12 –year horizen in Iran. In the first section, using the Causal Layered Analysis, the currenet state of the effects of Human Made Climate Change on different dimentions of Sustainable Development was investigated and then in the scenario planning section, different scenario was identified. The results of this study show that despite  the institutional structure supporting to distribute rent, the asymmetry  of information and power among various actors, intensification of path dependency, lack of active civil society, Lack of accountability and Transparency and isolation of the foreign relation, moving  torwards Sustainable Development will not provided. Conversely, with increased transparency, control over the distribution of benefit will leave out of reach of influential groups. In this regards, new supportive institutions are being developed to strengthen such a structure and with decreasing path dependency, economic sustainability will increase. Furthermore, environmental considerations not only do not bind but also are considered as a vital pillar.

Future studies and analysis of global drives, as well as characterizing future atmosphere of international cultural relationships, provide proper ground to develop a reasonable interpretation for the promising, yet evolving, future of the new Islamic civilization. Investigating contexts and processes influencing the role of the new Islamic civilization outside the Islamic world can reveal emerging forces of the future international cultural system and show that, considering the future of global cultural trends, the new Islamic civilization can play a progressive role in the changing international system and shaping the global formation of power. In the evolving, dynamic, and transitioning state of world order with its complexities, transparency, and vulnerabilities, the new Islamic civilization can increasingly play a part in the future of global cultural-civilizational trends outside the Islamic world and therefore become an influential player in the global decision-making system. This paper attempted to identify the key external drives of the new Islamic civilization and the way they establish and operationalize the idea, providing an accurate understanding of the new Islamic civilization and analyzing the driving factors of its emergence and progress outside the Islamic world at governmental, national, and international organizations levels.