Future Researching Approach for Formulating Disaster Management Overactive Strategy with Emphasis on Community-Based Approach

Today with the increased complexity and uncertainty in the various processes of human societies, it seems almost an illogical and impossible process to predict the future through the generalization of past trends; so futurists study alternative futures instead of a state of the future. Analysis of multi scenario and scenario processing are such techniques that In addition to considering the compilation of some alternative scenarios for facing with the future, attempts to prevent human and human communities of becoming a passive and trapped creature in hands of environment and achieve the power of future prediction and control as far as possible. The purpose of this study is to introduce types of possible and applicable strategies in disaster management and survey the approach of community based disaster management as an approach coincident with overactive strategy with using descriptive research method. In this study, in addition to historical and interpretative action research of over-active strategy, different aspects of disaster management has been addressed with emphasis on community-based approach; then potential sources of community- based approach of disaster management has been investigated through content analysis and gathering of information in documentation method and attempted to plan proportional with mentioned capacities by suggesting overactive strategy. The findings emphasize on the necessity of compilation and implementation of scenarios coincident with conditions, features and specific capacities of urban neighborhoods with the purpose of readiness for dealing with different disasters and controlling its consequences. High adaptation between the overactive and community-based approaches of disaster management will provide an appropriate field for synergistic and effectiveness of these two approaches interact with each other.