فهرست مطالب

پژوهش آب ایران - پیاپی 39 (زمستان 1399)

مجله پژوهش آب ایران
پیاپی 39 (زمستان 1399)

  • تاریخ انتشار: 1400/01/17
  • تعداد عناوین: 16
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  • سید محسن سجادی*، مصطفی نیسی، محمود شفاعی بجستان صفحات 1-8

    از دریچه سالونی به‌عنوان سازه‌ای نوین برای تنظیم سطح آب و با مزیت عبور اجسام شناور و رسوب در شبکه‌های آبیاری استفاده می‌شود. در مطالعه حاضر با کمک معادله انرژی و نتایج آزمایشگاهی، خصوصیات جریان عبوری از نوع اصلاح شده این دریچه، به نام دریچه‌های سالونی- بیضوی در وضعیت آزاد بررسی شد. این تحقیق در فلومی با دیواره شیشه‌ای و کف فلزی به طول 10/50 متر، عرض 0/8 متر و عمق 0/6 متر برای 5 دبی و در تعداد 5 بازشدگی مورد ارزیابی قرار گرفت. آزمایش‌ها نشان داد که در وضعیت جریان آزاد، ضریب دبی تنها تابعی از نسبت بازشدگی دریچه است. همچنین مشخص شد در وضعیت یکسان، با کم شدن بازشدگی، ضریب دبی دریچه سالونی- بیضوی نسبت به دریچه سالونی- مستطیلی افزایش می‌یابد. در ادامه معادلات دبی و ضریب دبی دریچه سالونی- بیضوی در شرایط جریان آزاد، (% 3/14 =MAPE)، پیشنهاد شد که تخمین مناسبی از این دو پارامتر را ارایه می نمایند. در پایان نتایج حاصل با مطالعات پیشین مقایسه شد.

    کلیدواژگان: جریان آزاد، دریچه های سالونی بیضوی و مستطیلی، ضریب دبی، منحنی دبی- اشل.
  • نغمه رحیمی، سید ناصر باشی ازغدی، فرهاد خام چین مقدم* صفحات 9-16

    رشد سریع جمعیت، توسعه و گسترش حریم شهرها، صنعتی شدن جوامع و گسترش سطوح آسفالتی، سطح مناطق غیرقابل نفوذ در شهرها را افزایش داده و موجب افزایش حجم و سرعت انتقال رواناب حاصل از بارش گردیده است. هدف از این تحقیق، شبیه‌سازی نحوه عملکرد سیستم زهکشی کانال‌های اصلی، استفاده از مخازن ذخیره‌ رواناب جهت نگهداشت سیلاب، بررسی تاثیر این مخازن بر کاهش دبی اوج سیلاب و جانمایی مخازن طرح توسعه با توجه به نیاز آبی در حوضه آبریز شهری آب و برق منطقه 9 شهرداری مشهد است. این حوضه در سه حالت بدون مخازن نگهداشت، استفاده از مخازن نگهداشت (در شرایط موجود) و استفاده از مخازن پیشنهادی (در شرایط توسعه) شبیه‌سازی شده است. نتایج نشان می‌دهد که در شرایط بدون مخازن، دبی و حجم رواناب خروجی از حوضه به ترتیب 6.55 مترمکعب بر ثانیه و 17531 مترمکعب است. در سناریوی استفاده از مخازن موجود، حجم کلی رواناب درحدود 16298 مترمکعب است که نسبت به حالت بدون مخازن به مقدار 1233 مترمکعب یا 7% کاهش پیدا کرده است. با جانمایی مخازن پیشنهادی، مقدار رواناب خروجی 14900 مترمکعب گردید که مقدار 1398 مترمکعب یا 9% نسبت به سناریوی با مخازن موجود و 15% نسبت به حالت بدون مخزن کاهش پیدا کرده است.

    کلیدواژگان: رواناب سطحی، کنترل سیلاب، مخازن نگهداشت رواناب، نرم افزار ASSA، GIS
  • پویا عباسی، سید ناصر باشی ازغدی، فرهاد خام چین مقدم* صفحات 17-22

    درسال‌های اخیر توجه روز افزون به ایمن نگاه داشتن شبکه‌‌های آب شهری از خطرات احتمالی طیف وسیعی از مطالعاتی را به دنبال داشته است که مهم‌‌ترین هدف آن‌ها، کمینه کردن اثرات مخرب این خطرات بر سلامت عموم بوده است. یکی از مهم‌ترین خطرات تهدید کننده شبکه‌های آب شهری، حملات عمدی ‌به‌منظور آلوده کردن آب شبکه با آلاینده‌های شیمیایی است. به دلیل اهمیت بروز آلودگی در شبکه آب شهری بر سلامت مردم وهمچنین زمان بسیار مهم از هنگام تشخیص و تایید آلودگی تا شروع فعالیت-های واکنشی در کاهش اثرات مخرب آلودگی بر سلامت مردم ضروری است اقدامات مناسبی در این خصوص اندیشیده شود. از جمله اقدامات انجام شده در این تحقیق ایزوله کردن ناحیه آلوده شده توسط شیرهای موجود در شبکه به منظور‌جلوگیری از گسترش آلودگی و تخلیه آب آلوده از طریق شیرهای آتش‌نشانی می‌باشد. این مسئله با استفاده از الگوریتم ژنتیک بررسی شد. نتایج نشان داد که با انتخاب تعداد جمعیت 30 و نسل 150، نرخ تزویج 85/0 و جهش 15/0 کمترین آلودگی در شبکه مصرف شده است. در این تحقیق آنالیز حساسیت بر روی زمان شروع مدیریت پیامد از ساعت 11 الی 16 انجام شد که نتایج نشان داد، کاهش زمان شروع مدیریت پیامد درکاهش آلودگی نقش بسزایی دارد.

    کلیدواژگان: آلودگی، مدیریت پیامد، الگوریتم ژنتیک، شبیه سازی، بهینه سازی
  • مائده فتحی، مجید آزادی*، غلامعلی کمالی، امیرحسین مشکوتی صفحات 23-37

    در این پژوهش، نتایج حاصل از اجرای یک سامانه پیش‌بینی همادی با استفاده از هشت پیکربندی مختلف مدل WRF برای تولید پیش‌بینی‌های احتمالاتی بارش روی ایران ارایه می‌شود. برای شرایط مرزی و اولیه مدل‌ها از داده‌های سامانه پیش‌بینی جهانی موسوم به GFS با تفکیک افقی 0/5 درجه استفاده شد. روش‌های میانگین‌گیری بایزی (BMA) و وایازش لجستیک برای واسنجی پیش‌بینی‌های احتمالاتی بارش 24، 48 و 72 ساعته در پاییز و زمستان 2016-2015 اعمال شد. داده‌ها شامل دو دوره آموزش و ارزیابی بود. پیش‌بینی احتمالاتی بارش تجمعی 24 ساعته با استفاده از نمودارهای اطمینان‌پذیری و ROC، امتیاز RPS و امتیازهای مهارتی RPSS و RSS در آستانه‌های 0/1، 2/5، 5، 10، 15 و 25 میلی‌متر ارزیابی شد. نتایج نشان داد که پیش‌بینی احتمالاتی سامانه همادی به روش BMA اعتماد‌پذیرتر و تفکیک‌پذیرتر از روش وایازش لجستیک بود؛ به‌گونه‌ای که در روش BMA پس از واسنجی، نمودار اطمینان‌سنجی و نمودار ROC بهبود قابل توجهی داشت. نتایج حاصل از درستی‌سنجی نشان می‌دهد که پس از واسنجی، امتیاز RPS در روش BMA برای پیش‌بینی‌های 24، 48 و 72 ساعته به‌ترتیب 45، 40 و 38 درصد و در روش وایازش لجستیک به‌ترتیب 40، 36 و 34 درصد نسبت به پیش‌بینی خام کاهش یافت. به‌طورکلی نتایج نشان داد که استفاده از روش BMA برای واسنجیده کردن برونداد خام سامانه همادی برای پیش‌بینی‌های بارش با وجود هزینه‌های کم محاسباتی، نسبت به روش‌ وایازش لجستیک برتری جزیی و نسبت به پیش‌بینی خام نتایج را به‌طور قابل ملاحظه‌ای بهبود داده و استفاده از آن در پیش‌بینی‌های عملیاتی توصیه می‌شود.

    کلیدواژگان: سامانه همادی، مدل WRF، پیش بینی احتمالاتی، میانگین گیری، بایزی وایازش لجستیک، درستی سنجی
  • سید مصطفی طباطبائی*، محمدجواد زینلی، بهاره سادات همراز صفحات 39-51

    محدودیت منابع آب شیرین در ایران و ضرورت برنامه‌ریزی برای استفاده مناسب از ظرفیت‌های متنوع منابع آب، توجه به استحصال حقابه رودخانه‌های مرزی را برجسته‌تر می‌کند. در این پژوهش، سیاست‌‌های راهبردی که دولت برای استحصال حقابه رودخانه‌های مرزی ایران می‌تواند اتخاذ کند، طبق نظر کارشناسان در قالب20 پرسش‌نامه و بر اساس 5 معیار و 12 راهبرد تهیه شده و با استفاده از روش AHP و ANP اولویت‌بندی شد و نتایج با استفاده از روش تری آنتافیلو و همکاران (1997) تحلیل حساسیت شد. طبق نتایج راهبرد A1 در روش AHP با ارجحیت 11/89 درصد و در روش ANP با ارجحیت 11/08 درصد در اولویت اول قرار گرفت. همچنین راهبرد A11 در روش AHP با ارجحیت 8/17 درصد و در روش ANP با ارجحیت 6/11 درصد در اولویت آخر قرار گرفت. همچنین میزان منفعت با ضریب 0/185 به‌عنوان حساس‌ترین معیار معرفی شد. راهبرد A4 با ضریب 0/178 نسبت به سایر راهبردها حساس‌ترین سیاست راهبردی می‌باشد که بر اساس معیار میزان منفعت حاصل شده است. در گام نهایی پس از نرمال‌سازی وزن راهبردها با توجه به معیار بحرانی، اولویت‌بندی راهبردها با اندکی تغییر در وزن‌ها بدون تغییر باقی ماند.

