Iranian Tourism Stakeholders’ Opinion Dynamics in the Face of Chinese Tourists

The belief of the stakeholders who provide tourism services in the destination plays an important role in the sustainability of destinations. The values ​​of variables affecting these beliefs are always ambiguous and the causal relationships between them are uncertain. If we want to consider the reality of the dynamics in their opinions, the complexity of the issue will increase. For this purpose, we used fuzzy logic, Bayesian belief networks and opinion dynamics models. It is implemented on the data of Iranian stakeholders with the aim of attracting Chinese tourists. The data was collected by the questionnaire during the years 2019, 2020 and 2021 and is related to 540 stakeholders. Finally, not only an agent-based simulation is provided to visualize trends and how they evolve or co-evolve, but the possibility of predicting defective and desirable trends is provided to prevent or strengthen them, respectively.