geopolitical crisis
در نشریات گروه علوم سیاسی-
منزلت طلبی به مثابه یک چارچوب تحلیلی در سیاست خارجی نشان می دهد که چگونه روسیه در بحران های ژیوپلیتیکی، نقش های متفاوتی ایفا می کند. منزلت طلبی روسی، متاثر از بینش ژیوپلیتیک و هویت تاریخی روسیه، سبب تبدیل شدن این کشور به یک کنشگر تاثیرگذار در بحران های ژیوپلیتیکی جهان اسلام بوده است. مسیله اصلی این پژوهش ارتباط میان منزلت طلبی در سیاست خارجی روسیه و عملکرد متفاوت این کشور در بحران های ژیوپلیتیکی خاورمیانه است. این پرسش مطرح می شود که چه معادله ای میان منزلت طلبی روسی و عملکرد متفاوت مسکو در دو بحران ژیوپلیتیکی سوریه و یمن وجود داشته است؟ در پاسخ این فرضیه می آید که بحران های ژیوپلیتیکی خاورمیانه به اندازه ای که بر دو مولفه هویت تاریخی و گستره ژیوپلیتیک و ژیواکونومیک روسیه تاثیر می گذارند، رفتار منزلت طلبانه روسیه را تحت تاثیر قرار می دهد. یافته ها نشان می دهد بحران یمن برخلاف سوریه، ظرفیت های ژیوپلیتیکی لازم برای ایفای نقش یک قدرت جهانی از سوی روسیه را نداشته است. در مقابل، بحران سوریه به دلیل تداخل متغیرهای ژیوپلیتیکی منطقه ای و جهانی و همچنین ارتباط تاریخی آن با هویت روسی و امپراتوری شوروی، فرصت مناسبی برای پیشبرد راهبرد منزلت طلبی روسیه بود. معادله منزلت طلبی روسی و بحران های ژیوپلیتیک در خاورمیانه سبب شده است تا مسکو تمایلی برای ورود به الگوهای دوستی و دشمنی در منطقه خاورمیانه نداشته باشد. به بیان دیگر در معادله روسی، تقویت یا تضعیف محور مقاومت یا سازش اصالت ندارد.
کلید واژگان: بحران ژئوپلیتیکی، روسیه، سوریه، منزلت طلبی، یمنJournal of Fundamental and Applied Studies of the Islamic World, Volume:4 Issue: 11, 2022, PP 38 -63The status-seeking of actors in the international arena is not necessarily based on a specific driver. What variables actors in foreign policy are most influenced by will play a decisive role in orienting it towards prestige is a disputed issue in international politics. Some other analysts point out that the status-seeking of world powers in the international system should be divided into large and small countries. In fact, according to researchers, the status-seeking of large powers is quite different from that of small powers. Russia as a big power in the Middle East could be regarded as status-seeking power in today's international system. Although the role of personal concerns can be traced to the direction of the country's foreign policy, other factors still dominate the country's foreign policy. Russia's foreign policy drives seem to be significantly similar to its domestic policy drives. Consolidating Russia's economy to maintain domestic economic growth, gain and maintain international prestige and prestige to define and pursue future interests, and maintain its security are among the most important drivers of its foreign policy. Russia's foreign policy is a relatively secure government foreign policy with serious security concerns, and it is also influenced by government foreign policy, which often uses the military option to achieve its goals, rather than relying on soft options. Russian foreign policy scholars place particular emphasis on the extension of Russia's domestic foreign policy. In other words, the role of domestic variables in the foreign policy of the Russian Federation is so significant and influential that without considering and examining these internal elements, a proper understanding of the foreign policy of this country cannot be done. According to some experts, the foreign policy of the Russian Federation does not reflect the ordinary interests of a state, but its most important feature is the influence of currents, groups, and competition between networks of power within the country. In addition, the role of cultural ideas in seeking prestige in Russian foreign policy cannot be ignored. The component of national culture has a significant role in shaping Russia's foreign policy so that its traces can be seen in all foreign policy actions of this country. By studying the strategic culture of this country, one can better see the relationship between the goals, motives, and international actions of this great