An Analytical Review of the Future of Saudi Arabia's Policies in Relation to the Syrian Crisis, with Emphasis on Futures Studies Approach
Message:
Article Type:
Research/Original Article (دارای رتبه معتبر)
Abstract:
Objective

Years after the outbreak of 2011 unrests in Syria and without a clear vision of the future of developments in this country, it will not be possible to plan for managing and ending this crisis. Among many various influential actors at the regional level, Saudi Arabia has had a great importance due to its strong presence since the very first days of the unrests in Syria as well as its relatively large influence on other regional and domestic actors. This article tries to provide a comprehensive analysis of the course of Saudi Arabia's previous actions and approaches in the Syrian crisis and to show future of Saudi policies towards the crisis. The article will then tries to offer most probable scenarios for the future of Saudi Arabian policies based on the principles of future studies.

Method

The present study employs descriptive-analytical method, futures studies approach and scenario-making method to study and examine the issue. Taking advantages of these approaches and methods, the article scrutinizes Saudi policies in Syrian crisis as well as reasons and objectives behind each of which.

Findings

Saudi Arabia's policies towards the Syrian crisis have been identified as a crucial factor in continuation of this crisis in the past, present and future.

Conclusion

Taking all factors and effective deterrents into account, this article introduces continuation of the current offensive policy pursued by a kind of network deterrence as the most probable scenario for the future of Saudi policies in the Syrian crisis.

Language:
Persian
Published:
A Quarerly Journal of Political Studies of Islamic World, Volume:10 Issue: 39, 2022
Pages:
1 to 29
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