Evaluation of Different Scenarios of Water Resources Management in the Gorganroud basin using WEAP and MODFLOW Models

Increase in population, agricultural development, and the reduction of surface water resources have resulted in an untapped harvest of ground water. On the other hand, the lack of attention to the balance between the exploitation and recharge of aquifers has led to a drop in water level in the aquifer. To understand the behavior of the ground water system and the status of resources and uses in the basin, as well as the situation of water exchange in these two parts, it is possible to connect reliable groundwater and surface water models The purpose of this study was to simulate Gorganroud aquifer flow by using using the groundwater model to understand the behavior of the aquifer system in different hydrological conditions and to provide a management solution to improve the  supply and demand conditions. First, the status of the aquifer under study was simulated by using the information available in the area by Modflow; then the groundwater model results were transferred to the Water Evaluation and Planning model (WEAP) by the LINK KITCHEN Software. Then different management scenarios including increased irrigation efficiency in agriculture,  the use of refinery effluents and  the reduction of river flow due to climate changes were considered as two combinations of the above scenarios to alleviate water demand under this scenario; so, projections for a period of 20 years water resources of the basin were studied. The results of modflow calibration showed that there was a good agreement between observation and simulated water table, such that the RMSE for Steady and Transient condition was 0/972 and 0/97, respectively. The results also showed that simultaneously applying multiple water management strategies seems to be better than any of its individual states, thereby reducing water withdrawal on various resources.