actor and evaluate its behavioral patterns in managing international crises such as Ukraine and Syria. Some Domestic Foreign Policy Observers What was most evident in Putin's foreign policy during this period was the dominance of an identity-oriented approach in Russian foreign policy. From Putin's point of view, power and influence are strongly dependent on the question of national identity and the extent to which the citizens of a country consider themselves a nation and relate to their history, values, and traditions. Therefore, during this period, he made great efforts to restore Soviet power in the international arena; In other words, the focal point of Putin's foreign policy behavior during this period was based on the strengthening of national identity and nationalist ideas.In this sense, for the Russians, the concept of great power is psychological and emotional. The Russians believe that Russia has the right to be considered a great power, given its vast geography, vast resources, and history. Russia has always been a leader in history. The leader of international communism, the conductor of European concerts in the nineteenth century, and one of the two world superpowers in the twentieth century has always made Russia an identity of great power in the eyes of its people and politicians. It must be acknowledged, however, that Russia's ambition has relied heavily on Putin's particular foreign policy personality and approach.Status seeking as an analytical framework in foreign policy shows how Russia plays different roles in geopolitical crises. Influenced by Russia's geopolitical vision and historical identity, Russia's status-seeking has made it an influential actor in the Middle East's geopolitical crises. In this regard, the main issue of research is to understand the relationship between status-seeking in Russian foreign policy and its different performance in the Middle East geopolitical crises. The main question of this article is what the equation between Russian status-seeking is and Moscow's different performance in There have been two geopolitical crises in Syria and Yemen. In answer to this question, the research hypothesis is that the geopolitical crises in the Middle East affect Russia's status quo behavior to the extent that they affect both the components of Russia's historical identity and its geopolitical and geo-economic scope. The findings show that the Yemeni crisis, unlike Syria, lacked the necessary geopolitical potential for Russia to play the role of world power. In the face of the Syrian crisis, due to the interplay of regional and global geopolitical variables, as well as its historical connection to Russian identity and the Soviet empire, it was a good opportunity to advance Russia's strategy of prestige. The equation of Russian status-seeking and geopolitical crises in the Middle East has made Moscow reluctant to enter into patterns of friendship-hostility in the Middle East. In other words, in the Russian equation, strengthening or weakening the axis of resistance or compromise is not the main issue.
Keywords: Russia, status seeking, Geopolitical Crisis, Yemen, Syria -
بحران ژیوپلیتیکی سوریه، یکی از مهم ترین چالش های امنیتی است، که طی یک دهه اخیر منطقه خاورمیانه را تحت تاثیر قرار داده است. با توجه به اهمیت این مسیله، پژوهش حاضر به دنبال پاسخ به این سوال است که منازعات بحران ژیوپلیتیکی سوریه چه تاثیری بر امنیت ملی جمهوری اسلامی داشته است؟ فرضیه مقاله گویای آن است که، بحران سوریه ابعادی فراتر از نارضایتی سیاسی و چالش های قومی، مذهبی داشته و ریشه در دخالت منفی و رقابت های ژیوپلیتیکی قدرت منطقه ای و فرامنطقه ای دارد. با اتکای بر نظریه موازنه تهدید، نتایج پژوهش حاکی از تهدیدهای ژیوپلیتیکی جمهوری اسلامی در حوزه های نظامی، سیاسی، فرهنگی ، اجتماعی و اقتصادی است و پیامدهایی همچون افزایش تهدیدات قومیتی و فرقه گرایی در کشور، ظهور و تقویت گروه های تروریستی تکفیری در ایران، افزایش تهدیدات مرزی، افزایش حضور قدرت های فرامنطقه ای، تغییر موازنه قوای منطقه ای، تضعیف محور مقاومت دارد.