    کلیدواژگان: آب های مرزی، دیپلماسی آب، روش های چند معیاره، رودخانه، تحلیل سلسله مراتبی، تحلیل شبکه ای
  • فرزین پرچمی عراقی*، فاطمه سمیع پور، عدنان صادقی لاری صفحات 53-66

    شیوه زهکشی کنترل شده، راهکاری موثر برای بهبود مدیریت آب کشاورزی در اراضی فاریاب مناطق خشک و نیمه‌خشک و تخفیف آثار زیست‌محیطی زهکشی زیرزمینی است. در پژوهش حاضر، با افزودن قابلیت شبیه‌سازی زهکشی زیرزمینی کنترل شده به مدل زراعی- هیدرولوژیکی SWAP و تلفیق این مدل با گونه بهبود یافته‌ای از الگوریتم بهینه‌سازی رفتار جمعی اجزای یکپارچه (UPSO)، یک طرح مدل‌سازی زراعی-هیدورولوژیکی توزیعی با قابلیت واسنجی زیرروزانه و امکان شبیه‌سازی مدیریت ترکیبی زهکشی زیرزمینی آزاد/کنترل شده توسعه یافت. طرح مدل‌سازی توسعه یافته، در یکی از مزارع کشت و صنعت نیشکر امام خمینی (ره) با مدیریت زهکشی کنترل شده (کنترل سطح ایستابی در عمق 70 سانتی‌متر) و کشت اول نیشکر طی دوره شبیه‌سازی 1389/4/28 تا 1390/9/20 (به‌مدت 481 روز) مورد استفاده قرار گرفت. نتایج واسنجی و صحت‌یابی مدل توسعه یافته، حاکی از قابلیت تعمیم‌پذیری مناسب مدل در شبیه‌سازی رطوبت خاک، عمق سطح ایستابی و جریان زه‌آب خروجی (با آماره ضریب بازدهی مدل، EF، به‌ترتیب، برابر با 0/875، 0/933 و 0/751 طی مرحله واسنجی و آماره EF به‌ترتیب، برابر با 0/804، 0/760 و 0/739 طی مرحله صحت‌یابی)، شبیه‌سازی نیم‌رخ غلظت املاح آب خاک و شوری زه‌آب خروجی از سیستم زهکش زیرزمینی با آماره ریشه میانگین خطای نرمال شده، NRMSE، به‌ترتیب برابر با 101/0 و 142/0 در مرحله واسنجی و آماره NRMSE به‌ترتیب، برابر با 0/092 و 0/119 طی مرحله صحت‌یابی) و شبیه‌سازی شاخص سطح برگ، عملکرد نی و عملکرد ساکارز (با آماره EF به‌ترتیب، برابر با 0/996، 0/996 و 0/999 در مرحله واسنجی) بود. بر اساس اجزای بیلان نمک شبیه‌سازی شده طی دوره مطالعاتی، حدود 33/72 تن بر هکتار نمک از طریق آبیاری به‌ مزرعه مطالعاتی وارد و حدود 54/94 تن بر هکتار نمک از طریق سیستم‌های زهکشی سطحی و زیرزمینی به بدنه‌های آبی پذیرنده تخلیه شد.

    کلیدواژگان: برنامه نویسی موازی، بهینه سازی رفتار جمعی اجزا، ریچاردز، بنیان، شوری
  • صادق مودی، مهدی اژدری مقدم، حسین مهدیزاده* صفحات 67-76

    مجرای ورودی یکی از اجزای شبکه فاضلاب است که نقش انتقال آب سطحی به شبکه زیرزمینی را ایفا می‌نماید. به‌طورکلی مدل‌سازی این‌گونه جریانات تنها با استفاده از معادلات سه‌بعدی ناویر-استوکس امکان‌پذیر می‌باشد که بسیار پیچیده و زمان‌بر هستند. در اینجا از معادلات آب‌های کم‌عمق با فرض فشار هیدرواستاتیک به‌منظور پیش‌بینی حرکت امواج و به‌عنوان یک جایگزین مناسب برای معادلات ناویر-استوکس استفاده می‌گردد. برای در نظر گرفتن وضعیت جریان در مجرای ورودی، از یک سیستم معادلات معمولی استفاده شده است. در پژوهش حاضر، ابتدا به‌منظور صحت سنجی حل عددی، برهم‌کنش جریان ناشی از شکست سد با جریان خروجی از مجرای فاضلاب مورد بررسی قرار می‌گیرد. سپس جریان آب در یک شبکه فاضلاب شامل یک مجرای ورودی و کانال زیرین، مدل‌سازی شده و نتایج آن با نتایج معادلات ناویر-استوکس که از نرم‌افزار استار سی‌دی به دست می‌آید، مقایسه می‌گردد. هم‌چنین یک عدد بدون بعد به نام عدد مجرای ورودی بر اساس ارتفاع مجرا و کانال زیرین، عرض مجرا و سرعت ورود آب به مجرا تعریف می‌شود. برای تعریف یک محدوده مناسب برای این عدد، آزمایشات عددی گوناگونی با تغییر در پارامترهای موثر انجام گرفته و نتیجه شد که درصورتی‌که MN ≤ 0.98 باشد، خطای محاسبه‌شده با روش RMSE کمتر از یک درصد بوده و به سمت صفر میل می‌نماید.

    کلیدواژگان: سیلاب، مجرای ورودی، معادلات ناویر، استوکس، معادلات آب های کم عمق، نرم افزار استار سی دی
  • مهرداد نوروزی*، مختار زلفی باوریانی صفحات 77-86

    در استان بوشهر به‌دلیل وضعیت آب و هوایی خشک و نیمه‌خشک و بارش جوی کم، آب مهم‌ترین عامل محدودکننده توسعه کشاورزی است؛ لذا به کارگیری روش‌های نوین آبیاری با هدف جلوگیری از هدر رفتن آب، امری اجتناب‌ناپذیر است. به تازگی در این استان از نوارهای قطره‌ای برای آبیاری مزارع گوجه‌فرنگی استفاده می‌شود که این شیوه، توسعه خوبی داشته است. برای بررسی اثر روش‌های مختلف قرارگیری نوارهای قطره‌ای بر عملکرد و کارایی مصرف آب گوجه‌فرنگی آزمایشی در قالب طرح بلوک‌های کامل تصادفی با چهار حالت قرارگیری نوار قطره‌ای شامل T1 قرارگیری نوارهای آبیاری روی سطح زمین؛ T2 قرارگیری نوارهای آبیاری داخل جوی‌های سطحی؛ T3 قرارگیری نوارهای آبیاری در عمق حدود 10 سانتی‌متر و T4 قرارگیری نوارهای آبیاری در عمق حدود 20 سانتی‌متر از سطح زمین، در سه تکرار و طی سه فصل زراعی (89-1386) اجراء شد. برای محاسبه نیاز آبی از روش پنمن-مانتیث-فایو استفاده شد. دور آبیاری به‌صورت یک روز در میان و برای کنترل میزان آبیاری کرت‌ها از کنتور حجمی استفاده شد. بر اساس نتایج به دست آمده در تیمارهای زیرسطحی، عملکرد محصول و کارایی مصرف آب آبیاری نسبت به استقرار سطحی افزایش داشت؛ به گونه‌ای که بیشترین عملکرد (48 تن در هکتار) و کارایی مصرف آب (4/9 کیلوگرم بر مترمکعب) مربوط به T3 بود. همچنین، با افزایش عمق استقرار از 10 سانتی‌متر به 20 سانتی‌متر، عملکرد و کارایی مصرف آب کاهش داشت و کمترین عملکرد و کارایی مصرف آب مربوط به تیمار T1 بود؛ با وجود این تفاوت معنی‌داری بین تیمارهای T2 و T3 وجود نداشت. در اواخر فصل رشد به‌دلیل نیاز تبخیر اتمسفر حرکت نمک به سمت بالا افزایش داشت؛ ولی این افزایش تحت تاثیر عمق استقرار نوار قطره‌ای متفاوت بود. لذا روش قرارگیری نوار آبیاری در داخل جوی سطحی به‌دلیل سهولت مدیریت و بهره‌برداری از سیستم آبیاری و نیز آبشویی بهتر نمک از محیط ریشه پیشنهاد شد.

    کلیدواژگان: آبیاری قطره ای نواری، آبیاری قطره ای زیرسطحی، آبیاری قطره ای سطحی، شوری خاک
  • ریحانه قسمی، رسول میرعباسی*، محمدعلی نصراصفهانی صفحات 87-98

    با توجه به آثار محسوس پدیده تغییر اقلیم در قرن حاضر بر پارامترهای هواشناختی و به دنبال آن منابع آب، شبیه‌سازی و پیش‌بینی رواناب در حوضه‌ها بسیار ضروری است؛ از این‌رو در پژوهش حاضر، تاثیر پدیده تغییر اقلیم بر رواناب رودخانه شیرین (اعظم جره) با تاکید بر عدم قطعیت مربوط به مدل‌های AOGCM، در دوره آتی 2020-2040 بررسی شد. بدین‌منظور، برای کمی‌سازی عدم قطعیت، خروجی 23 مدل AOGCM با استفاده از روش وزن‌دهی و محاسبه معیارهای عملکردی، مورد ارزیابی قرار گرفت و 5 مدل GFDL-ESM2G، GISS-E2-R، MPI-ESM-LR، MPI-ESM-MR وMRI-CGCM3 به‌عنوان مدل‌های برتر انتخاب شدند. خروجی این مدل‌ها تحت سه سناریو RCP2.6، RCP4.5 و RCP8.5 در این پژوهش استفاده شد که نتایج آن حاکی از افزایش دما و کاهش بارش در منطقه مورد مطالعه بود . در ادامه برای پیش‌بینی رواناب رودخانه شیرین (اعظم جره) از مدل بارش- رواناب IHACRES استفاده شد . مقدار ضریب تعیین (R^2) برای دوره واسنجی و درستی‌سنجی به‌ترتیب 0/74 و 0/69 و همچنین ضریب نش- ساتکلیف به‌ترتیب 0/7 و 0/52 به دست آمد که این نتایج بیانگر عملکرد قابل قبول مدل در شبیه‌سازی بارش- رواناب بود. بر اساس شبیه‌سازی‌های انجام شده چشم‌انداز آتی رواناب سالانه رودخانه شیرین (اعظم جره) در دوره 2020-2040 نسبت به دوره پایه حاکی از کاهش رواناب تحت هر سه سناریو RCP بوده که بیشترین کاهش تحت سناریوی RCP2.6 به میزان 680 میلیون مترمکعب بود. همچنین نتایج متوسط رواناب ماهانه طی دوره 2020-2040 نسبت به دوره پایه نشان دهنده کاهش رواناب در اکثر ماه‌ها (به استثنای می، ژوین، ژولای و اوت) بود.

    کلیدواژگان: تغییراقلیم، مقیاس کاهی آماری، بارش، رواناب، سناریوهای تابشی، رودخانه شیرین
  • علیرضا دنیایی، امیرپویا صراف*، حسن احمدی صفحات 99-111

    استفاده از روش ها و ابزارهای بهینه‌سازی برای بهره‌برداری چندهدفه از مخازن امری اجتناب ناپذیر است. در این پژوهش پس از معرفی الگوریتم بهینه‌سازی چندهدفه نهنگ (MOWOA)، عملکرد آن در مساله بهره‌برداری بهینه از مخزن سد بوستان براساس روش حل تعارض کالای‌ و ‌اشمورودینسکی ارزیابی شد. در مساله بهینه‌سازی حاضر ضمن اعمال محدودیت های معادلات پیوستگی مخزن، توابع هدف به‌صورت کمینه سازی کمبودهای نیاز آبی اراضی پایین دست و کمینه‌سازی انحراف از حجم ایده‌آل کنترل سیل طی دوره بهره‌برداری تعریف گردید. عملکرد حاصل از الگوریتم‌های پیشنهادی با الگوریتم NSGA-II به عنوان یکی از الگوریتم‌های رایج در این زمینه مقایسه شد. عملکرد مدل بر اساس شاخص های اطمینان‌پذیری، برگشت‌پذیری، آسیب‌پذیری و پایداری مورد مقایسه و ارزیابی قرار گرفتند و برای حل تعارض موجود بین اهداف، از روش‌های مبتنی بر نظریه بازی‌ها (روش کالای و اشمورودینسکی) برای یافتن جواب بهینه استفاده شد. نتایج حاصل از بهینه‌ساری نشان دادند که در هر دو تابع هدف تامین نیاز آبی و کنترل سیلاب، MOWOA عملکرد بهتری را نسبت به NSGA-II از خود نشان می‌دهد. در خصوص مدت زمان انجام عملیات بهینه‌سازی، MOWOA به ‌دلیل دارابودن پارامترهای تنظیمی کمتر، سریعتر از NSGA-II به همگرایی می‌رسد. شاخص های ارزیابی عمکرد مدل حاکی از آن است که از دیدگاه اطمینان‌پذیری MOWOA از مقادیر بالاتری (86 درصد) نسبت به الگوریتم NSGA-II برخوردار است. نتایج به‌دست آمده از روش آنتروپی شانون برای وزن دهی شاخص ها نشان می‌دهد که پارامترهای ارزیابی مدل دارای وزن بیشتری نسبت به توابع هدف می‌باشند. نتایج حاصل از روش کالای و اشمورودینسکی نشان داد که سیاست های بهره‌برداری از مخزن بوستان انطباق بسیار مناسبی را با MOWOA نشان می‌دهد. از سوی دیگر از آنجاییکه مطلوبترین و نامطلوبترین مقادیر توابع هدف بدست آمده بوسیله MOWOA کمتر است، می‌توان عملکرد MOWOA را مناسب تر تشخیص داد.

