Manufacturing Added Value and Economic Growth Nexus in Selected Countries

The value added of manufacturing activities has positive effects and side effects on the national economy. Improving productivity, increasing the complexity of economy and strengthening capital accumulation are among these consequences. Therefore, in some studies, the role of manufacturing has been interpreted as a growth engine. In addition, improving the economic conditions and per capita incomes usually increase the share of household expenditures in high-tech industrial products. This will increase the demand for factory products and possibly increase the activity of manufactures. The main purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between the value added induced by the activity of manufacturing industries and economic growth among different countries using PVAR model. The limitation of having a consistent set of data has reduced the number of sample countries to 21. The data belongs to the years 1990-2020. The average share of manufacturing in the total production of the selected countries is 15% and the average economic growth in these countries is about 2%. The result of the study, the stability of which has also been confirmed, does not rule out the existence of a simultaneous and reciprocal relationship between the two main variables of the research. In case of a positive 10% shock in the value added of manufacturing, the economic growth of the selected countries of this study will increase by 1% after 7 years and in case of a positive 10% shock in the economic growth, the activity of manufacturing will increase by about 0.5% after 7 years. In other words, the effect of manufacturing on the economic growth is greater than the effect of the economic growth on factory activity.