کلید واژگان: بحران ژئوپلیتیکی، امنیت ملی، سوریه، جمهوری اسلامی، موازنه تهدیدThe Syrian geopolitical crisis is one of the most important security challenges that has affected the Middle East over the past decade. Given the importance of this issue, the present study seeks to answer the question: how have the conflicts of the Syrian geopolitical crisis affected the national security of the Islamic Republic? The article hypothesizes that the Syrian crisis has dimensions beyond political dissatisfaction and ethnic and religious challenges, and is rooted in negative interference and geopolitical rivalries for regional and supra-regional power. Relying on the theory of threat balance, the results indicate the geopolitical threats of the Islamic Republic in the military, political, cultural, social and economic fields and consequences such as increasing ethnic and sectarian threats in the country, the emergence and strengthening of takfiri terrorist groups in Iran, increasing border threats, increasing the presence of supra-regional powers, changing the balance of regional powers and weakening the axis of resistance.
Keywords: Geopolitical Crisis, National Security, Syria, Islamic Republic, Threat Balance -
خاورمیانه در مقطع کنونی، کانون طیف وسیعی از بحران های ژیوپولیتیکی است، به گونه ای که عنوان می شود ساختار سیاسی ترسیم شده در معاهده سایکس-پیکو بصورت جدی در معرض تحول قرار گرفته است. مداخله قدرتهای بزرگ برای مدیریت بحران تروریسم در خاورمیانه از طریق جنگ خصوصا پس از 11 سپتامبر 2001، ضرورت ریشه یابی روندهای بحرانی ژیوپولیتیکی در خاورمیانه و آینده نگری برای روند بحران های آن را ضروری ساخته است. بر همین اساس، پژوهش حاضر با هدف آینده نگری روند بحرانهای ژیوپولیتیکی در خاورمیانه پس از 11 سپتامبر 2001 به نگارش درآمده است. روش پژوهش به صورت کیفی و با استفاده از ابزار مصاحبه و به طریق گراندد تیوری انجام پذیرفته که جامعه نمونه 10 نفری پژوهش را مورد پرسشگری قرار داده است. نتایج حاصل از پژوهش نشان داد که مهمترین عامل سبب ساز در شکل گیری بحرانهای ژیوپولیتیکی در خاورمیانه، وجود انرژی و منابع سرشار است که قدرتهای بزرگ جهانی را همواره به تلاش برای کنترل آن برمی کشاند .از مهمترین عوامل زمینه ای، فساد دولتهای رانتیر واز مهمترین عوامل مداخله گر، رقابت قدرتهای منطقه ای و فرامنطقه ای جهت توسعه هژمونی خود را می توان برشمرد. در نهایت، مدل نظری پژوهش، آینده نگری روند بحران در خاورمیانه را در سه سطح مشخص نمود که سطح 1، نشان دهنده عمیق ترین نوع بحران ژیوپولیتیکی، سطح 2 نیز نشان دهنده ایجاد بحران ژیوپولیتیکی و جنگ نظامی است، اما در سطح 3، بحران ژیوپولیتیکی و جنگ نظامی رخ نخواهد داد، چرا که سطح همپوشانی متغیرهای نظری، به حد تاثیرگذاری بحران ژیوپولیتیکی نمی رسد.
کلید واژگان: آینده نگری، بحران ژئوپولیتیکی، خاورمیانه، 11 سپتامبرThe Middle East is currently at the center of a wide range of geopolitical crises, with the political structure outlined in the Sykes-Picot agreement reportedly undergoing serious change. The intervention of the great powers in managing the crisis of terrorism in the Middle East through war, especially after 9/11, has necessitated the rooting out of the geopolitical crisis in the Middle East and the foresight of its crisis. Accordingly, the present study aims to predict the course of geopolitical crises in the Middle East after 9/11. The research method was performed qualitatively using interview tools and grounded theory that the sample population of 10 people was questioned.The results of the study showed that the most important factor in the formation of geopolitical crises in the Middle East is the existence of abundant energy and resources that the great world powers are always trying to control.One of the most important underlying factors, the corruption of rentier governments and the most important interfering factors are the competition of regional and supra-regional powers for the development of their hegemony. Finally, the theoretical model of the research showed the foresight of the crisis in the Middle East at three levels: level 1 indicates the deepest type of geopolitical crisis, level 2 indicates the creation of a geopolitical crisis and military war, but at level 3, the geopolitical crisis and There will be no military war, because the level of overlap of theoretical variables does not reach the level of impact of the geopolitical crisis.