    کلیدواژگان: بهینه سازی، بهره برداری چندهدفه، شاخص های ارزیابی عملکرد مدل، روش آنتروپی شانون، الگوریتم بهینه سازی NSGA II، الگوریتم بهینه سازی چندهدفه نهنگ، تئوری بازی ها، مخزن سد بوستان
  • محسن حیدری سلطان آبادی*، محسن دهقانی صفحات 113-122

    از جمله موارد مصرف انرژی در جهان فعالیت‌های کشاورزی است. در کشاورزی با صرف انرژی نهاده‌های مصرفی، محصول تولید ‌می‌شود که در این میان، آب به‌عنوان کلیدی‌ترین نهاده، همواره مدنظر بوده است. علاوه بر آن استفاده از سوخت‌های فسیلی و برق در پمپاژ آب، آثار زیست‌محیطی بر طبیعت وارد ‌می‌کند که توجه به نوع و میزان این آثار از اهمیت خاصی برخوردار است. در تحقیق حاضر میزان انرژی مصرفی در استحصال آب مورد نیاز کشت گندم در سطح 24 شهرستان استان اصفهان بررسی و محاسبه شد. همچنین آثار زیست‌محیطی استخراج و انتقال آب بر سر مزارع کشت گندم برآورد‌ شد. نتایج نشان داد که به ازای مصرف هر واحد انرژی آب در استان، 3/3 واحد انرژی دانه و کاه گندم تولید ‌می‌شود. همچنین میانگین استانی بهره‌وری انرژی آب در سطح استان 0/24کیلوگرم بر مگاژول به دست آمد. طبق نتایج حاصل از ارزیابی چرخه حیات تولید گندم و اثر مصرف آب در شهرستان‌های مختلف استان اصفهان، مقادیر شاخص گرمایش جهانی، پتانسیل اسیدی شدن، پتانسیل اوتریفیکاسیون خشکی، شاخص تخلیه منابع فسیلی و شاخص تخلیه منابع آب به‌ترتیب 26/375 کیلوگرم دی‌اکسیدکربن معادل، 2/49 کیلوگرم دی‌اکسید گوگرد معادل، 1/51 کیلوگرم اکسیدهای نیتروژن معادل، 1189/29 مگاژول و 1987/12 مترمکعب به ازای تولید هر تن گندم اندازه‌گیری شد. شاخص بوم‌شناخت ناشی از مصرف آب در گندم 0/16 و شاخص تخلیه منابع آب 0/7 برآورد شد.

    کلیدواژگان: آبیاری، انرژی مصرفی، شاخص بوم شناخت، عملکرد، گندم
  • امید کریمی*، اسماعیل اسدی، احمد فاخری فرد، یعقوب دین پژوه صفحات 123-140

    با توجه به اینکه اکثر نیازهای آبی در کشور ایران از طریق آبخوان‌ها صورت می‌گیرد لذا در این میان اطلاع از وضعیت آبخوان‌ها می‌تواند در مدیریت مناسب منابع آب منطقه کمک کند. در این تحقیق با بکارگیری مدل شبیه‌سازی WEAP و MODFLOW، مصارف دشت مرند مورد ارزیابی قرارگرفت. واسنجی دو مدل براساس یک دوره 10 ساله از سال 1389-1380 و اعتبارسنجی آن برای یک دوره 3 ساله از سال 1392-1390 انجام گرفت. سپس سناریوهای مختلف مدیریتی از جمله تامین آب شرب مرند با اعمال محدودیت در بهره‌برداری از چاه‌های شرب، افزایش راندمان آبیاری در بخش کشاورزی، اجرای سیستم فاضلاب، و ترکیب سناریوهای فوق، جهت کاهش تقاضای آب و بهبود وضعیت آبخوان در نظر گرفته شد. براساس این سناریوها پیش‌بینی‌ها برای یک دوره 23 ساله انجام و اثرات آن بر روی منابع آب دشت مورد بررسی قرار گرفت. نتایج نشان داد که بکارگیری همزمان و ترکیبی راهبردهای مختلف مدیریت مصرف آب، بهتر از حالت استفاده منفرد از هر کدام از آنها، باعث بهبود و احیای آبخوان می شود و برداشت آب از منابع مختلف را کاهش می‌دهد. شاخص اعتماد‌پذیری تامین آب در سناریوی مرکب، برای بخش‌های مختلف شرب شهری، روستایی، کشاورزی و صنعت به ترتیب 100، 100، 64/7، 74/6 درصد برآورد گردید. همچنین با اعمال این سناریو میزان تراز آب زیرمینی در دشت مرند 16 متر کاهش افت خواهیم داشت و وضعیت آبخوان نیز با تغذیه سالانه 0/29 میلیون مترمکعب بهبود و می‌تواند از تعادل نسبی بین برداشت و تغذیه آبخوان برخوردار باشد.

    کلیدواژگان: آب های سطحی، آب های زیرزمینی، آبخوان، مدیریت تلفیقی، MODFLOW، WEAP
  • هادی عاقبت بخیر، مهدی سرائی تبریزی*، حمید کاردان مقدم صفحات 141-152

    کیفیت منابع آب زیرزمینی با توجه به لزوم بهره‌برداری و نوع مصرف از اهمیت ویژه‌ای برخوردار است. آبخوان‌هایی که در مجاورت آتشفشان‌ها واقع شده‌اند تحت تاثیر این منابع رفتارهای مختلفی از خود نشان می‌دهند. این نوع آبخوان‌ها بسیار آسیب‌پذیر بوده و کیفیت آب آن‌ها تحت تاثیر منابع آلاینده‌های آتشفشانی قرار دارد. در این پژوهش وضعیت کیفی آبخوان خاش در جنوب کوه آتشفشان تفتان مورد بررسی قرار گرفته است. هدف از این پژوهش، شناخت منابع آلاینده این آبخوان به‌صورت مکانی بوده لذا بدین منظور علاوه بر نمونه‌برداری و تحلیل کیفی از مدل شبیه‌سازی کیفی MT3D نیز بهره گرفته شد. با شبیه‌سازی مدل کیفی و تحلیل منطقه‌ای جریان زیرزمینی منطقه مشخص گردید که بخش جنوبی آبخوان علاوه بر جریانات زیرزمینی تغذیه کننده در بخش شمالی، تغذیه مستقیم از طرف ارتفاعات نیز دارد و این موضوع باعث افزایش غلظت TDS و سولفات در این بخش آبخوان شده است. بررسی‌ها نشان داد که در این بخش بیش از 12% غلظت TDS و 30% غلظت سولفات افزایش داشته است. این افزایش علاوه بر عدم مدیریت بهره‌برداری، وجود جریانات زیرزمینی را نیز نشان می‌دهد که باعث تشدید وضعیت دخالت انسانی شده است. بررسی‌ها نشان داد که میزان گاز در منابع آب زیرزمینی در بخش شمالی آبخوان بالا بوده و این افزایش سبب اسیدی شدن منابع آب زیرزمینی منطقه نیز شده است.

    کلیدواژگان: آب زیرزمینی، آبخوان، اسیدی، آتشفشان، سولفات، MT3D، TDS
  • محمدصادق آقایار، امیر ملک پور*، بهنام شفیعی ثابت صفحات 153-162

    از مهم‌ترین عوامل موثر بر فرونشست زمین می‌توان به پمپاژ بی‌رویه آب زیرزمینی و خصوصیات هیدرولیکی و ژیوتکنیکی متفاوت با توجه به لایه‌بندی آبخوان در نواحی پیرامون چاه‌های تحت پمپاژ اشاره نمود. در تحقیق حاضر، یک نرم‌افزار کاربردی توسعه داده شد که خصوصیات فیزیکی و هیدرولیکی را از سیستم‌های اطلاعات جغرافیایی فراخوانی نموده و از روش ترکیبی جدید شامل کاربرد تابع تاثیر به همراه معادلات تعیین شعاع تاثیر سطح آب زیرزمینی ناشی از پمپاژ متغیر، به منظور برآورد فرونشست ناشی از چندین چاه در مدت معین استفاده می‌نماید. در انتها نتایج محاسبات انجام شده به صورت لایه‌ اطلاعات جدید به سیستم اطلاعات جغرافیایی اضافه می‌شود. نرم‌افزار توسعه یافته در یک مطالعه موردی در غرب گیلان مورد آزمون قرار گرفت، به این ترتیب که ناحیه مورد مطالعه با توجه به موقعیت قرارگیری چاه‌ها به دو بخش تقسیم گردید. سپس برحسب مقادیر پمپاژ گزارش شده از چاه‌های منطقه، 6 سناریو مختلف پمپاژ (در محدوده 30 تا 120 مترمکعب بر روز) اعمال شد. اعتبارسنجی مقادیر فرونشست حاصل از نرم‌افزار ارایه شده با نتایج مطالعات میدانی بیانگر عملکرد قابل قبول نرم‌افزار می‌باشد. همچنین طبق نتایج به دست آمده در منطقه مورد مطالعه، با افزایش پمپاژ و افزایش عمق فرونشست پیرامون چاه‌ها تا 30 سانتی‌متر مساحت ناحیه تحت فرونشست در منطقه افزایش یافته، اما افزایش بیشتر عمق فرونشست تاثیری بر مساحت ناحیه تحت فرونشست نداشته و حداکثر70 درصد از مساحت ناحیه پیرامون چاه‌ها تحت تاثیر فرونشست می‌باشد. طبق نتایج، رابطه خطی با همبستگی قابل قبول بین میانگین دبی پمپاژ آب زیرزمینی در بازه زمانی ده سال و حداکثر عمق فرونشست برقرار می‌باشد. همچنین حداکثر عمق نهایی فرونشست بیش از هر عاملی تحت تاثیر لایه‌بندی خاک می‌باشد، در حالی که نرخ افزایش فرونشست بیشتر متاثر از میزان افزایش پمپاژ می‌باشد. در نهایت، نرخ تغییرات فرونشست منطقه مورد مطالعه در بازه زمانی ده سال کمتر از مقدار حاصل در دامغان در مدت پنج سال می‌باشد.

