نشریه مدیریت راهبردی و آینده پژوهی
سال هفتم شماره 1 (پیاپی 13، بهار و تابستان 1403)

Today, according to the turbulent and changing environment of the industry, one of the important factors in customer satisfaction is the optimal performance of the supply chain. The current research was conducted with the aim of investigating the impact of supply chain disruptions on customer satisfaction in a specific industry, taking into account the mediating effect of empowering green employees. This study is applied and descriptive in terms of purpose and was conducted with a descriptive method. The statistical population in this study is 350 employees of Ghadir Nyriz Steel Company, who were selected by convenience sampling. In order to analyze the data, partial least squares method and Smart PLS-3 software were used. Convergent validity was used in order to check the validity, and Cronbach's alpha coefficient was used to evaluate the reliability, which was more than 0.7 for all research constructs. The obtained results indicate that supply chain disruptions have a negative and significant effect on customer satisfaction and green employee empowerment. Also, the positive and significant effect of green employee empowerment and customer satisfaction in a specific industry was confirmed. Finally, the results of this research showed that the green employee empowerment variable mediates the relationship between supply chain disruptions and customer satisfaction.

Borrowing, like any other method, has advantages and disadvantages. Among the disadvantages of using borrowing is the company's exposure to financial problems and related costs. Financial problems can include a wide range of problems, from a relative decrease in liquidity to the bankruptcy of the company. On the other hand, the goal of management is to show the company stable and dynamic in the eyes of investors and creditors. Acquiring a suitable position among competitors and the capital market makes investors and lenders have a more favorable opinion of the company and the company does not need to spend more money in competition with other similar companies and with a lower cost of obtaining credit. The relationship between real earnings management and debt contracts is considered as the main hypothesis, as well as the relationship between real earnings management and the company's total debt and cost of debt. The practical findings of the research are based on the information of 130 active companies in the Tehran Stock Exchange, which are active in the stock exchange between 1387 and 1400, and Excel, SPSS, and Eviews8 software and the panel data estimation method have been used. The regression model has six independent variables that express the real profit management variable and control variables, and the results of the data analysis show that the real profit management is on the company's total debt, the real profit management is on the cost of the company's debt and also the real profit management. It affects the company's debt contracts. In this regard, it is recommended that real profit management in companies can be considered as a negative stimulus for the company's debt ratio.

This research was conducted with the aim of analyzing and predicting the future of the health system. The main goal of this research is to identify the key factors and the main drivers influencing the future of the health system and develop possible scenarios for the development and improvement of this system. This research has used the combined methods of Delphi and Micmac to collect and analyze data. At first, by forming a Delphi panel and conducting several rounds of surveys, the opinions of health experts and specialists were collected and analyzed. Then, using the mix-and-match technique, the mutual effects between the variables were analyzed and the key variables were identified. The results showed that population aging, technological advances, economic and social inequalities, changes in disease patterns and government policies are among the key factors and main drivers affecting the future of the health system. Analyzing the data with the Micmac technique showed that technological advances and government policies have the most impact. Developing effective strategies for the development and improvement of the health system requires attention to the key factors and the main drivers identified. Developed scenarios can help decision makers and policy makers to make more effective plans with a better understanding of the future.

The political construction of the future image is associated with the modeling of the semantic world. The demand for the image of the future has its permanent foundations in the cultural-semiotic, constructive-creative and projection capacity of man. This study discusses unknown knowledge formation processes. Semiotic analysis and epistemological explanation methods have been used in the research. The authors suggest that the image of the future (its cognitive model) is one of the possible options that appears in another form (for example, as an element of a model) in real reality, the subject of knowledge. In addition, this research provides an analysis of different epistemological approaches to the problem of the formation of unknown knowledge patterns in the semiotic context of a socio-cultural phenomenon. In this article, the research focuses on the process (and its possible contexts), creating/forming new knowledge in the field of dynamic object transformation (Charles Peirce). The current hypothesis of this research is that new knowledge, along with the process of its formation, is not only largely predetermined by previous knowledge and existing cognitive patterns, but in the framework of the "open world" thesis (Ilya Prigogine), it can be assumed that this kind of basic rules and also the possibility of new interpretations of previous knowledge (from a long time ago) are unlimited. The aim of this research is to identify elements (percipinda - an element to be understood) that can be used in models that describe the future and our current ideas/models of the future picture, taking into account the inaccuracies/errors etc. that have occurred over time. Revealed, generalizes (problem of falsifying science).

Effective use of information technology is one of the key success factors of organizations in gaining competitive advantage and providing better services to customers. The ever-increasing growth of developments and innovations in this field has created challenges in coordinating information technology strategies with organizational strategies. Coordinating information technology strategies with new business strategies is considered as one of the top ten issues of executive managers in this field. Despite the various methods and models that have been proposed and used in the past decades to solve the coordination problem, there are still serious challenges in this field. Technology planning has always been considered as one of the effective ways to align an organization's strategy with its technology plans. However, this approach has not been used to solve the problem of "coordinating information technology strategies with new business strategies". Therefore, this study reviews and analyzes the literature related to the coordination problem and highlights the challenges that have not been solved by the existing tools and models in this field. On the other hand, the theoretical and practical concepts of technology guidance are also analyzed. Finally, the concept of information technology roadmap planning method in order to develop a technology roadmap for the coordination of information technology strategies with the strategies of start-up businesses in the next 5 years with the latest developments in the field of information technology has been examined and the prototype of the

This research seeks to predict the future of the video-on-demand industry. This future shows what is logically happening in the world of video and shows industry players how to adapt to deal with the many changes and uncertainties along the way. On the other hand, it will help the managers of this industry and policy makers to create a favorable future. This research has been written using the method of structural analysis of mutual influence. Therefore, the main research question is to identify the most important factors and variables affecting the video-on-demand industry. In terms of the exploratory nature of the research, no hypothesis can be proposed and the answers to the questions depend on the opinions of the elites and the analytical process. In this research, 17 people present or experts in the video ecosystem participated upon request. Based on this research, the growth of data acquisition, increase in competition in content production, increase in the cost of content production and growth in the power of entertainment were identified as the most important trends governing the video-on-demand industry.