Keywords: Foresight, Geopolitical Crisis, Middle East, September 11, 2001 -
جهان اسلام یکی از مناطق حساس و استراتژیک در نظام ژیوپلیتیک در سطح کروی است. ذخایر عظیم انرژی، دریاها و راه های ارتباطی و همچنین وسعت گسترده و جمعیت زیاد آن، این منطقه را به منطقه ای کانونی در معادلات سیاسی و ژیوپلیتیکی تبدیل کرده است. در جهان اسلام فرصت های گوناگونی وجود دارد به طوری که همگرایی در جهان اسلام این پتانسیل را دارد که ساختار قدرت جهانی را با تغییرات بنیادی مواجه کند. علی رغم وجود ظرفیت های گسترده انسانی و طبیعی بحران های ژیوپلیتیکی در منطقه جهان اسلام تاثیرات مخربی بر توسعه پایدار و امنیت پایدار در این منطقه داشته است به طوری که بحران های ژیوپلیتیکی مانع اصلی همگرایی در بین کشورها در جهان اسلام بوده اند. این بحران ها باعث شده اند که ظرفیت های اقتصادی کشورهای جهان اسلام شکوفا نشوند و هم چنین کشورها مشغول مسایل امنیتی و حاشیه ای و کشمکش های سیاسی باشند. با توجه به اهمیت ژیوپلیتیکی این منطقه لذا نقش قدرت های جهانی در بحران های ژیوپلیتیکی این منطقه مشهود است. این پژوهش با ماهیت توصیفی - تحلیلی و با استفاده از منابع کتابخانه ای به نقش قدرت های جهانی در بحران های ژیوپلیتیکی جهان اسلام پرداخته است. نتایج پژوهش نشانگر آن است که قدرت های فرامنطقه ای بر اساس اهداف، استراتژی ها و منافع خود در ابعاد ژیواکونومیکی، ژیوکالچر و هیدروپلیتیکی جهان اسلام باعث تشدید بحران های ژیوپلیتیکی شده اند.
کلید واژگان: بحران ژئوپلیتیکی، جهان اسلام، قدرت های فرامنطقه ایThe Islamic world is one of the most sensitive and strategic areas in the geopolitical system at the spherical level. The enormous energy reserves, seas and communication routes, as well as its vast population and large population, have made this region a focal point in political and geopolitical equations. There are many opportunities in the Islamic world so that convergence in the Islamic world has the potential to bring about fundamental changes in the structure of global power. Despite the extensive human and natural capacities of geopolitical crises in the Muslim world, it has had devastating effects on sustainable development and sustainable security in the region, with geopolitical crises being a major obstacle to convergence between countries in the Muslim world. These crises have led to the boom in the economic capacities of the countries of the Islamic world, as well as countries engaged in security and marginalization issues and political conflicts. This descriptive-analytic study, using library resources and reputable internet sites, seeks to elucidate the role of trans-regional powers in the geopolitical crises of the Islamic world. This study highlights the role of transnational powers in the geopolitical crises of the Muslim world by identifying the sources of libraries and categorizing them in order to facilitate the identification of the role of these powers and their goals in the context of Islamic convergence. The Islamic world is one of the most dangerous areas in the world. The political security tensions in the region have had profound effects on the structure of power worldwide. The Islamic world has a variety of crises. Initially, the region, having been the center of the emergence of the world's religions, therefore has wide cultural complexities. Ethnic religious diversity in the region has made tensions visible at the formal, national and regional levels. Ethnic and religious differences have endangered the existence of political structures in the Muslim world. Ethnic geographical dimensions of the area is home to diverse ethnicities and races. The cultural diversity of these tribes has led the region to cultural competitions, with each ethnicity stepping in to develop its own culture. In the religious dimension, the territory of the Islamic world is divided between Shieh and Sunni religious groups. Another structural crisis in the Muslim world is problems with shared water basins and common border rivers as well as the dust phenomenon. As the Islamic World region is part of the arid region and the border rivers and catchments