نشریه آینده پژوهی راهبردی
پیاپی 1 (بهار 1401)

The story of technology confrontation and the fear of new technologies has a long history. The fact that weaving machines first entered the factories was a source of concern for workers and their uprisings, followed by radio, cell phones, Bluetooth technology, social networks, and dozens more, against which serious resistance from policymakers or public was seen. In this paper, the researchers intend to analyze the phobia of biotechnology and in particular the technology of transgenics in a futuristic way. This article, after examining the past situation and analyzing the positions of GMO actors, rethinks policy making from social perspective to dealing with transgenic products using a causal analysis approach. Finally, researchers address deeper, broader, transformative strategies with considering various stakeholders at levels of decision- making.

This research is conducted to present a conceptual integrative model of various levels of environmental factors influencing social entrepreneurship development and to fill the multiple gaps that exist in the related literature. Research method was qualitative and based on its purposes, grounded theory with classic approach was applied. Based on accessibility reason, research statistical sample was included 22 of entrepreneurship university (Tehran and Qazvin) teachers and staffs working for the entrepreneurship and job development office in ministry of cooperatives labor and social welfare. Findings presents an extensive conceptual model of environmental factors influencing social entrepreneurship development in three levels: macro (national and international), meso (organizational), and micro (individual). Aforementioned findings also expose multiple research directions for future studies in this research area which is discussed at the end of this article.

The economic developments of any country depend a lot on the dynamics of domestic and foreign policy, which is known under the concept of economic diplomacy. The Islamic Republic of Iran has a very diverse and complex economic structure. Despite various efforts to attract foreign direct investment (FDI) in the framework of development-oriented foreign policy, Iran still does not have a specific strategy in the field of economy and especially economic diplomacy. However, by pursuing active economic diplomacy, Iran can improve its geo-economic and geo-strategic position and manage the future of its economy in unstable conditions. This article tries to answer the question that how can economic diplomacy improve Iran's economic position in the future? The method of the article is based on horizon scanning. The hypothesis is that the Islamic Republic of Iran can get rid of the economic and geopolitical trap by taking advantage of its geopolitical and geostrategic position and relying on the capacities of human resources. Therefore, economic diplomacy is an effective way to increase economic growth and strengthen the country's economy in the conditions of economic sanctions.

Various sciences have been proposed in the field of identifying the complexity and dynamics arising from the internal and external environment of organizations which point to the need for managers' knowledge to make decisions. Examples include future studies, knowledge management and innovation management are examples of these. This research has been done with library and focus group studies. The result shows the relationship between future studies, knowledge management and innovation management with the mediating role of knowledge management. Knowledge management plays a supporting role in managing innovation and its output is used in the field of innovation management. In other words, the output of knowledge management is the input of innovation management and the output of future studies can be used in the role of input in knowledge management.

In the present study, while analyzing the threats posed by the actions of the US & China in the Indo Pacific area, the future of the effects of competition on Iran's interests & analyzed using the scenario writing method. the leading research is based on the obtained results, of an applied type, & considering that during it to answer the main question of the research, namely how the future threat of Sino-US approaches in the Indo Pacific region to Iran's interests, developed one of a variety of methods. The quality of the script, called GBN, is developmental. In addition, the present study is descriptive in nature & is descriptive of the current context of the conflict & the factors that shape the current & future threats of US - China relations. Attempts have also been made to extract key scenarios & drivers affecting the mentioned relationships through interviews with experts & focus groups, & according to the key uncertainties extracted from the distribution questionnaires among 25 scientific & diplomatic experts, four scenarios have been identified. : 1) Worst: Ensuring China's energy security; 2) The best: the occurrence of economic & trade war between China & the United States; 3) Continuation of current trends: no trade & economic war between China & the United States; 4) China's inability to ensure energy security, which in accordance with the scenarios & in detail, in addition to the indicators of the occurrence of scenarios, strategic recommendations, policies & strategies to manage each are presented.

Conventional futures studies as a human science is based on its own ontological, anthropological foundations and normative values; Therefore, from the perspective of a specific value derived from its own fundamental principles, it takes a position towards the future and forms its framework, methods and goals based on those principles. The most important general principles governing the development of the future of conventional research are: the idea of ​​deism, humanism, liberalism, philosophical secularism, utilitarianism and scientism. The result of the presence of these principles in the future study has caused that in this science, the divine Lordship and His absolute providence and will in the human future are ignored and the subject of this knowledge is limited to human reading of the material world and its mechanistic laws. Accordingly, the epistemological foundations of future research knowledge have been laid down on the basis of human principles and teachings, futures study should ignore the involvement of transcendental constraints and factors in the future, and establish its foundations, goals and methods based on material and global and human experience and understanding, and phenomena, events, and events based solely on their nature and basis. Explain scientific laws and methods and ignore the role of divine and God-centered components in explaining phenomena. the desired future is a future full of profit, pleasure and material prosperity, and one of the missions and goals of the future research is to provide solutions and possibilities for the realization of such a future.