    کلیدواژگان: نشست تحکیمی، برداشت آب زیرزمینی، مدل رایانه ای، نرم افزار MATLAB
  • مجتبی مبارکی، پیمان افراسیاب، حلیمه پیری* صفحات 163-177

    جهت تعیین کارکرد بهینه‌ی سامانه‌های آبیاری قطره‌ای، باید عملکرد آن‌ها مورد ارزیابی قرار گیرد. در این تحقیق پنج سامانه آبیاری قطره‌ای در بوشهر مورد ارزیابی قرار گرفت. از هر سامانه یک مانیفولد در حال کار انتخاب و ارزیابی‌ها بر روی چهار لاترال ابتدایی، یک سوم، دو سوم و لاترال انتهایی صورت گرفت. در هر مانیفولد هشت فشار در ابتدا و انتهای لوله لاترال و 32 حجم آب در محل 16 درخت به‌دست آمد. متوسط دبی قطره‌چکان‌ها و یکنواختی پخش محاسبه شد. حداقل فشار ورودی مانیفولد آزمایشی و مانیفولدهای در حال کار اندازه‌گیری شد تا فاکتور کاهش راندمان و عامل تصحیح دبی تعیین شود. پس از جمع‌آوری اطلاعات به روش scs و مریام و کلر عوامل ارزیابی نظیر یکنواختی پخش آب از قطره‌چکان‌ها، بازده واقعی کاربرد ربع پایین و بازده پتانسیل ربع پایین محاسبه گردید. نتایج نشان داد یکنواختی پخش آب در سامانه از 77/98 درصد در سامانه M5 تا 92/12 درصد در سامانه M3 متغیر بود. راندمان پتانسیل کاربرد ربع پایین با مقادیر 82/91 و 70/18 درصد و راندمان واقعی کاربرد ربع پایین با مقادیر 92/12 و 77/98 درصد به‌ترتیب در سامانه M3 و M5 به‌دست آمد که نشان‌دهنده‌ی وضعیت خوب تا متوسط در این سامانه‌ها می‌باشد. به‌طور کلی مشکل عمده سامانه‌های مورد بررسی، کم بودن سطح خیس شده به‌علت آرایش و تعداد نامناسب قطره‌چکان‌ها، عدم جایگذاری مناسب حلقه‌های لوپ، عدم یکنواختی توزیع فشار در سامانه، نامناسب بودن عمق آب آبیاری، کاهش یکنواختی توزیع و پایین بودن دانش و مهارت بهره-بردار می‌باشد.

    کلیدواژگان: راندمان ربع پایین، شاخص های ارزیابی، شاخص اشباع لانژیلر، یکنواختی پخش
  • مظاهر امینی نجف آبادی، روح الله فتاحی*، بهزاد قربانی، حمیدرضا سالمی صفحات 179-187

    پژوهش حاضر با هدف مطالعه اجزای عملکرد ذرت علوفه‌ای تحت تنش رطوبتی در قالب طرح آزمایشی بلوک‌های کامل تصادفی با 6 تیمار آبیاری قطره‌ای‌نواری پلاک‌دار 15، 20 و 30 سانتی‌متری و کناردوخت 10، 20 و 30 سانتی‌متری و 5 تیمار سطوح آبیاری 100، 90، 80، 70 و 60 درصد تخلیه رطوبتی خاک با 3 تکرار روی ذرت علوفه‌ای در اصفهان انجام شد. 22 مرتبه آبیاری بر اساس تامین کمبود رطوبتی تا سطح ظرفیت زراعی با لحاظ کم‌آبیاری، انجام شد. برای هر تیمار- تکرار، وزن محصول، وزن بلال، ارتفاع بوته، ارتفاع بلال، بهره‌وری محصول و بلال محاسبه شد. نتایج نشان داد که اثرات اصلی و متقابل نوع نوار و میزان آبیاری بر اجزای عملکرد در سطح احتمال 1% معنی‌دار بود. از نظر نوع نوار کناردوخت 20 سانتی‌متری با عملکرد محصول و بهره‌وری آب در به‌ترتیب 70112 کیلوگرم و 13/4 کیلوگرم بر مترمکعب برتر بود. از نظر میزان آبیاری، تیمار تامین 100% تخلیه رطوبتی با عملکرد محصول 66507 کیلوگرم بر هکتار و بهره‌وری آب 11/6 کیلوگرم بر مترمکعب بهترین تیمار بود. قطره‌ای ‌نواری کناردوخت 20 سانتی‌متری با تامین 100% تخلیه رطوبتی خاک، با عملکرد 81279 کیلوگرم بر هکتار و بهره‌وری آب 14/2 کیلوگرم بر مترمکعب در بین کلیه تیمارها بهترین بود.

    کلیدواژگان: آبیاری قطره ای نواری، کم آبیاری، ذرت علوفه ای، اجزای عملکرد
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  • Seyed mohsen sajjadi*, mostafa neysi, mahmood Shafaie bejestan Pages 1-8

    The main part of available water resources is consuming in agriculture. So, irrigation networks play an important role in the optimal use of these resources. Gates are one of the most common water structures in distribution canals, which transport and deliver water to consumers, to control the flow rate or water level. Determining the relationships governor on these structures can improve the performance of open canals and therefore prevent water loss. In the present study, an experimental investigation has been conducted on elliptical Lopac gates. This gate is a combination of a Lopac gate and elliptical sharped edge weir. The reason for the using of such combination is to achieve a simple and hydraulically constructed gate that has a higher performance than commonly used models. The elliptical Lopac gate is applied as a new structure for water level adjustment. Some advantages of this structure could be mentioned as: overflow behavior and better possibility for water level control, simultaneous passage of sediments and floating bodies, low power requirements, and ease of automation of the structure. These advantages have recently attracted the attention of water managers to apply the structure in irrigation canals. These overflow structures act as weir in terms of hydraulic behavior. The Lopac gates are similar to saloon doors, hinged at vertical walls of the canal, which regulate the upstream water level for different discharges by adjusting their opening angle. So far little studies have been done on these types of gates. In this study, by using of energy relationship and laboratory results, the characteristics of the flow and the equation of discharge and the gate discharge coefficient in free flow conditions were investigated and the new type of this gate, -called elliptical Lopac gate- were mentioned. The experiments of this study were conducted in Hydraulic Laboratory of the Faculty of Water Engineering, Shahid Chamran University of Ahwaz. After examining all the methods of testing and different types of flumes and channels, a rectangular flume with glass wall and metal floor with the length, width and height of 10.5, 0.8 and 0.6 meter, respectively, was selected for tests. In order to obtain the opening angles, a pair of PVC picket were cut at the desired angle and then applied. Also, for testing in two free and submerged modes, a fiat sliding gate at the downstream of the channel was installed for this purpose. In free flow conditions, five different discharges (20, 30, 40, 50 and 60 l/s) were tested for 5 different opening angles (20, 22.5, 30, 37.5 and 45 degrees).The flow discharge was measured by an ultrasonic flow meter with the accuracy of ± 1 l/s. In each experiment, for a given discharge and the angle of opening, the depth of water was taken on the upstream of the elliptical Lopac gate, at the 7 sections in the length and 5 points in width. After dimensional analysis of the effective quantities on the discharge coefficient of elliptical Lopac gate, the effective dimensionless parameters were obtained. These quantities include: Froude number, Reynolds number, Flume width to the upstream water depth ratio B/y, and Opening ratio b/B. The Reynolds number expresses the effect of viscosity forces. This factor plays a role only for large gate opening angles, where the upstream water depth decreases. According to the tests in the range of turbulent flow, the impact of the viscosity force was negligible. In the following, due to the free flow condition, a theoretical relationship was determined for discharge by the energy equation. Subsequently by using a regression on the results of the experiments, acceptable propositions were estimated for the discharge equation and the discharge coefficient. The discharge coefficient in free flow conditions and for both types of rectangular Lopac gate and elliptical Lopac gate was a function of the gate opening ratio and its value increases with increasing gate opening. The observations showed that the most effective dimensionless parameter on the discharge coefficient was the opening ratio. The two parameters of the Froud number and the ratio of flume width to the upstream depth were both the function of the opening ratio. This relative on provided similar accuracy as the main equation with Root Mean Square Error of 0.00185, Mean Absolute Percentage Error of 3.143%, and Relative Error of 10%.

    Keywords: Discharge coefficient, Elliptical, Rectangular Lopac gate, Free flow, Stage, Discharge, Lopac gate
  • Naghme Rahimi, Seyyed Nasser Bashi-Azghadi, Farhad Khamchin Moghaddam* Pages 9-16
    Introduction

    Population growth, urbanization, and industrialization of human communities have adverse effects on basin’s hydrology. Increasing the impervious area increases the amount of surface flow coefficient, runoff and flood volumes. According to earth surface changes, one of the best human activities is the use of surface runoff for different purposes in urban area. The main purpose of this study is to investigate the use of surface runoff for irrigation of green spaces. Due to the high volume of water demand in 9th district of Mashhad, in this study, we propose to utilize the existing detention ponds (and design new detention ponds) for irrigation of the green spaces during the flood events.

    Methods

    The case study is located in ab-o-bargh basin with about 770 hectares area. In order to determine the dimensions and length of the canals, maps from the fava organization are employed. According to field visit as well as digit elevation, the study area is divided into 88 sub-basins. Infiltration coefficient was selected based on the soil texture of the basin (residential, street, etc.). Manning coefficient was determined as 0.015 according to the software help for the channels and its coverage for each sub-basins. The effective catchment width with a suitable approximation obtained from division of the basin area over the channel length. For calculating the average slope of the basin, the most accurate method is the use of slope pattern algorithm in GIS. Channel slope was calculated similarly with the start and end elevations of each channel. Horton and keirpich methods were used to estimate the infiltration and concentration time, respectively. Regarding the return period and rainfall pattern, the IDF curve of Mashhad was used. Two-year return period was considered for simulating flood distribution in the study area. The first step for designing flood’s design period is to select an appropriate rainfall return period. In this study, average daily water demand for irrigation of green space is equal to 3.936 m3 per day. The volume of existing reservoirs is about 1305 m3. For modeling the study area, at first, in AutoCAD software, all sub-basins and channels are defined and introduced to model separately. According to the characteristics of each layer, the physiographic data of each layers such as area, basin width, average slope, digit elevation, manning's coefficient was defined in the model. For simulating different features of the study are, ASSA software was employed. Then, the required physiographic and topography data was imported from GIS to this software. After that, precipitation data, horton coefficients, and the other metrological and hydrological data was introduced into the model.

    Results

    After running the model, the discharge and the total runoff volume of flood are equal to 6.55 m3/s and 17531 m3, respectively. The total numbers and volume of available tanks are equal to seven and 1305 m3, respectively. Two tanks have 9*9*4 m3, two tanks have 6*6*3 m3 and three tanks have 7*7*3 m3 dimensions. The dimensions of the proposed detention ponds are three tanks with 9*9*4 m3 and three tanks with 7*7*3 m3 dimensions with a total volume of 1,413 m3. Results showed that without detention ponds, the runoff volume and peak was equal to 17,531 m3 and 6.55 m3/s, respectively. Using the available detention ponds in the study area, the total volume of runoff is decreased from 17531 m3 to 16298 m3, demonstrated 7% decreases in flood volume. Peak of runoff is also decreased to 5.71 m3/s, indicated 13% decreases. Moreover, by adding the proposed detention ponds, the amount of outflow runoff is decreased to 14,900 m3, which is demonstrated 9% decreases in comparison to using the available detention ponds and 15% decreases in comparison with no detention pond state.

    Keywords: Runoff, Detention Ponds, Flood Control, ASSA Software, GIS
  • Pages 17-22
    Introduction

    Water Distribution Networks (WDNs) are one the most important infrastructures that very vulnerable to accidental or deliberate contamination intrusion due to their accessibility and extension over urban areas. In recent years, there has been increased interest on protecting these networks from possible contamination risks with the aim of mainly minimizing the harmful effects on public health and security. Attacks on WDNs can be divided into three categories of cyber-attacks, physical attacks and biological and chemical attacks. One of the most important threat to WND is a deliberate chemical or biological contamination injection due to uncertainty on both location injection and consequences. Therefore, it is essentially required to take optimal activities for minimizing public health and economic consequences and restoring the system to normal operation conditions. These activities mainly consist of any combination of system isolation, public notification, flushing and finally providing short-term and long-term alternative domestic water supply.

