There is no risk to the avoidance system, but identifying and evaluating the risk is essential to reducing or counteracting it. In this article, using GIS data of Golestan Electricity Distribution Company, spatial and descriptive information of insulators including insulator life, shape, structure and arrangement of insulators of 20 kV lines are distributed, extracted and based on statistical and experimental information. Insulators and some meteorological parameters, using the model of the backup vector machine, the parameters of which are optimized by the particle density method, the estimated surface electrical failure rate and the risk risk associated with the relevant feeder are specified. Finally, by calculating the model error and comparing it with the actual values, the correctness of the model is discussed and based on the proposed model, the status of the system and high-risk lines are determined and measures are taken to prevent certainty and damage in the system.
- حق عضویت دریافتی صرف حمایت از نشریات عضو و نگهداری، تکمیل و توسعه مگیران میشود.
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