Utilize random processes in estimate manpower; A case study that use Markov chain for human resource planning

Forecasting is a base of any planning method especially human resource planning. One of the most important problems of organizations is human resource and personnel's problems. Accompanied by advance in the human societies and therefore complication in organizations, these subjects create opportunities and challenges for managers. A proper human resource planning can increase job satisfaction, promote quality and favorites of manpower and decrease staffing cost. Nowadays quantitative and qualities tools and methods are existent that utilize for human resource planning. This article is a research in tree dependent's firm of holding Software Company that applies one of most common method in planning. For estimate human resource needs in future stage, using tree previous year information that confine in six stages and duration of any stage is six month. Markov chain analyze is a method that use for estimate human resource in four job categories. Content scope in this research is human resource issues.