The study of the long run effects of international trade on economic success variables in Iran

Economic growth and inflation control are among the goals pursued by any economy. In today's world, decision-making power and role-playing in global trading are countries that have a lot to say in the economy. If the policymakers' goal is to develop and encourage trade, in order to achieve this goal, it must control the growth of the international presence and the inflation by strengthening the foundations of the country's production. This study examines the long run effects of international trade on Iran's economic success variables during the period 1350-1395 using Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The results of Johansson's co-integration test showed that there is a long run equilibrium relationship between variables.. The results of the IRF indicated that the positive shock of exports in the short, medium and long run had a significant positive effect on economic growth and inflation. The positive shock of imports in the short run has a significant positive effect, and in the medium and long run, there is a significant negative effect on economic growth, and this shock has a significant negative effect on inflation in the short, medium and long run.