Identifying The Key Factors Of The Future Studies On effects of implementation of the Sirvan River Water Transformation (The Arid Areas Project) on the Locational-Spatial Changes (Case study: Mehran county- ilam province)

The main purpose of scenario as a tool for planning is to increase the efficiency and quality of planning in the future of uncertainty. One of the practical strategies in this field is identifying the key factors of the prospect of the effects transfer of Water from the Sirvan River (The Arid Areas Project) to tropical areas in the county of Mehran to prepare ground for developing imaginary scenarios for the future of spatial evolution of the region.This research is a practical type in terms of purpose, a combination of documentary and scrolling methods In terms of methodology and in terms of its nature, it is analytical and explorative based on new approaches to future studies which have been with a combination of quantitative and qualitative models. Depending on the nature of this research, it has been used Delphi methods and structural analysis. The data of this research consists of 30 factors that Delphi methodology was used to collect the views of planning experts in development and water affairs of the county and analyzed with the help of MicMac software which Finally, the factors of mass media, population and migration, employment creation, investment security, income developments, demand and sales market, productivity, rural infrastructure, border security, cultivation area, agricultural machinery, production capacity, new settlements and Correction of the body texture of villages were identified as 13 factors of spatial-spatial changesn and has been formulated their probable situation on the horizon of 1408.