Climate Change, Security and Sustainable Development of Eastern Iran (Case Study: Southern Khorasan Province)

Climate change and global warming have been presented by security actors and political analysts on numerous occasions. Understanding the extent of these changes can be very effective in managers' decision-making for sustainable development. The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between climate change and security and sustainable development in eastern Iran (Southern Khorasan province). In order to determine the temperature changes in the coming period, daily data of minimum and maximum temperature of 11 synoptic stations of Southern Khorasan province were obtained from the Iranian Meteorological Organization during the period 1990–2015. The most recent existing scenarios, called RCP scenarios, were downloaded from the Canadian Climate Change Web site and retransmitted using SDSM statistical exponential data for the next period (2041-2016) in the study area. Finally, using the Kriging interpolation method, mean temperature zoning maps for baseline and future periods were plotted in ArcGIS software. Then, using MATLAB software programming, the annual average temperature trend of the stations in the province was calculated, the results of which show an increasing trend of temperature in the base and future periods. The average temperature increase in the optimistic, intermediate and pessimistic scenarios is 1.34, 1.45 and 1.2 ° C, respectively. Climate change, in addition to the loss of farmland and water scarcity, is affecting people's livelihoods and can cause poor people to smuggle goods and drugs or migrate to cities and become borderless and incarcerated. Security problems. In addition to specifying the extent of temperature changes, this paper proposes strategies to counter the destructive effects of climate change and achieve sustainable security and development in South Khorasan Province.