    Methods

    In this study, an embedded approach consists of EPANET simulation model and multi-objective optimization model namely Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm-II (NSGA-II) is used to derive the optimal operational response actions following the contamination detection in the network. EPANET 2.0 simulation model is used to calculate the spatial variation of contamination in the network at different time step. EPANET is an open free software that easily linked with optimization model via its toolkit. NSGA-II optimization model develops a trade-off between two common objectives functions in consequence management modeling. NSGA-II optimization model sorts the population of different chromosomes based on their non-dominance over the other solutions. According to the number of dominated solutions, a rank is assigned to a particular chromosome in the current population. Moreover, a crowding distance is considered to preserve diversity among chromosomes in a population. In this research, to illustrate the performance of the proposed methodology, Net3 from EPANET 2 is employed. This system consists of 117 pipes, 92 nodes, three tanks, two pumps, a lake and a river. A deliberate contamination is injected into the network at node 101 for six hours (08:00 to 14:00). As suggested in Ostfeld and Salomons (2004) study, five sensors at nodes 15, 35, 145, 225 and 255 are considered for early warning contamination detection. The first sensor is detected the contamination about 11:00 and one hour is assumed for initiating response actions. Therefore, optimal operational response actions are started at 12:00 and will continue until the end of simulation time (24:00). It is assumed that all hydrants are class C (red) with discharge rate of less than 1900 liter/min (proposed by National Fluid Power Association). Two main objective functions are considered in this study for NSGA-II multi-objective optimization model. The first objective is to minimize the number of operational activities that include open or close the valves and hydrants in the network. To control the consequences of contamination in the network, the polluted area is isolated by the valves to prevent the spread of contamination and the discharge of contaminated water through fire hydrants. Hence, the optimization model has binary decision variables including hydrant opening and valve closing. Total number of decision variables are equal to the potential number of valves and hydrants. In this study, optimal operation activities should be selected among 51 potential valves and hydrants. The number of operational activities was limited to 15 activities. The second objective is minimization of consumed contaminated water by multiplying the concentration of pollutants in consumed contaminated water volume.

    Results

    Obtained results show that without any operational response action, consumed contamination mass is equal to 80.38 kg. Whereas, consumed contamination mass is decreased to 58.04 kg with 15 optimal response actions. Optimal values for different parameters of multi-objective model are obtained by sensitivity analysis through the number of populations and genes, as well as crossover and mutation rates. The optimal selected values for the optimization model are 30 populations, 150 genes with a crossover and mutation rate of 0.85 and 0.15, respectively. Moreover, in this study, sensitivity analysis was carried out on start time of consequence management (between 11:00 to 16:00 with one hour time interval) for evaluation of its effect on the second objective function. Consumed contamination mass at different start time of consequence management between 11:00 to 16:00 with hourly time step are equal to 52.20, 59.27, 61.18, 62.17, 67.47 and 70.17 kg, respectively. As it is illustrated, the earlier the operational activities starts, the more the consumed contamination mass decreases.

    Keywords: Contamination, Consequences Management, Genetic Algorithm, Simulation, Optimization
  • Maede Fathi, Majid Azadi*, Gholamali Kamali, Amir Hussain Meshkatee Pages 23-37

    Precipitation forecasting is an essential tool for optimal management of water resources and flood forecasting. The numerical weather prediction (NWP) models play a major role in weather forecasting. They predict the future state of the weather by mathematical modeling of the atmosphere behavior, based on its current condition. However, the accuracy of the NWP models is still a challenging issue and its improvement is the main goal of the operational prediction centers. In weather forecasting by using NWP models, there are several resources of uncertainty such as intrinsic chaotic behavior of atmosphere dynamic system, errors in observational data and initial conditions which are almost impossible to remove. Ensemble systems are used to quantify these uncertainties. Instead of only one deterministic forecast, an ensemble system is created by several forecasts obtained from perturbation of the initial conditions, physical schemes or dynamical core of the NWP models. Ensemble systems are widely used by the meteorological communities especially for medium-range weather forecasts, short range and even ultra-short range weather prediction. A probabilistic forecasting of flood and extreme precipitation can be produced by an Ensemble Prediction System (EPS). However in practice, ensemble forecasts are generally under-dispersive and thus are not calibrated, especially for meteorological parameters near the ground level. Several statistical methods have been proposed to post-process the EPS outputs. After post-processing the EPS outputs, the biases in both location and dispersion are removed using a historical database of ensemble forecast errors, and then a predictive probability density function (PDF) can be estimated. The most popular ensemble post-processing methods are Bayesian Model Averaging and Ensemble Model Output Statistics. In BMA method, based on the error statistics of each member during a training period, a PDF is first fitted to every ensemble member forecast. Then the predictive PDF is estimated by weighted averaging of members' PDFs. Logistic regression is a nonlinear regression method that is well suited to probability forecasting, i.e. situations where the predictand is a probability rather than a mea- surable physical quantity Logistic regression is a nonlinear regression method that is well suited to probability forecasting, i.e. situations where the predictand is a probability rather than a mea- surable physical quantity Logistic regression is a nonlinear regression method that is well suited to probability forecasting, i.e. situations where the predictand is a probability rather than a mea- surable physical quantity Logistic regression is a nonlinear regression method that is well suited to probability forecasting, i.e. situations where the predictand is a probability rather than a mea- surable physical quantity Logistic regression is a nonlinear regression method that is well suited to probability forecasting, i.e. situations where the predictand is a probability rather than a mea- surable physical quantity Logistic regression is a nonlinear regression method that is well suited to probability forecasting, i.e. situations where the predictand is a probability rather than a mea- surable physical quantity LR was among the first statistical methods that were used to post-process the EPS output. Logistic Regression (LR) was extended to provide a full continuous predictive PDF. In the extended Logistic regression (ELR), the predictions and thresholds are used as additional predictor variables. In this study, an EPS was developed using eight different configurations of the WRF model to produce probabilistic precipitation forecast over Iran. Initial and boundary conditions for WRF were provided from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Global Forecast System (GFS) forecasts with a horizontal resolution of 0.5. The BMA and ELR methods were used to calibrate the probabilistic forecasts of rainfall in the fall and winter of 2016-2015 over Iran. The data were separated to two parts of equal periods. The first and second parts of the data were used for training and test respectively. The calibrated probabilistic forecasts were assessed using reliability and Relative Operating Characteristic Curve (ROC) diagrams, ROC Skill Score, Ranked Probability Score (RPS) and Ranked Probability Skill Score RPSS at the thresholds of 0.1, 2.5, 5, 10, 15 and 25 mm. For ensemble probabilistic forecasting, BMA was used as a statistical technique that combines inferences and predictions based on individual ensemble members, so as to yield a more skillful and reliable probabilistic prediction. It was assumed that the forecast PDF of a weather variable y is conditional on the ensemble member forecast f_k: p_k=(y|f_k). The BMA ensemble forecast is essentially an average of forecasts based on individual members weighted by the likelihood that an individual forecasting model is correct given the observations. LR was used as a nonlinear regression method that is well suited to probability forecasting, i.e. situations where the predicted is a probability rather than a measurable physical quantity. The mathematical form of the LR equation yields ‘S-shaped’ prediction functions that are strictly bounded on the unit interval (0<p< 1).

    Keywords: ensemble system, WRF model, probabilistic forecast, Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA), logistic regression, verification
  • seyed mostafa tabatabaei*, mohammad javad zeynali Pages 39-51

    The geographical map of the countries shows that the political boundaries are not aligned with the water basins. The existence of transboundary rivers has led to divergences over the water availability of these rivers in many countries. Competition and conflict have been created for gaining more profit. What makes the competition over the border waters more serious is the nature of the international relations of the upstream and downstream Countries that transform water use into political leverage. In Iran, the limitation of fresh water resources and the need to plan for the proper utilization of diverse water resources capacities, highlight the importance of obtaining the right of transboundary rivers. This part of the water is effective in preventing pressure on internal resources, some natural damage caused by drought and water scarcity, and some internal conflicts between basins. Considering the research done on transboundary rivers, which have often been politically or geographically examined, So far, no research has been conducted on the development and prioritization of strategic policies for the extraction of the water rights of Iranian transboundary rivers. In this study, the strategic policies that the government can adopt to obtain the water-right of the Iranian transboundary rivers were determined based on the expertise of experts in the fields of water sciences, environment, geomorphology, political sciences and middle managers of the water industry. To this aim, a questionnaire was prepared in with 5 Criterion and 12 strategies. Then, its validity was evaluated by the relevant experts. After conversion of qualitative values to 20 quantitative questionnaires, the reliability of the questionnaire was confirmed by Cronbach's alpha in SPSS statistical software. This coefficient was calculated 0.735. The AHP method was then prioritized by Export Choice software. The ANP method was prioritized in the MATLAB programming environment. Then, the results of both methods were compared. In the sensitivity analysis by the Three Antifilo method, the numerical value of the most sensitive criterion was calculated and then the weight of the other criteria was modified accordingly. The threshold percentage and change in weight of the criteria were determined. Afterward, the sensitivity coefficient of the criteria was calculated and the numerical value of the most sensitive criterion was modified. The other criterion was modified based on the modified critical criterion. To analyze the sensitivity of strategic policies the fallowing steps were taken: First, numerical values of threshold weight and its percentage and critical degree were calculated; Second, sensitivity coefficients of strategic policies, which are the inverse of the most critical strategies, were calculated and compared; Third, The numerical value of the most sensitive strategy was corrected; and at the last step of this method, the values of each strategic policy were normalized to the most sensitive criterion. The results showed that the two criteria of benefit and timing with weight of 26.26 and 0.13 were in the first and last priority, respectively. The final prioritization was similar in both ways, except in the second, fourth and ninth strategy of the initial table. The strategy of controlling more outflows from the country and applying pressure to reduce tariffs for importing high-quality virtual water into the country, in the AHP method with 11.88% and in the ANP method with 11.08%, placed as first priority. In addition, A11 strategy was the last priority with 8.17% by AHP and 6.11% by ANP. Also, profitability with the coefficient of 0.185 was introduced as the most sensitive criterion. Based on it, the weight of the other criteria was modified. Therefore the prioritization of the criteria remained unchanged in comparison with the results of the sensitivity analysis of strategies based on each criterion separately. It showed that the most sensitive strategic policy is the strategy of cooperating with neighboring countries for better access to seawater, changing the pattern of cultivation with low water requirement and thriving in other economic potentials of the neighboring country to reduce the tendency for highly water-intensive activities. Its regarding coefficient was 0.178 which is the highest value, based on the profitability criterion. In the final step after normalizing the weights of the strategies according to the critical criterion, the prioritization of the strategies with little change in weights also remained unchanged. Advancing the first policy will be effective in short term, but will not entail economic costs, and it may create political strain on the diplomatic relations of the two countries. Advancing the second priority will be more time consuming, but not, economically and politically costly. Like the first priority, the second can improve Iran's political standing in the region, while it can cost diplomatic means on the country. The last priorities are the strategic policies that are economically costly for the country and have a negative impact on the other two countries' relations.

