فصلنامه راهبرد اقتصادی
پیاپی 18 (پاییز 1395)

Current account is one of the most important performance indicators in any economy. the current account position remains a very important policy concern.This article investigates the determinants of current account in IRAN using quarterly data. This study develops an open economy heterogeneous-agent theoretical model, and tests the implications of the model by estimating structural vector autoregression (SVAR) empirical models. A theoretical working model of the current account closely follows Bussiere et al.-(2004), Daniel (1993) and Bergin and Sheffrin (2000).But here is a special feature of Iran's economy such as exchange rate and oil dependency.
We impose identifying restrictions with following Gali (1992) and Blanchard and Quah (1989) approach to recover the structural shocks. Also we analyze corresponding dynamic effects using forecasting error variance decomposition and impulse response function analysis tools. The results show domestic permanent net output shocks such as efficiency policies and domestic temporary net output shocks such as fiscal policies mainly have a role of important on the determinants of current account. Also, the exchange rate uncertainty, oil prices and oil revenues are a sign of the importance of current account after the production-related.

The study of the effect of government size and good governance on the index of human development is very important and there are various theories in this regard. In previous studies, the relationship between government size and good governance with the Human Development Index has been examined separately. In this paper, good governance and the size of government are examined together in a model. In this study, we examine the relationship between good governance index and government size with human development index in Iran for the period 1996 to 2016. To measure good governance index, the average of six indicators presented by the World Bank for good governance was used, government expenditure to GDP ratio was used to measure government size, and literacy rate and urbanization rate were used as control variables. The Toda-Yamamoto causality method was used to investigate the causality relationship between the variables, the Johansen-Joselius test was used to obtain long-run coefficients and the ECM was used to obtain short-run correlation. The results of Toda-Yamamoto causality method showed that there is a two-way causality relationship between independent variables of research with human development index and also the results of Johansen-Joselius method showed that the effect of good governance variables, government size, literacy rate and urbanization rate on human development. it's positive.

The concept of energy has a particular importance in our economy. Approximately half of the energy consumed in our country belongs to the household and construction sector. The importance of Public awareness, when clarifies that we find based on the results of internal investigations, price elasticity of energy demand in our society is low, and price politics, doesn’t have enough efficiency in management of energy consumption and efficiency improvement. In this investigation we want to extract the effective awareness’s on consumption behavior and energy consumption efficiency in household sector, and analyze the amount of effectiveness and importance of each case. For this purpose, after the collection of data based on the experts in this field and analysis them by Friedman test and with SPSS software, we reach to this that "Raising awareness about the national interests and strengthen the sense of national patriot and chauvinism" and "awareness about the damaging effects on the environment and human health" has a huge impact, "Designing courses and special courses related to energy efficiency" and "distribution of books, and other Special Issue media items to explain optimization methods" a large impact, "education and cultural progress in schools and become observers of children in household consumption" and " awareness of the economic potential of energy efficiency" has the effect of average to above, "training in public housewives field of optimizing energy consumption in the home" has the effect of low from moderate and "level of education housewives" have little impact on consumer behavior household sector.

Sanctions as economic warfare tools can be effective in People's dissatisfaction with the government. This influence is largely related to the social preferences towards the government. This article examines the effects of social preferences, with emphasis on religious preferences, on sanctions neutralization. We examine whether religious people in a sanctioned conditions, contribute to religious government? In this research is used public good game and religiousness questionnaire of players with the laboratory analysis. The questionnaire analysis shows a significant relationship between religiosity and religious government support in the sanction conditions. Also, the results showed that individuals with religious preferences have further partnership to neutralize the effect of sanctions. Therefore, the religious government, with the strengthening of this group in the community, can go strong with the backing of sanctions. On the other hand, proper management of public opinion and people's preferences can reduce the pressure from economic sanctions.

The hotel industry in Iran, which are faced with specific conditions like sanctions. Research has shown that formulating the correct model of strategic marketing Implementation is critical to overcome these challenges. In Iran, a set of resilient economy policies has been proposed to help solve the various business challenges faced by these specific conditions. The focus of this study is to design a strategic marketing implementation model in the hotel industry, with focusing on Resilient economy. By qualitative content analysis method, a preliminary conceptual model of the research was designed. Then, by Delphi method, the final model was extracted. The inferential part of the research is based on the multi-level confirmatory factor analysis technique and structural equation modeling. The results of the research indicate that strategic marketing implementation based on a resilient economy will be able to increase the new capacities of 5-star hotels in Iran.

Today, with the development of the communication infrastructure and the interconnection of different financial markets, the importance of financial system stability has become more and more important. This is important to monitor and control the various financial markets and to avoid instability and crisis in the financial system as well as to prevent the devastating impact of the financial crisis on the real sector of the economy. To this end, in recent years, by combining financial market indices, researchers have devised a comprehensive index to illustrate the overall status of the financial system with respect to the degree of risk, instability, and resilience available to the financial system. Significantly, the lack of such an indicator is in line with the conditions of the Iranian financial system, indicating the situation of stress in order to describe the conditions of the financial system to achieve financial stability. In this study, by determining the dimensions of the Iranian financial system and selecting the risk and volatility indicators in different financial markets and combining them, we designed an index designated as the stress index of the Iranian financial system. After combining the obtained variables with equal weighting method, we have analyzed the designed index and we have concluded that the periods between the end of 1391 to the end of 1394 also the end of 1396 to the middle of 1397 are the stressful periods in the Iranian financial system. In addition, by examining the factors affecting this index, we have found that the greatest impact on stress in the Iranian financial system was related to the shocks caused by the producer price index.