Corporate foresight in public institutions with a scenario planning approach Case study: Isfahan Gas Company
Message:
Abstract:

This research was conducted as an applied research with the aim of corporate foresight in Isfahan Gas Company. In this research a set of foresight methods including six pillars, trend analysis, expert panel, environmental scanning and scenario writing has been used. Participants in this study were fifteen senior managers of Isfahan Gas Company who participated in more than twenty expert panels.
The results showed that four major drivers, which means: 1- Relationship of the country with the global village. 2- Internal political tensions and insecurity. 3- Gas company privatization. 4- Gas export will be affected by the future of the Gas Company. Based on the different combinations of these four drivers in the scenario planning software (scenario wizard) and the use of a scenario-based approach focusing on critical uncertainties, at last, the story of three scenarios has been prepared. Finally, according to the scenario space, suggestions for implementation were presented.

Article Type:
Research/Original Article
Language:
Persian
Published:
Quarterly Journal of Management of Governmental Organizations, Volume:7 Issue:4, 2019
Pages:
79 - 96
magiran.com/p2047156  
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