    Keywords: Boundary Waters, Hydro Politic, River, Multi, Criteria Methods, Analytical Hierarchy Process, Analytical Network Process
  • Fatemeh Samipour, Adnan Sadeghi-Lari Pages 53-66

    Environmental consequences of deep subsurface drainage in irrigated lands of arid and semi-arid areas with shallow saline groundwater have posed a significant threat to sustainable crop production. In this regard, controlled drainage has introduced as the next logical step towards improving water management in irrigated agriculture and reducing the environmental impacts of subsurface drainage flow. Besides, the collected data from field experiments in combination with deterministic agro-hydrological simulation models offer the opportunity to gain detailed insights into the agricultural system behavior in space and time. Deterministic soil and water balance models like field scale Soil-Water-Atmosphere-Plant (SWAP) quantify all water and salt balance components and their interactions in the Soil-Water-Plant- Atmosphere continuum during the simulation period. The accuracy of these predictive models depends upon proper identification of the required model input parameters. Also, in the current edition of the SWAP model, the simulation of controlled subsurface drainage is not implemented. Despite of the capability of field-scale agro-hydrological models to quantify the interactions between soil water flow, salt transport, and crop growth, application of these models in actual operational conditions of the current case study has faced with a significant hurdle for reliable characterization of the farming system. Because of the large area of the sugarcane farms Khuzestan, southern Iran, the complement of a single irrigation event may take up to more than five days. Hence, representing the agricultural system as a single soil column would be questionable. The main objective of this work was to enable the application of such models under actual operational conditions in large fields with surface and/or subsurface drainage systems, with combinational free/controlled subsurface drainage management. To this aim, a distributed agro-hydrological modeling scheme with sub-daily calibration capability was developed through combining a modified version of the field scale SWAP model with an improved variant of Unified Particle Swarm Optimization (UPSO) algorithm. The source code of the SWAP model was modified and extended to consider the duration of the irrigation events, simulation of intra-daily reference evapotranspiration, intra-daily precipitation interception, ratooning, and implementation of subsurface controlled drainage during the simulation period. To calibrate the unknown model parameters, the model was coupled with an intra-daily inverse modeling scheme developed via an improved variant of Unified Particle Swarm Optimization (UPSO) algorithm. The developed modeling scheme was applied to a dataset collected from a field with a combinational free/controlled (70-cm depth) subsurface drainage management located at Shoaybiyeh Sugarcane Agro-industrial company farms. The simulation was performed from 2010-07-19 to 2011-12-11 (481 days) for planted sugarcane (CP48-103 cultivar). A soil profile of 550 cm depth (depth of impermeable layer) was specified during simulations. The soil profile was divided into two layers. To consider inhomogeneity of irrigation scheduling at different parts of the studied field, the field area was divided into ten homogeneous simulation units (with a dimension of 84.5  250 m), termed as hydrotopes. The hydrotopes have similar agro-hydrological properties except for irrigation scheduling. The model was calibrated, using the measured soil moisture profile, soil solute concentration profile, groundwater level, subsurface drainage outflow, drainage outflow salinity, Leaf Area Index (LAI), cane yield, and sucrose yield in a parallel manner. The weighted average of simulated values derived for each hydrotopes was compared with the corresponding measured data. Totally, 45 parameters were estimated through inverse modeling scheme. The accuracy of the model in calibration and validation stages was evaluated, using the mean error ME, the mean absolute error MAE, the root mean square error RMSE, normalized root mean square error NRMSE, Pearson's correlation coefficient r, and Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient EF. The results demonstrated the success of the developed modeling scheme in retrieving the measured soil moisture, groundwater level, subsurface drainage outflow (with an EF of 0.875, 0.933, and 0.751 for calibration dataset; and 0.804, 0.760, and 0.739 for validation dataset, respectively), soil water solute concentration, subsurface drainage outflow salinity (with a NRMSE of 0.092 and 0.119 for calibration dataset; and 0.142 and 0.042 for validation dataset, respectively), LAI, cane yield, and sucrose yield (with an EF of 0.996, 0.996, and 0.999, respectively). Except for drainage outflow salinity and cane yield, the lack of correlation was the main source of disagreement between measured and simulated data. In the case of measured subsurface drainage outflow salinity, the model deficiency to retrieve the temporal oscillations in measured data was the main source (with a contribution of 93.225% and 89.645% in overall disagreement for calibration and validation stage, respectively) of disagreement between measured and simulated data. Based on the simulated solute balance components throughout the simulation period, ~ 33.72 ton salt ha-1 was added to the soil due to saline irrigation water, and ~ 54.94 ton salt ha-1 was discharged into the receiving water bodies via field drains. Ultimately, the calibrated and validated model can be used as a helpful decision support tool for deriving the integrated irrigation and drainage water management scenarios in the study area.

    Keywords: salinity, parallel programming, particle swarm optimization, Richards, based
  • Sadegh Moodi, Mehdi Azhdary Moghaddam, Hossein Mahdizadeh* Pages 67-76
    Introduction

    Modelling of water waves within a sewer network is a contemporary research area where the main goal is developing an accurate sewer design and planning tools. The prediction models should ideally be able to simulate the unsteady flow regime within the sewer network as well as the flow field created inside the manholes which link the surface flows to the sewer system. Manhole is one of the sewer network components which conveys surface flow to underground network. Inspection of the flow behavior when propagates and enters the sewer network is therefore momentous.

    Methods

    In general, modelling of such flows is only possible by means of Navier-Stokes equations with free surface capability. However, for a large domain and three-dimensional problem, the computational demands are rather high and prohibitive. The shallow water equations (SWEs), on the other hand, are a well-known system of conservation laws that generally require less computational resources in particular for areas of the flow where the fluid depth is assumed small compared to the entire width. Herein, the shallow water equations (SWEs) with the assumption of hydrostatic pressure is used as a proper substitution for Navier-Stokes equations to predict the wave movement. In order to solve the SWEs, a modified wave propagation algorithm with complex wave interaction capability over a dry-state is utilized. Moreover, an ODE system of equations is utilized to anticipate the flow action through the manhole. Then these equations are coupled with each other to unify the approaches. STAR-CD software is utilized to validate the results of abovementioned approach. The STAR-CD is the commercial Navier-Stokes solver based on the VOF (volume of fluid) approach which models free-surface motion quite generally, although at considerable computational expense. To calculate the error between SWEs results and STAR-CD solution, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) method is used. RMSE is the standard deviation of the residuals (prediction errors). Residuals are a measure of how far from the regression line data points are; RMSE is a measure of how spread out these residuals are. In other words, it shows how concentrated the data is around the line of best fit.

    Results

    First, to test the ability of the proposed approach, the interaction of dam break flow with two surcharged flows released on a dry bed is studied. This test case is important as it shows the ability of the proposed method in modelling multiple wave interactions over the dry-state. Then a 1D sewer network consisting of one manhole and an underground channel is considered and flowing water inside the system is modelled. For all test cases, the achieved numerical results were compared with those of the 3D Navier-Stokes solver, STAR-CD, which was setup to use the two-phase VOF solver for capturing free-surface. In addition, a dimensionless number named Manhole Number (MN) is defined based on the height of manhole and underground channel, manhole width and the velocity of the water entering the manhole. Moreover, many experiments are performed by changing the mentioned effective parameters to create a range for the manhole number. This range shows that the defined numerical solver gives accurate predictions if the MN is satisfied. Results are shown that if MN ≤ 0.98, the error obtained using RMSE method will be less than one percent and tends to zero. The simulation results show that in all investigated cases, a good agreement is observed between the solutions of the proposed method and the Navier-Stokes solver. This is despite observing some inherent drawbacks such as inability to capture cavities and model free-fall problems in the SWEs solutions.

    Keywords: Flood, Manhole, Navier, Stokes equations, STAR, CD software, SWEs
  • Mehrdad nowroozi*, Mokhtar zolfi bavariani Pages 77-86

    According to the arid and semi-arid climate conditions and insufficient rainfall in Bushehr province, southern Iran, water deficit is the most important limiting factor for agricultural development in this region. Therefore, the use of modern irrigation methods to prevent water loss in this sector is essential. Drip irrigation is of particular importance due to some specific technical characteristics and proper conditions that it provides in the root zone in terms of nutrition, ventilation, moisture and salinity. In recent years, use of drip-tapes to irrigate row crops has extended, due to some comparative advantages. As well, drip-tape irrigated tomato fields have developed in Bushehr province and many efforts have been made by the government to support the farmers. Therefore, the present study was designed to evaluate the effects of different modes of drip-tape installation (surface and subsurface) on yield and irrigation water use efficiency of tomato in the region. This study was carried out during three consecutive cropping seasons (2008-2011) at the Agricultural and Natural Resources Research Center of Bushehr (51° 32′ E and 35° 51′ E; elevation of 100 meters above sea level). The experiment was conducted as split plot in a randomized complete block design (RCBD), with four mods of drip-tape installation in three replications. The treatments included different installation of drip-tape: on soil surface (T1); within the small surface furrows (T2); in the depth of 10 cm from soil surface (T3); and in the depth of 20 cm from soil surface (T4). Accordingly, a drip-tape irrigation system was designed and installed based on the objectives of the experiment and arrangement of the treatments. The amount of irrigation water was calculated based on FAO-Penman-Monteith equation. The area of each experimental plot was 28 m2 and consisted of two laterals of 10 m long and 140 cm apart. A volumetric flow meter was used to control the irrigation of plots. In order to investigate the effect of considered treatments on salt distribution in root zone, soil was sampled using a manual auger in two stages: once in mid-growing season (after the end of winter rains) and again after harvesting. Sampling was done at horizontally distances of 0, 30, 60 and 90 cm from drip-tape and at depths of 0-30, 30-60 and 60-90. Also, for investigating the effect of the treatments on the uniformity of water distribution through the drip-tape, 8 apertures at the beginning, one third, two third and the end of the drip-tapes were selected. Then, sampling cans were placed at the selected points. By measuring the water collected in the cans, Christiansen coefficient of Uniformity (UC) was calculated using the obtained data. Generally, with subsurface installation of drip-tape, fruit yield and IWUE increased, compared with surface treatments. However, with increasing depth of drip tape placement from 10 cm to 20 cm, fruit yield and IWUE decreased. The highest fruit yield (48.0 t/ha) and IWUE (9.4 kg/M3) belonged to T3. However, this treatment had no significant difference with T2. The lowest fruit yield and IWUE belonged to the T1 treatment, which had the lower soil moisture content due to surface runoff and increased evaporation losses. In the T2 treatment, which is a common practice of farmers, the wetted area was limited to the floor width of the furrow. So, lateral expansion of wetted area in T2 was less than that of T1 treatment. Also, in T2 treatment, irrigation/rainfall water was stored in furrows, instead of producing runoff, and then gradually infiltrated into the soil. This feature helped to store moisture in the root zone and salt leaching from the soil. Therefore, the treatments of T3 and T2 had not significant difference from each other. Christiansen coefficient of Uniformity (UC) ranged from 86% (in T2 and T3 treatments) to 89% (in T4 treatment), but these changes were not significant. This was due to the use of appropriate water, proper filtration system and the use of new drip-tapes at each year. Salt distribution in soil profile was different under the evaluated treatments. Generally, in the middle decades of the growth season, due to the coincidence with winter rainfall and salt leaching with rainwater, salt accumulation in the surface layer was lower, but in the late decades, due to the end of the rainy season, premature heat and increased evaporation need of atmosphere, the salt movement toward the surface layer increased. For this reason, at the end of the growing season, in almost all evaluated treatments, the highest soil salinity was measured in surface layer of the soil (0-30 cm), at a distance of 30 cm from the location of the drip-tape. According to the results discussed, because of easy installation and management of drip-tape, T2 treatment preferred to subsurface treatments for the experiment location and similar regions.

