Identifying the Regeneration Affecting Key Drivers of Tabriz City Historical Textures Using Future Studies Approach

The complexity and multidimensionality of urban problems and issues along with the rapid growth of technology and the globalization of production patterns, increasing and unstable conditions and the possibility of different futures have made it difficult to decide and plan on urban issues. In such a situation, planning and deciding on urban problems for the future becomes much more difficult. Based on this, the urban management of Tabriz metropolis is now dealing with challenges. Urbanization and urbanization make the system of urban society more complex. Now, one of the main challenges of the urban management system is a scientific solution to deal with the results arising from the complexity and multidimensionality of the urban society system with a focus on technology. The exponential growth of the urban population and finally the formation and physical and human accumulation of metropolises, the current and general trend of centralism and the disruption of the spatial order of distribution and distribution of facilities and urban population, which makes urban specialists and planners with increasing complexity. In terms of providing municipal services, providing housing and providing the necessary facilities and equipment, it has faced a blind alley. Todays, the most metropolises historical contexts are being destroyed and eroded, and based on this, urban management to prevent further damage in these contexts has adopted various methods to intervene and organize such areas. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the key indicators of regeneration in the historical and dilapidated context of District 8 of Tabriz metropolis. This research is applied in terms of purpose and descriptive-analytical in terms of methodology. For data collection, mixed method based on interview and Delphi technique as well as documentary method and field study have been used. 12 experts and executives who should be involved in the discussion were identified and selected, and then the most important drivers of effective reproduction were identified and scored using the Delphi method and a questionnaire.In this study, 40 indicators in the form of five physical-spatial, economic, socio-cultural, environmental and managerial-institutional components have been used to explain the situation of regeneration of the area, to investigate the relationship and effects and extract factors from MICMAC software and to determine The possible future situations of recreating these factors and the relationships between them have been analyzed and ranked. The results of this study show that out of 40 indicators studied, 10 indicators include government investment and injection of project funds, urban rules and regulations, citizen participation, urban development plans, land and housing prices, urban unit management, supervision and inspection, local economy, Network development and inflation are known as the key indicators. Also, in relation to key factors, 10 favorable top, middle and critical scenarios were presented in relation to the impermeability and micro-fineness of texture, land use and instability of historical buildings. , In each zone and the increase of collective participation and allocation of economic resources and more facilities to the buildings in which seismic improvement measures have been performed have been of higher importance than the whole building (locally or in general).