قیمت بنزین

This study investigates the perceptions of Iranians regarding energy subsidies, specifically exploring the key obstacles to reforming gasoline subsidies. Through a mixed-methods approach combining focus groups and two social surveys, this research identifies the primary concerns of the general public regarding subsidy reforms. The results reveal that individuals' resistance to subsidy reform is rooted in uncertainty about the government's motivations for the gasoline subsidy reform and the way in which benefits would be distributed. Notably, the central obstacle to successful reform is the government's dominant role in setting prices and redistributing resources, leading to a price shock. To address this challenge, this study proposes a policy recommendation: establishing an exchange market with a floating price for gasoline, while allocating a tradable quota to diminish the government's central role in the reform process. By democratizing the reform process and redistributing benefits, this approach aims to increase public acceptance and support for gasoline subsidy reforms in Iran.

As a strategic commodity, petrol has a profound effect on both government and society. Therefore, the government as the determinant of petrol price in Iran because of the petrol price changes have economic, political, social, cultural, environmental effects has always been challenged with respect to petrol prices. In recent years, various policies have been adopted, including gradual change, one-off change, and petrol sequestration, each with different consequences. On the other hand, the price of petrol is influenced by various factors as well. Therefore, it is essential to understand the structure of petrol pricing and price change policies in the country and its effects. For this purpose, the system dynamics approach is used as a holistic and dynamic problem solving method to model the structure governing petrol price and to investigate and simulate the effect of different policies on model behavior in this paper. The model simulation results showed that the gradual pricing policy was appropriate with the assumption that the dollar and petrol price did not change with inflation the year before and that the price stabilization policy was not appropriate.

Energy carriers prices, especially gas-oil and gasoline affect people’s life via cost of ransportation. This paper tries to explore the inflation caused by gas-oil and gasoline prices. In our model, gas-oil price, gasoline price, money volume, exchange rate, budget deficit and GDP are considered as variables affecting inflation in Iran. Thereupon, long term, short term and error correction models were estimated by ARDL method. The results show that the price of gasoline has a significant effect on inflation in the Iran’s economy. So that, every one percent increase in gasoline price, can raise the inflation rate at 1/112 percent. Furthermore, the price of gas-oil has a meaningful effect on the rate of inflation in Iran. So that, every one percent increase in the price of gas-oil can raise the inflation rate at 0/748 percent