Analyzing the Agricultural Drought Risk Management Solutions in Lorestan Province; Using Fuzzy Delphi Technique

One of the crises in Iranian agriculture sector is drought and identfying the risk management solutions for this problem are a necessity. The purpose of this research is analyzing the agricultural drought risk management strategies by fuzzy Delphi method that a mix of quantitative and qualitative methods was performed. The statistical population of the research consisted of key experts including subject mater related administrators and specialists of state organizations in Lorestan province. 20 of them were selected as sample using chain purposfull sampling. This research uses the risk and crisis cycle model by whilhite which risk management solutions fall into three categories: "reduction", "planning" and "monitoring and forecasting". The results showed that the most important priority in the reduction step was watershed management and aquifer development; at the planning step, preparation and implementation of the Land use Planning and In the step of monitoring and forecasting, establishing warning systems.based on results land use planning,adjusting the Cropping patern,international and regional collaboration for reinforcement of warning systems and drought monitoring and training and continous training to related  practioners was recommended.