نشریه آینده پژوهی راهبردی
پیاپی 9 (بهار 1403)

This article examines the prospects related to artificial intelligence and how it affects human life. In the research design part, a qualitative mixed approach has been used. The compilation part includes systematic literature review, interviews and case studies. In this regard, first, an extensive literature review of scientific articles, industrial reports and conference papers was conducted. Then, interviews were conducted with experts in the field of artificial intelligence, which included researchers, policy makers and business owners in various industries. Also, data analysis includes thematic analysis based on interviews and literature review. The findings of this research have been summarized in the form of artificial intelligence impact scenarios in the future of human life, which, of course, have been categorized with value-oriented glasses of desirability (positive) and non-desirability (negative). Also, issues and topics that are associated with ambiguity in direction or final results are also included under uncertain scenarios in this article.

Despite the fact that in the last two decades, there have been scattered whispers about "Islamic future research". But the most important epistemological gap in the process of its formation is the one-dimensional concept of the theoretical and practical aspects of Islamic propositions. However, this article presents the proposed comprehensive model under the title of "Systematization of Islamic Future Studies" by adopting the content analysis approach in collecting qualitative data. A grand plan that is organized in three branches that are conceptually distinct but functionally completely related. "Systematization of Islamic Future Studies", "Systematization of Islamic Future Studies" and "Systematization of Islamic Future Studies"; Areas that are dependent on each other in terms of existential realization. Its first area refers to the conceptual field and theoretical dimensions. And its second realm talks about the pattern and modeling field.But the third area is in the position of objectification of the system of Islamic futurology. The first two areas are the responsibility of academic elites and religious scholars, but the third area is the responsibility of executive trustees and institutions related to power and government. For the formation of the "systematization of Islamic futurism", the validity and quality of the mechanisms of exploitation of the "knowledge resources of Islam" play a significant role in the achievements of Muslim futurists. Therefore, these knowledge sources should be searched in "maximizing the use of narrative sources", "using rational-ijtihad statements" and "systematically using religious technology"

The 2015 nuclear agreement was relatively effective despite all the criticisms and promises broken by the US government. According to the claim of most Westerners, this agreement was able to take an important step towards the non-proliferation order. Iran also benefited from its relative benefits. Although the life of this agreement was short, but its impact on the regional security of the Persian Gulf can be seen. Nevertheless, the departure of the Trump administration once again returned the conditions in many parameters to the time before the conclusion of the agreement. After the inauguration of a democratic government and the American effort to return to the agreement, these questions are raised: "What scenarios are there regarding the revival of the JCPOA, and what effect will each of these scenarios have on the security of the Persian Gulf region?" In response to this question, at least three scenarios can be counted. In the first scenario, the negotiations will not lead to the revival of the JCPOA, and therefore the regional security will be more unstable than before or it will be maintained in the same way. In the second scenario, the revival of JCPOA will be realized, but the countries of the region will have a threatening look. In this case, although regional security improves, it is still subject to fluctuations. In the third scenario, the revival of the JCPOA is accompanied by a peaceful understanding of the countries of the region. In this situation, the regional security is significantly improved.

The ever-increasing and rapid growth of China's economic power in the world economic system has made the grounds for the conversion of this country's national currency as one of the world's most reliable currencies to be provided. One of the most important platforms for the rise of the yuan as an official international currency is the global oil and gas market. Global energy trade, which includes a major part of financial circulation among countries, has a major contribution to the economic strength of currencies such as the dollar. This is despite the fact that China has become the world's largest oil importer in recent years, and major oil producers such as Iran and Saudi Arabia are among the main oil exporters to this country. At the same time, China's economic competition with the United States, which has intensified in recent years, is another important factor that has caused China to take a more determined step towards turning the yuan into an official currency in the world. China is facing numerous challenges and difficulties for the globalization of its currency. The hotbeds of instability and insecurity in this country have created a situation that can endanger China's prospects and economic growth. On the other hand, the competition of political elites and territorial disputes with regional governments also add to the obstacles facing China.

Considering the importance of food sustainability in the development of a country, examining the current situation and current and future trends will play a significant role in the macro decisions and planning of the country. The method used in this article is trend research. The findings of this research show different trends in food supply according to technology. According to the investigation, in order to write the scenario and achieve the desired and possible future, the examination of the existing trends should be placed on the agenda so that the movement towards the realization of the desired future is possible. This research has been collected based on the latest information and trends of the world and has made some suggestions regarding the situation of the dear country of Iran. Due to the high speed of technology development, today the world is looking for optimal use and increasing productivity in order to increase comfort and well-being. It is hoped that in the shadow of the attention of the respected officials, the field of improving the country's food security will be realized more and more by relying on technological advances.

The aim of the present study is to investigate futures studies based on the layered causal analysis through a systematic review in order to obtain a clear picture in this field. The layered causal analysis is one of the future research methods, which due to its capability in deep analysis of phenomena and its function in creating alternative futures; numerous researches have been conducted in various fields using this method. In order to find research that can be checked and reviewed, the databases of "Comprehensive Portal of Humanities", "Scientific Information Center of Academic Jihad" and "Google Scholar" in the period from 1390 to 1402 with the keywords "causal layered analysis", "layered analysis" and "Causal Analysis" (internal) and Semantic scholar, Emerald, ScienceDirect and Google Scholar were searched with the keywords CLA, causal Layered Analysis and Layered Analysis in the period from 2000 to 2023 (external), which led to the extraction of 173 works (including articles, theses and scientific report). Finally, by screening these cases based on the criteria of "having a futures studies approach", "using causal layered analysis” and publishing in reliable publications, 83 cases were selected. Among the results of this survey, we can mention "serious prominence of social content in domestic research", "predominance of social, technological and political content in foreign research", "leadership of the three countries of Australia, Finland and Iran in the field of applying the CLA" and "printing more foreign articles" in Futures magazine.