do not follow the political boundaries, so the shared waters pave the way for water conflicts and problems that have the potential for hydrophilic The title of a geopolitical crisis exacerbates the challenges of the Islamic world. Today, the problems of dehydration and dust have become a political security problem among the countries of the Islamic world, and these crises can be activated at any moment. Another geopolitical crisis in the Islamic world is geo-economics issues. Competition for sale of oil among oil-rich Islamic countries has hampered economic cooperation. Global powers are using the crises and tensions in sensitive areas of the world, including the Middle East and the Islamic world, to serve their own interests. Ethnic religious crises and in general the geocultural crisis, geo-economics crises and economic competition between regional powers and water crises in the Muslim world with regard to water problems have provided the ground for the presence and influence of world powers and these powers are exacerbated by the crisis being exploited. The resources of this region have prevented convergence. As it is seen today, with the increasing military and economic presence of world powers, the region is increasingly taking on new dimensions of spatial disruption and these crises are expanding. The results show that trans-regional powers have exacerbated geopolitical crises based on their goals, strategies and interests in the geo-economics, geocultural and hydraulic dimensions of the Islamic world. The economic wheel of world powers is turning to hydrocarbon energy sources, and these powers are increasingly in need of energy resources to meet their needs. Most of the world's energy resources exist in the Middle East in particular, and the Islamic world in general. Therefore, these powers are in the area of easy access to energy resources in the Islamic world. Global powers exacerbate geopolitical crises in the Islamic world by preventing regional cooperation between the countries of the Islamic world and securing their own interests and goals, thus making energy resources available at low prices and by turning the region into a market for the sale of their weapons. There is geo-economic competition in the Islamic world and between regional countries, and the interests of these powers are secured by preventing geo-economic cooperation between regional powers. On the other hand, the existence of geocultural crises in the Muslim world has provided the ground for the presence and influence of world powers to politically aggravate tensions in the region. As well as the hydrophilic problems in the Muslim world, it can pave the way for influence in the region's water projects to enable countries to engage in domestic issues and tensions at the local and regional levels, and to prevent cooperation and convergence between the countries of the Islamic world to achieve their goals. Follow their economy easily.
Keywords: Geopolitical Crisis, Islamic world, Trans-regional powers -
ریشه یابی بحران های ژیوپلیتیکی مستلزم بررسی سیر تاریخی تکوین بحران ها و نیز شناسایی عوامل موثر بر وقوع بحران های ژیوپلیتیکی، واکاوی نقش دولت ها و بازیگران سیاسی درون منطقه ای، شناخت نقش دولت ها و بازیگران مداخله گر فرا منطقه ای، شناسایی و بررسی نقش نخبگان مذهبی، سیاسی، نظامی، فرهنگی و اجتماعی است. تحقیق حاضر برای تحقق هدف اصلی تحقیق که همانا رتبه بندی مولفه ها و شاخص های تاثیرگذار در بحران های ژیوپلیتیکی جهان اسلام است از روش تحقیق کاربردی- توسعه ای استفاده کرده است و پس از جمع آوری اطلاعات با ابزارهای مشاهده، مصاحبه، پرسشنامه و مطالعه اسناد نیز از روش های تحقیق پیمایشی و تحقیق نظری و کتابخانه ای و اینترنتی استفاده می شود. همچنین با کمک تکنیک های دلفی و طوفان فکری برای استخراج مولفه ها و شاخص ها بهره گیری شده است و با استفاده ازطیف لیکرتی، روش های وزن دهی و روش های کمی و کیفی به تجزیه و تحلیل آن ها اقدام شده است. که در پایان محققین به این نتیجه مهم می رسند که جهان اسلام در منطقه غرب آسیا