    Keywords: drip, tape, subsurface drip irrigation, surface drip irrigation, soil salinity
  • Reyhane Qesmi, Rasoul Mirabbasi* Pages 87-98

    The results of most climate models, under diffusion scenarios (RCPs), indicate an increase in global temperature by the end of the 21st century, compared with the period 1850-1900 (IPCC, 2014). Considering the perceptible effects of climate change on meteorological parameters and then water resources, simulation and prediction of runoff in watersheds is extremely important. When it is necessary to simulate only the flow at the outlet of the watershed, the conceptual rainfall-runoff models (such as the IHACRES model) are preferred; because, they require less computational effort and input data, as well as provide a good response. A review of several studies on the effects of climate change on different systems in future periods shows that although many sources of uncertainty affect the final results, usually these sources of uncertainty are ignored in the calculations, which reduces the accuracy of the results. In some studies, despite the attempt to consider the uncertainty of AOGCM models in the calculations, all the AOGCM models have been applied with the same weight. Also, in most studies on climate change, limited types (less than 10) of climate models has been used. Therefore in the present study, 23 climate models were used to predict future climatic conditions, in order to reduce the uncertainty of these models. The superior model was selected using the weighting method. Then, using the IHACRES model, the effects of climate change on the Shirin (Azam Jareh) river runoff, with emphasize on the uncertainty of AOGCM models was studied in the forthcoming period of 2020-2040. Shirin River (Azam Jareh) is one of the main tributaries of Dalaki River, which originates about 70 km from the southern slopes of Arjan Plain and its tributaries include Sarkhoon and Tang-E- Gachi. The average long-term flow of Shirin River (Azam Jareh) is 11.3 m3/s and the average annual precipitation is 761 mm. In order to quantify the uncertainty in this study, the output of 23 AOGCM models was evaluated, using weighting method and calculation of performance criteria. The best selected models were GFDL-ESM2G, GISS-E2-R, MPI-ESM-LR, MPI-ESM-MR and MRI-CGCM3. Then, their outputs were obtained under three scenarios of RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. According to the IPCC recommendation, the historical period of 1975 to 2005 was used to calibrate GCM models. In order to mitigate the uncertainty in estimating, the changes of climate variables due to the climate change were weighed by the Mean Observed Temperature Precipitation (MOTP) method, developed by Massah Bovani (2006). Then, the performance criteria were calculated. In the MOTP weighting method, AOGCM models are weighted based on the deviation of mean simulated temperature or rainfall in the base period from the average of the observed data. In this study, the precipitation was used to investigate the uncertainty, due to its importance and effect on runoff. The inputs of LARS-WG model were the time series of observational data of temperature and precipitation of the Shiraz station, along with the output of climate models for every month. With the help of this generator, a 30-year time series of temperature and precipitation data was generated for this station. After this stage, it was possible to use the output of climate change models to predict the runoff in Shirin River Basin (Azam Jareh), using the IHACRES rainfall-runoff model. In order to reduce the uncertainty in AOGCM models, weights were calculated to observe the accuracy of the models in estimating the precipitation parameter. Also, the performance criteria were calculated in order to evaluate the performance of the models. The results showed that different GCM models had different accuracy in predicting precipitation. The MPI-ESM-MR and MIROC-ESM-CHEM models with the weight of 0.166 and 0.010 had the highest and lowest accuracy in estimating precipitation, respectively. Comparing the evaluated performance criteria of each model with the observed data of corresponding precipitation values of the same month, it can be concluded that the use of several different models reduced uncertainty and significantly increased the accuracy of climate forecasts. Comparison of the results of climate change forecast in the future period of 2020-2040 with the base period indicated an increase in temperature and a decrease in precipitation. Performance evaluation of IHACRES model showed that the coefficient of determination (R2) for the calibration and validation period were 0.74 and 0.69, respectively. The corresponding Nash-Sutcliffe coefficients were 0.7 and 0.52, respectively. These results indicated the acceptable performance of the model in rainfall-runoff simulation. Based on the simulations performed, the future outlook of mean annual Shirin River (Azam Jareh) runoff in the period of 2020-2040 indicates a decrease in runoff under all three RCP scenarios. The minimum in runoff was due to the RCP2.6 scenario with 682 mm3 (much less than 3000 mm3 of the base period). Also, the results of the average monthly runoff during the period 2020-2040, compared with the base period, showed a decrease of runoff in the most of months (except May, June, July and August). The highest forecasted runoff reduction, under all three scenarios were belong to January, February, March, April, September, November and October. In general, it can be concluded that climate change would reduce the runoff volume of Shirin River (Azam Jareh) during the future period 2020-2040.

    Keywords: climate change, downscaling statistical, rainfall, runoff, RCP scenarios, Shirin river
  • Alireza Donyaii, Amirpouya Sarraf*, Hassan Ahmadi Pages 99-111

    It is inevitable to use optimization methods for multi-objective reservoirs' operation. In this research, after introducing the whale multi-objective optimization algorithm, its performance as optimal operation of the Boostan dam reservoir was evaluated based on the Conflict Resolution Method of Kalai-Smorodinsky. In the present optimization problem, while applying the constraints of reservoir continuity equations, the objective functions were defined as minimization of downstream water demand deficiencies and minimizing reservoir volume for flood control during the operation period. The performance of the proposed algorithm was compared with NSGA-II as one of the common algorithms in this field. Model performance was compared and evaluated based on reliability, reversibility, vulnerability and sustainability indices. To solve the conflict between the goals, the game theory-based method (Kalai-Smorodinsky method) was used to find the optimal solution. The optimization results showed better performance of the whale multi-objective algorithm than NSGA-II, in both objective functions. In terms of optimization time, the multi-objective whale algorithm converges faster than NSGA-II because of the fewer regulatory parameters. The model performance evaluation indices show that whale algorithm reliability is higher (86%) than NSGA-II. Moreover, the results of Shannon entropy method for weighting the indices showed that the model evaluation parameters are more weighted than the objective functions. The results of the Kalai-Smorodinsky method showed that the operation policies of Boostan Dam Reservoir have got a very good agreement with the whale multi-objective algorithm. On the other hand, since the most and the least desirable objective function values estimated by the whale multi-objective optimization algorithm are less than the other one, the performance of the whale multi-objective algorithm can be more appropriately identified.

    Keywords: Optimization, Multi, Objective Operation, Model performance evaluation indices, Shannon entropy Method, NSGA, II optimization algorithm, Whale optimization algorithm, Game theory, Boostan Dam Reservoir.
  • Pages 113-122

    Humans need to expend energy to meet their basic food. Excessive fossil energy makes it possible to provide food to the growing population. While, population is increasing, energy resources (especially fossil fuels) are declining, so communities need basic planning for energy management. Agricultural activities are among that energy consuming needs. By consuming energy inputs, the crops are produced. Besides, water is the other key input. Use of fossil fuels in water pumping has environmental impacts on nature, which the type and extent of these effects has particular importance. Due to the importance of the water role, its required energy in crop production and the environmental effects, this research was conducted regarding Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) for evaluating the potential effect of irrigated wheat in Isfahan province, during the crop year of 2017-2018. To obtain the information needed in this study, questionnaires were designed by interviewing a number of experienced farmers, irrigation experts, and agricultural technicians. Then, the questionnaire was given to wheat farmers in 24 counties of Isfahan province. The selection of farmers who completed the questionnaires was performed using a systematic (regular) random sampling method. Based on questionnaires information, the amount of energy consumed in extraction of water needed for wheat cultivation in 24 counties of Isfahan province was investigated and calculated. In addition, environmental effects of extraction and water transfer on wheat cultivation fields were also estimated. According to the results, the highest and lowest energy ratio of water consumption with amount of 10.73 and 1.4 was obtained in Lenjan county and Aran and Bidgol, respectively. This ratio was obtained about 3.3 for the provincial average. In other words, by consuming of each unit of water energy in the province, 3.3 units of grain and wheat straw energy are produced. One of the reasons that caused diversity in energy ratios in different cities of the province was the difference between wheat yield and water pumping energy. In some counties such as Aran and Bidgol, due to climatic conditions and water and soil quality, wheat yield and consequently its energy extracted were less than other counties. But, in some geographical locations of the province, the water level was significantly lower than the other places, which increased the energy for pumping water. The study of water energy productivity showed that its value varied from 0.10 kg/MJ in Aran and Bidgol counties to 0.79 kg/MJ in Lenjan county. The average of this parameter in the province was 0.24 kg/MJ. According to the results, the group of global warming effect due to water consumption for producing of one ton wheat in Isfahan province varied from 44.87 to 736.9 kg of equivalent carbon dioxide, respectively in Lenjan county and Aran and Bidgol county. Its provincial average was 375.26 kg of carbon dioxide equivalent. The value of acidification potential varied from 0.29 to 4.88 kg of equivalent sulfur dioxide, respectively in Lenjan county and Aran and Bidgol county. Its provincial average was 2.49 kg of equivalent sulfur dioxide. The terrestrial eutrophication potential varied from 0.18 to 2.98 kg of equivalent nitrogen oxides, respectively in Lenjan county and Aran and Bidgol county. The provincial average of the terrestrial eutrophication potential was estimated to be 1.51 kg of equivalent nitrogen oxides. The depletion of fossil resources duo to water consumption varied from 141.94 MJ (Lenjan county) to 2335.39 MJ (Aran and Bidgol counties) and its provincial average was 1189.29 MJ per ton of wheat. The depletion of water resources effect, which represents the water consumed per ton of wheat seed production, varied from 1373.81 m3 (Lenjan county) to 2933.38 m3 (Semirom county) and its provincial average was 1987.12 m3. The lowest and highest Environmental index (Eco-index) of water consumption in wheat was 0.02 (Lenjan county) and 0.33 (Aran and Bidgol county), respectively, with a provincial average of 0.16. There are several ways to increase energy productivity in water consumption. In conclusion, any action to increase performance or reduce energy consumption will improve productivity. These activates can be divided into two areas: water pumping conditions and wheat production conditions. In the first part, activities such as installation of pumps and motors in accordance with the pumping conditions and repair or replace worn-out parts of the pump and motor can be done. In the second part, modify of the cultivation pattern with consideration of water resources limitations, use of varieties with less water requirement and resistant to drought stress, and finally increase in the efficiency and productivity of water consumption are the important steps to increase wheat yield or replace it with productive crops.

    Keywords: Eco index, Energy consumption, Irrigation, Wheat, Yield
  • omid karimi*, esmaeil asadi, fakheri fard ahmad, yaghob dinpazhoh Pages 123-140

    The most important causes of water shortage in today's world are population growth, reduced rainfall, land use change and urban development. Water is essential for many aspects of economic and social development, agricultural, urban and industrial uses and is an important component for the environment. In other words, water is considered as one of the most valuable natural resources and the most important issue and challenge in this century. Increased water demand due to population growth, development of agricultural and horticultural lands and in general the quantitative and qualitative limitations of harvestable water resources as one of the most important challenges in water resources management and planning, led to the combined use of surface water resources and Groundwater seems to be essential as the two main sources of water supply. Integrated management of surface and groundwater resources is the combined exploitation of two sources in which surface and groundwater resources are used together. The main goal of integrated management is to achieve sustainable development. Therefore, the principles of integrated management are based on the combination of supply management with demand management, which also considers environmental, social and economic aspects. Considering that most of the water needs in our country are met through aquifers, so knowing the status of aquifers can help in proper management of water resources in the region. One of the solutions to deal with the issue of over-extraction from groundwater resources is the use of integrated surface and groundwater management. Due to the decrease in precipitation, especially in recent decades, the reduction of surface and groundwater resources and the uncontrolled abstraction of aquifers and the increase in demand have resulted frome this. In such situations, the need for accurate management of water resources is strongly felt, and the tools of this management and careful planning are the extraction of relationships between factors such as rainfall, groundwater level, consumption, and so on. Marand plain is one of the forbidden plains of East Azerbaijan province, which lacks permanent surface water resources. Therefore, excessive exploitation of groundwater resources has caused a sharp drop in water levels in the region. Therefore, the study of surface and groundwater in this area in order to achieve a proper management approach seemed necessary. In this research, the consumptions of Marand plain were evaluated by using the simulation model of WEAP and GMS. The calibration and validation of these two models respectively were done based on a ten-year-period of 2002-2011 and a of 3-year period of 2012-2014. Then, different managerial scenarios were considered providing the drinking water in Marand. The scenarios were defined through limitations in using wells, increase the efficiency of irrigation in agriculture section, construct a sewage system, and two combinations of the above mentioned scenarios, in order to reduce the water demand and improve the condition of aquifers. Predictions were made for a 23-year-period according to these scenarios and its effects on the studied water sources. Results indicated that simultaneously utilizing different methods of water management is better than using a single method, which leads to the improvement and revival of aquifers and reduction of water extraction from different sources. The reliability index of providing water in the compound method, for different sections of urban drinking water, rural, agriculture, and industry was calculated at 100, 100, 64.7 and 74.6, respectively. By the compound scenario, the water level would have 16 meter reduction, while the aquifer could be improved with the yearly recharge of 0.29 million square meters and have a relative balance between withdrawals and recharges of the aquifer.

