The effect of exchange rate fluctuations and the introduction of nanotechnology on Iran's agricultural exports and solutions, using the self-return model with distributed interruption (ARDL)

In this study, considering the importance of non-oil exports (especially agricultural goods) which is the basis of trust of each country and due to its importance in the current economic conditions of Iran as a supplier of raw materials for food processing industries, the effect of exchange rate Which is one of the key variables affecting the export process of non-oil and agricultural goods to be studied on these products.Of course, to facilitate the production and export of this sector due to many challenges such as increasing population growth and demand for food supply, climate change, environmental problems such as the accumulation of toxins, chemical fertilizers and pesticides, limited agricultural land and resources Water The use of modern techniques in the world, including nanotechnology and nuclear technology, etc., has become more important in the agricultural sector.In this research, the library method has been used to analyze the subject and in preparing the required statistics, an attempt has been made to use the latest official statistics of the country, which have been taken from the Central Reserve Bank, National Customs, Ministry of Jihad Agriculture and other organizations and institutions. In the present study, the time period studied is from 1992 to 2011. For this purpose, after static tests, the Distributed Interval Distribution (ARDL) model has been used to estimate the relationship between agricultural exports and the exchange rate, as well as other variables studied. The results show that in the short run there is a direct effect between rising exchange rates and increasing exports. The results also show that there is an inverse relationship between the relationship between trade and export of the agricultural sector and between the relationship between trade in the previous period and the export of the agricultural sector in the current period and a positive relationship between value added of the agricultural sector, agricultural production and agricultural capital. Thus, it is recommended that some non-price policies such as structural changes in preferred or higher comparative goods due to increased international competitiveness as much as exchange rate changes improve the export situation and consequently improve the trade balance on the agenda to be placed.