Volatility Spill Over in Oil, Gold and Exchange Rate (US Dollars-Euro) Markets

The purpose of this study is to evaluate and compare volatility and spillover effect among oil, Gold and exchange rate (US Dollars-Euro) markets in last decade and the decade before 2003. Using weekly data from 1993 to 2012, this paper employs econometric methods like M.GARCH-ASY-M (Multivariate GARCH Asymmetry Mean) and BEEK model to estimate the volatility magnitude and spillover effects in markets mentioned, Results show the relationship between markets and their power for risk transferring is significantly affected by the news and volatility persistency in a market. The persistent increase in oil prices after 2003 causes a significant relationship between returns and augmentation of spillover transferring among oil, gold an exchange rate markets. So, this finding show how the news and information among markets can augment the relationship between returns and risk spillover magnitude. Finally, the strength of effects depends on the persistency of news flows from one market to another.