    Keywords: Surface water, Groundwater, Aquifer, Integrated management, MODFLOW, WEAP
  • Mahdi Sarai Tabrizi* Pages 141-152

    The quality of groundwater resources is of particular importance due to the necessity of utilization and type of consumption. The aquifers adjacent to the volcanoes are affected by these sources exhibiting different behaviors. These aquifers are highly vulnerable and their water quality is affected by sources of volcanic pollutants. In this study, the qualitative status of the Khash aquifer in the south of Taftan volcano has been investigated. The purpose of this study was to identify the contaminant sources of this aquifer. Therefore, in addition to sampling and qualitative analysis, MT3D qualitative simulation model was used. Simulation of qualitative model and regional analysis of groundwater flow in the area revealed that the southern part of the aquifer in addition to underground nutrient flows in the northern part also has direct feeding from the altitudes and this increased TDS and sulfate concentrations in this part of the aquifer. Investigations showed that in this section more than 12% of TDS and 30% of sulfate increased. This increase, in addition to the lack of operational management, also indicates the existence of underground currents that have exacerbated the situation of human interference. Surveys showed that the amount of gas in groundwater resources in the northern part of the aquifer was high and this increase also acidified groundwater resources in the region.. This increase, in addition to the lack of operational management, also indicates the existence of underground currents that have exacerbated the situation of human interference. Surveys showed that the amount of gas in groundwater resources in the northern part of the aquifer was high and this increase also acidified groundwater resources in the region.

    Keywords: Aquifer, Acidity, Groundwater, MT3D, Sulfate, TDS
  • Mohammad Sadegh Aghayar, Amir Malekpour*, Behnam Shafiei Sabet Pages 153-162
    Introduction

    The excessive groundwater pumping and different hydraulic and geotechnical soil properties due to the stratified soil around pumping wells are of the most important factors on the land subsidence. Some consequences of land subsidence include the formation of cracks on the ground surface, destruction of buildings, damage to water conveyance pipelines embeded in the ground, the change in the longitudinal river steepness and vulnerability of residential areas to flood events due to lower soil permeability caused by the land subsidene. Because of the widely use of GIS to the evaluation of earth properties, many researches have been conducted so far on the application of GIS to land subsidence analysis. In this regard, a number of GIS-based researches focus on the application of data derived from In-sar radar to monitor the land subsidence without any geotechnical analysis. Due to the necessity of geotechnical analyses to more accurately approximate the land subsidence, the researchers proposed a method based on the influence function in order to relate the variation of phreatic groundwater surface around the pumping wells to the deformation of ground surface causing the land subsidence. Despite the incorporation of soil stratification effect, the inattention to variations of phreatic surface in variable pumping conditions from multiple wells and the mutual effects of wells on each other is accounted as a weakness of the proposed method which is addressed in the present study.

    Methods

    In the present research, a practical computer program (so-called CALS-SVD) was developed which initially imports the physical and hydraulic properties of an aquifer from GIS including the longitude and lattitude of wells, the specific storage coefficient of the soil, hydraulic conductivity, initial void ratio of the soil, soil compression index, the wet and saturated specific weights of the soil. Then it applies a new method integrating Influence Function with equations of varied pumping-induced influence radius of groundwater surface to estimate the subsidence (from multiple wells in a given time). Finally, the results of computations are added as new information layers to the imported GIS file. The developed computer model was applied to a case study in west of Guilan province located in the road connecting Saravan to Fouman. The applied approach in the studied area was to divide it into two regions. Then, 6 scenarios were considered in terms of reported pumping rates (ranging 30 to 120 m3/d). The maximum reported pumping rate in the region (120 m3/d) and the half and quarter of the maximum pumping discharge were applied to the wells located in two mentioned regions in order to model the land subsidence in the entire studied area. Taking into account the overlap of pumping wells, one of the wells located in the middle of others was selected as the origin and the effect of all the wells on each other were determined based on the relative distance derived from their longitudes and lattitudes.

    Results

    The scenario A120B120 incorporating the maximum pumping discharge at the both divisions of the studied area used to validate the model. Validation of the obtained results with the field surveys shows an admissible performance of the presented software. Additionally, the results showed that the pumping-induced subsidence up to 30 cm around the wells leads to the expansion of subsidence area in the region. But a greater subsidence depth has negligible influence on the subsidence area, and it will be limited to 70 percent of the total surface area of the region. Meanwhile, the higher the pumping rate, the greater will be the influence radius. But the rate of increase in influence radius decreases for higher pumping values. Thus the average influence function will be limited to 105 meter at the studied area. According to the results, there is a linear relationship with an admissible correlation coefficient between the average groundwater pumping rate (in a 10 year period) and the maximum subsidence depth. Moreover, the maximum subsidence depth is highly affected by the stratification of the soil. Whereas the subsidence increase rate with pumping is mostly affected by the percentage of increase in pumping. Finally, the application of presented subsidence model in the studied regions indicates lower magnitude and rate of subsidence in a 10 year period in comparison with the results obtained from Damghan in a 5 year period.

    Keywords: Computer model, Consolidation settlement, Groundwater extraction, MATLAB software
  • mojtaba mobaraki, peyman afrasiab, halimeh piri* Pages 163-177

    In order to determine the optimal performance of drip irrigation systems, their performance must be evaluated. In this study, five drip irrigation systems in Bushehr province were evaluated. A working manifold was selected from each system, and the evaluations were performed on four laterals from the beginning, one third, two thirds, and end of the lateral. At each selected manifold, eight pressures were obtained at the beginning and end of the lateral tube and 32 volumes of water at 16 trees. The average volumes of emitters and dispersion uniformity were calculated from the obtained volumes. The minimum input pressure of the experimental manifold and the operating manifolds were also measured to determine the Efficiency Reduction Factor (ERF) and the DCF. After collecting data from field measurements using scs and maryam and chlorine methods, evaluation factors such as water emission uniformity (EU), real low quadrant use efficiency (AELQ) and potential yield The lower quadrant (PELQ) was calculated. The results showed that water distribution uniformity varied from 77.98% in M5 to 92.12% in M3. Low quadrant potential (PELQ) efficiency with 82.91 and 70.18% and true low quadrant use efficiency (AELQ) with values of 92.12 and 77.98% were obtained in M3 and M5 systems, respectively. Indicates good to moderate status in these systems. In general, the main problem of the systems under study is the low level of wetting due to the make-up and the inappropriate number of drops, the lack of proper placement of loop rings, the lack of uniformity of pressure distribution in the system, and the lack of irrigation water, the distribution of air and the low knowledge and skill of the user.

    Keywords: Distribution uniformity, Evaluation indices, Lanjiler Saturation Index, Low quadrant efficiency
  • mazaher amini najafabadi, roh allah fatahi*, behzad ghorbani Pages 179-187

    The arable land in Iran is about 11 million hectares, and maize production is the second largest after wheat production. Agricultural studies in Iran lands reveal that the water use efficiency of irrigation is between 22.5% and 85.5% with an average of 56%. Drip irrigation is one of the best methods that by applying appropriate management can be used for agriculture in high salinity soils, with saline irrigating water and dry conditions, especially for maize crops. Sprinkler irrigation system has a positive effect on improving irrigation efficiency in Iran, but the main problem of this system is the water loss related to evaporation and wind. Usually, drip irrigation plan is implemented in combination with sprinkler or low-pressure irrigation plan, so that it is possible to change the irrigation network and make an optimal use of the system according to the needs of the cultivation pattern. In the most previous studies, drip irrigation tape was generally used, depending on the type of crop and the growing conditions. Also, limited studies have been conducted on the comparison of irrigation tape types, hence comprehensive studies are needed. Also, study on the interactions of different types of tapes and irrigation levels is needed. The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance and yield components of forage maize under moisture stress. A pilot project was conducted in form of factorial experiment of randomized complete blocks, during one year in Isfahan province. There were 6 treatments consist of emitter tape systems of 15, 20, and 30 cm, and drip tape of 10, 20, and 30 cm with distance of 0.7 m. The treatments of irrigation included 5 levels of 100, 90, 80, 70 and 60% of soil moisture depletion, with 3 replications. The cultivated maize cultivar was Single Cross 704, which was cultivated at 0.7 m intervals. For each treatment repetition of three rows of the same irrigation strip with the length of 50 m was performed. The crops were harvested from the middle row. During the growing season, irrigation was carried out for 22 times based on the measurement of moisture in the root zone and the supply of moisture deficiency to the level of crop capacity in terms of programmed water shortage. For each treatment-repetition, amounts of total product weight, total weight of maize, average plant height, average height of maize, product productivity index and maize productivity index per hectare were calculated at the end of the cultivation season after sampling. The results showed that the main and interaction effects of irrigation tape type and irrigation rate on yield components were significant at 1% probability level. Based on the performance indicators, the best treatment was the emitter tape strip with the 20 cm nozzle-distance, the total crop yield and maize yield of 70112 and 14593 kg/ha, respectively. According to the product performance index, the emitter tape with the diameter of 30 cm and the drip-tape of 30 cm, were the weakest treatments in terms of maize's performance. Wetting widths in heavy-textured soils are wider than in the light-textured soils. Despite the relatively heavy texture in this study, the 30-cm distance between the nozzles in the irrigation strip did not provide adequate overlap in the development of moisture within the plant root zone. Therefore, the irrigation tape with the nozzle distance of 30 cm is not recommended for the cultivation of forage maize in similar conditions of the present field. In terms of irrigation levels, the best result obtained in the treatment of 100% depletion of the moisture capacity of the root area with crop yield and maize yield was 66.5 tons per hectare and 11.3 tons per hectare, respectively. According to the two indicators of plant and maize height, the drip-tape irrigation strip next to the seam with the nozzle distance of 20 cm (with plant and maize height of 19.15 and 19.4 cm, respectively) as well as the 15-cm emitter tape were in the top group. The weakest treatment according to these two indicators was the 30-cm drip tape and then the 30-cm emitter tape treatment. A comparison based on irrigation levels showed that the treatment supply of 100% depletion of moisture capacity of root zone was the superior treatment with the plant and maize height of 179.3 and 15.3 cm, respectively. Also, in terms of maize's height, there is no significant difference between the treatments of 80%, 90% and 100. In terms of water efficiency indicators, the 20-cm drip tape was the best option with crop and crop water productivity of 13.4 and 2.8 kg/m3, respectively. The highest water productivity for the total product and maize occurred in the treatment of 100% and the lowest in the treatment of 60%. Based on the interaction of irrigation tape types and irrigation levels, the superior treatments was that in which the drip tape by 20 cm was applied, 100% of soil moisture was provided, forage yield and water productivity of 81279 kg / ha and 14.2 kg / m3 were obtained, respectively.

    Keywords: Drip Irrigation, deficit irrigation, maize, yield components