Brief historical narrative of the risks of drought and famine 150 years ago in Iran; speculation and insists on the feasibility of transition Iran,s "land-nation-state" from the aquifer subsidence great crisis

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Abstract:
The key question this is article is whether Iran country can be transition from dangerous historical Screw due to aquifer subsidence? On this article to be effort To consider time factor have been given More objective aspects to analysis and Emergency Loopholes for Transition this from crisis. Centralization of this article are two points: First, Warning to Prevent the migration of 24 million farmers and their Massive bankruptcy and secoundary, warning to Confidence from water supply of great urban. The results of this analysis show that the transition from the crisis could been possible or impossible. The consequences of transition the water crisis to be Enumerated. Feasibility of transition of water crisis with Speculation and exact prediction are not possible. At least for reason that exact prediction of rainfall and wether condition It's impossible. In aditional to Determination of affect of economic variable and factos and government policy against extraction of groundwater are difficult. Therfor, can be Speculation and couldn’t be certainty prediction.
Language:
Persian
Published:
نشریه مدیریت آب, Volume:3 Issue: 4, 2015
Page:
57
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