Futuristic analysis of the environmental dimensions of Makran coasts in strengthening the defense deterrence of the Islamic Republic of Iran in the horizon of 2032

The coasts of Makran have vital values in terms of security-defence, economic and politics, which are considered as one of the unknown geo-economic capacities of Iran in enhancing the defense-security power and territorial territory of the country. Considering the increasing role of this region in strengthening the defense deterrence of the country, the present study deals with the prospective analysis of the environmental dimensions of the above-mentioned beaches in strengthening the defense deterrence of Iran in the horizon of 2032. The type of research is applied-developmental with a mixed approach, and its statistical population is purposefully selected from among experts, military and civilian experts, and specialists in maritime and defense affairs at the level of the country and the armed forces with the characteristics of service history in strategic jobs, including (35) people. Is. Information was collected using the library method and conducting interviews in brainstorming sessions with the presence of experts. In order to measure the reliability and validity of the five components and dimensions identified, Kendall's coefficients of agreement, Chi-square and Cronbach's alpha were used using SPSS software, and in order to identify the most effective components using the Likert scale and based on the lowest dispersion coefficient. The most effective components of each dimension were identified and determined. By holding brainstorming sessions, a number of (48) top components were identified with the consensus of their opinion and by conducting a survey in the form of an expert questionnaire, the components in the five territorial and extraterritorial dimensions of the coasts, the economic and tourism attractions of the coasts, the demographic and human distribution of the coasts, the field presence of converging countries and Divergent and finally the interactive and communicative role of beaches were categorized.