دچار بحران های ژیوپلیتیکی مختلفی است که از این بحران ها می توان به مواردی نظیر ظهور گروه های تکفیری، رقابت و کشمکش بین کشورهای همجوار، رقابت های ایدیولوژیکی، بحران قومیت ها و گسست های فرهنگی اشاره کرد. وقوع این بحران در کوتاه مدت منطقه را دچار بحران جنگ، بی خانمانی و رشد جریان های تروریستی نموده است و در بلندمدت نیز پیامدهای به مراتب گسترده تری به دنبال خواهد داشت که منجر به تجزیه و متلاشی شدن کشورهای اسلامی به محدوده های ضعیف تر و کوچک تر و تغییرات ژیوپلیتیکی در منطقه غرب آسیا می شود. عامل وقوع این بحران ها، کنترل، مداخله و تصرف یک یا چند ارزش نظیر مکان، فضا، موقعیت، آب، منابع، قلمرو، اقلیت قومی، بازار صادراتی، مسیر انتقال کالا، انرژی، جزیره، تنگه، خط مرز، مکان مذهبی و نظایر آن است.
کلید واژگان: مولفه، شاخص، بحران، بحران های ژئوپلیتیکی، جهان اسلام، قلمروBeginning in the twentieth century and up to now, Islam has been viewed by both state and non-state actors as an increasingly important political force, whether in the sense of reinforcing alternative revolutionary models, rejecting current government rule, reforming social activities, women's rights, or reforming social rights, Phobia Islam (which is pursued by Western powers for the purpose of executing a strategy of disorder in the Islamic world as well as for creating panic in the public opinion of the world) in the form of kidnapping of foreigners, mistreatment of religious minorities or suicide bombings Is. While Islam has always endorsed politics as a clergyman, many writers have argued that in the twentieth century, the rise of Islam as a widespread political force to change, reform and even revolutionize the practice of responding to Westernization. Colonialism, the struggle for independence, as well as the establishment of a nation-state of our own have preceded the colonial period. The rooting of geopolitical crises requires investigating the historical course of crisis development and identifying factors influencing the occurrence of geopolitical crises, analyzing the role of governments and inter-regional political actors, recognizing the role of governments and interregional interfering actors, identifying and examining the role of religious, political and cultural elites, Is social. Summing up the views of the authors, it is believed that the crises of the Islamic world have at least two sources, both domestic and foreign. Thus, within the Muslim world and among Muslims, a complete lack of understanding of Islamic principles and teachings on the one hand and distortion of religion and instrumental use of religious concepts and principles by some intellectuals and power on the other hand lead to the creation of ideological beliefs and attitudes. There was a change in the Islamic world, and the Muslims became a sect and a group accordingly. This situation came to a critical point when dogmatism, self-centeredness among the followers of each sect was created and they considered themselves absolute rights and accused the followers of other groups of exaggeration. Over time, this ideological challenge was not only resolved but also intensified by the intervention of other actors, especially what is termed the "geopolitical competition of Islam and the West". There is also a divergence of opinion and religious-religious conflict not only among the Muslim people but also in the current conditions of the Muslim world, extending to political levels at the local, national, and regional scales. At the grassroots level, we see the clash of political groups and parties with ideological origins, and nationally, unfortunately, sectarian strife of religious and ethnic origin is mounting in the Muslim world, and at the most important level in terms of acting power, Muslim states and governments. These conflicts are at their highest levels, to the detriment of Muslim nations and nations, and to the benefit of non-Muslims. The present research was pursued to achieve the main objective of the research, which is to rank the