Spatial analysis of population aging trends in border areas of Iran(Case study of Kermanshah province, 1986-2016)

The issue of aging is a serious concept in demographic issues, the speed and acceleration of population growth and its impact on the economic, social and cultural structures of societies is one of the problems and issues that many countries around the world, including ours. The purpose of this study is to investigate the trend of population aging in the border province of Kermanshah and compare it with the whole country. This research has been done by "descriptive-analytical" method and using quantitative models. Research data were collected by library (documentary) method. In this regard, first using the results of the censuses of 1986 to 2016, eleven demographic characteristics of the total population, urban, rural, middle and average age, aging 60 and 65 years and above, births, general fertility, total and regeneration using Quantitative models were calculated for the whole country and Kermanshah province. The results in all indicators showed the aging of the population of the province in comparison with the national indicators. Also, in order to correlate between aging and population indicators, PLS structural equation analysis model was used. The results showed that all the relationships considered in this study were greater than 1.96 and this indicates the significance of those relationships at the 95% confidence level.