Designing the Meta-Combination Model of Crisis in the Central Bank's Foreign Exchange Policies

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Article Type:
Research/Original Article (دارای رتبه معتبر)
Abstract:
Forecasting crises in any society in public policies is of special importance from the point of view of policymakers. Comparison and review of past research on economic topics can also be considered as a guide for policymakers. Therefore, this research has been compiled with the aim of designing a meta-composite model of the crisis in the foreign exchange policies of the Central Bank. The research method is meta-composite, practical in terms of purpose, and documentary and library in terms of data collection. The findings showed that the main reason for the currency crisis in the category of foreign exchange policies is the lack of early warning systems of the financial crisis, in the commercial factors, exports and low GDP, among the political factors, non-membership in the monetary union and the inflation rate in the factors. Economic have the greatest impact on the emergence of the crisis in the policy of the central bank. In the behavior of investors, speculative and speculative attacks are the most known cause of currency crises. The consequences of the research include economic and social collapse. According to the findings of the research, it can be concluded that the policies of the central bank, banking policies, and management reasons cause policies to avoid currency crises to be formed, the consequences of which are economic and social development.
Language:
Persian
Published:
Emergency Management, Volume:12 Issue: 2, 2024
Pages:
19 to 33
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