influential components and indicators in the geopolitical crises of the Islamic world by using a mixed research method, a combination of two working methods. And verbal interviews with experts, study of the theoretical literature of research, interviews and obtaining point of view were done to explore the factors and then to describe the variables in order to identify the dimensions, components and related indicators in the model. Data analysis was done using Delphi method. Finally, the theoretical framework was elaborated and quantified (by designing a questionnaire and calculating the validity and reliability of data collection). Therefore, the research approach was mixed in terms of the type of data collected and in terms of development-purpose. Firstly, by using descriptive analysis, The collected data were summarized and categorized by descriptive statistics indices that were analyzed by mean, fashion, median, variance. Then, using inferential analysis method, correlation relations between components and indices were extracted and standardized by SPSS software. Finally, the researchers conclude that the Muslim world in the West Asian region is experiencing various geopolitical crises, such as the emergence of Takfiri groups, rivalry between neighboring countries, ideological rivalries, ethnic and cultural disruptions. Kurdish. In the short term, the crisis has caused the crisis of war, homelessness and the growth of terrorist currents, and will have far-reaching consequences in the long run, leading to the breakup and disintegration of Islamic countries into smaller and smaller areas and geopolitical changes in the West Asian region. Can be. The cause of these crises is the control, intervention and capture of one or more values such as location, space, location, water, resources, territory, ethnic minority, export market, freight route, energy, island, gorge, boundary line, religious location, and the like. It is. In the present study, after examining the factors affecting the ratings crisis, according to Friedman test, it was found that the political factor and the human factor have the highest rank in the crisis, respectively. And the economic, military and human factors are ranked between these two factors.
Keywords: Component, Index, Crisis, Geopolitical Crisis, Islamic world, Territory -
بعد از تاسیس عراق جدید در عصر پسا جنگ جهانی اول، بحرانهای ژئوپلتیکی مهمترین شاخصه پویایی های سیاسی در این کشور بوده است که به صورت ویژه در فرایند ضد ژئوپلتیکی کردی در طی دهه های گذشته نمود پیدا کرده است. در این راستا، این پژوهش هدف خویش را بر مبنای پاسخگویی بدین پرسش اساسی گذاشته است که، ریشه های بحران های ژئوپلتیکی در عراق و به صورت ویژه ضد ژئوپلتیک کردی کدامند و چه عواملی در تداوم این بحران موثر بوده اند؟ یافته های این پژوهش نشان می دهد که، ژئوپلتیک تحمیلی قدرت های بزرگ پیروز در جنگ جهانی اول بخصوص بریتانیا در شکل دهی به نظم منطقه ای پسا جنگ جهانی اول، منجر به شکل گیری و تداوم بحران ژئوپلیتیکی در عراق و به صورت ویژه مقاومت ضد ژئوپلیتیکی کردی شده است. از طرف دیگر،مداخلات بشر دوستانه شورای امنیت و به صورت ویژه صدور قطعنامه 688 شورای امنیت و در نهایت حمله آمریکا به عراق در 2003، منجر به باز شدن مرزهای مسدود ژئوپلیتیک و قدرتمند شدن مقاومت ضد ژئوپلتیکی کردی در عراق شده است. روش تحقیق در این پژوهش توصیفی- تحلیلی، و روش گردآوری داده ها منابع کتاب خانه ای و اینترنتی است.کلید واژگان: عراق، اقلیم کردستان، مداخلات بشردوستانه، بحران ژئوپلیتکی، ضد ژئوپلیتیکAfter founding of a new Iraq in the post-World War I age, geopolitical crises have been the main indicator of political dynamics in the country, which has been featured in the Kurdish anti-geopolitical process over the past decades. In this regard, the aim of this research is answering this fundamental question that, what are the roots of geopolitical crises in Iraq and in particular, anti-geopolitical Kurds, and what factors have contributed to the continuation of this crisis? The findings of this study show that the geopolitics imposed