The effects of global warming on the amount of extremes rainfall to floods with different return periods (Case Study: Jajrood watershed)-

Message:
Article Type:
Case Study (دارای رتبه معتبر)
Abstract:

 In this study , At first, meteorological data was reviewed between 1993 and 2018. Then, using LARS-WG software, climate change modeling was compared with the output data from climate change modeling in the period 2046-2065. Considering the changes in modeling in the LARS-WG software, the average daily maximum and minimum temperature can be incremental over the period 2046-2065 and also, the average daily precipitation can be decreased. Although, the average amount of daily rainfall has decreased but number of extreme points of daily precipitation during the modeling can be increased. After extraction of maximum daily rainfall data in two periods from 1993 to 2018 and 2046 to 2065 by choosing Log Pearson's 3rd Distribution, rainfall is estimated at diffrent return periods. Finally, by comparing the amount of rainfall corresponding to the floods in these two periods, Finally, comparing the amount of rainfall corresponding to the floods in these two periods was concluded that on average, these extreme rainfalls during the period from 2046 to 2065 could increase by about 15%.

Language:
Persian
Published:
Geosciences Scientific Quarterly Journal, Volume:29 Issue: 115, 2020
Pages:
241 to 246
magiran.com/p2132995  
دانلود و مطالعه متن این مقاله با یکی از روشهای زیر امکان پذیر است:
اشتراک شخصی
با عضویت و پرداخت آنلاین حق اشتراک یک‌ساله به مبلغ 1,390,000ريال می‌توانید 70 عنوان مطلب دانلود کنید!
اشتراک سازمانی
به کتابخانه دانشگاه یا محل کار خود پیشنهاد کنید تا اشتراک سازمانی این پایگاه را برای دسترسی نامحدود همه کاربران به متن مطالب تهیه نمایند!
توجه!
  • حق عضویت دریافتی صرف حمایت از نشریات عضو و نگهداری، تکمیل و توسعه مگیران می‌شود.
  • پرداخت حق اشتراک و دانلود مقالات اجازه بازنشر آن در سایر رسانه‌های چاپی و دیجیتال را به کاربر نمی‌دهد.
In order to view content subscription is required

Personal subscription
Subscribe magiran.com for 70 € euros via PayPal and download 70 articles during a year.
Organization subscription
Please contact us to subscribe your university or library for unlimited access!