by the great winners of the World War I, especially Britain, in shaping the post-World War I regional order, led to the formation and continuation of the geopolitical crisis in Iraq, and in particular the Kurdish anti-geopolitical resistance. On the other hand, the humanitarian intervention of the Security Council, and in particular the issuance of Security Council resolution 688, and ultimately the US invasion of Iraq in 2003, have led to the opening of the geopolitical blockade and the strengthening of the anti-geopolitical Kurdish resistance in Iraq. The research method is descriptive-analytic and the method of data collection is library and internet resources.Keywords: Iraq, Kurdistan territory, humanitarian interventions, geopolitical crisis, anti-geopolitics
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هدفجهان اسلام در شرایط کنونی از بحران های مختلفی رنج می برد و اگر فضای غالب استراتژیک مسلط بر جهان اسلام را فضایی بی ثبات و نامناسب از نظر شاخص های توسعه پایدار بدانیم سخنی به گزاف نگفته ایم. هدف این پژوهش ارائه یک مدل بحران های ژئوپلیتیکی جهان اسلام را در قالب بحران های درون کشوری و بین کشوری در دو سطح بین کشورهای جهان اسلام و سایر کشورها است.روشروش تحقیق این مقاله توصیفی- تحلیلی است. اطلاعات مورد نیاز با استفاده از روش کتابخانه ای و با مراجعه به منابع معتبر، کتب و مقالات گردآوردی شده است. پرسش اصلی پژوهش این است که کدام بازیگران و در چه سطحی درگیر در بحران های جهان اسلام هستند؟یافته هاایجاد بحران در سطوح مختلف در سطح جهان اسلام به ویژه در منطقه خاورمیانه و شمال افریقا مانع از قدرتمند شدن کشورهای اسلامی شده است. بیشترین بحران های ژئوپلیتیکی، در سطح بین کشورهای جهان اسلامی با یکدیگر و در رتبه دوم بین جبهه غرب با جهان اسلام وجود دارد. این مسئله حاکی از علایق ژئوپلیتیکی متعدد کشورهای غربی در سرزمین جهان اسلام است، که به راحتی از این بخش از منافع ملی خود چشم پوشی نمی کنند.نتیجه گیرینتایج تحقیق حاکی از آن است که به دلیل آنکه بحران های جهان اسلام دارای دو منشا و زمینه داخلی و خارجی است و در سطوح مختلف و ابعاد گسترده در این منطقه گسترش پیدا کرده است؛ متاسفانه در وضعیت فعلی چشم انداز روشنی برای کاهش و حل منازعات و رفتن به سمت وحدت و انسجام اسلامی وجود ندارد.کلید واژگان: منازعه، بحران ژئوپلیتیکی، جهان اسلام، آسیا و افریقاObjectiveThe Islamic world is suffering from various crises in the current situation, and we have not spoken exacerbatedly if the prevailing strategic dominant position of the Islamic world is a destabilizing and inappropriate space in terms of sustainable development indicators. The purpose of this study is to present a model of the geopolitical crises of the Islamic world in the format of internal and international crises on two levels between the countries of the Islamic world and other countries.MethodsThe research methodology is descriptive-analytic. The required information is collected using a library method and by referring to authoritative sources, books and articles. The main question of the research is which of the actors and at what level are involved in the crises of the Islamic world?ResultsThe creation of a crisis at various levels throughout the Muslim world, especially in the Middle East and North Africa, has prevented the Islamic states from becoming powerful. Most of the geopolitical crises exist on the surface between the Islamic world countries, and secondly, between the West and the Muslim world. This point reflects the geopolitical interests of many Western countries in the Muslim world, which do not easily ignore this part of their national interests.ConclusionThe results of the research indicate that since the crises of the Islamic world have two internal and external origins and fields, and has spread to different levels and dimensions in this region, unfortunately in the current situation, a clear vision for reducing and resolving conflicts and going towards Islamic unity and coherence does not exist.Keywords: conflict, Geopolitical Crisis, Islamic world, Asia, Africa
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