modflow
در نشریات گروه عمران-
In recent decades, climate change and drought have led to an increase in groundwater use in the world. In Iran, due to being in the global dry belt and also the impact of climate change, reduced rainfall and surface water, excessive use of groundwater, the amount of this valuable resource has decreased. According to groundwater changes which have led to aquifer storage reduction, aquifers’ evaluation is necessary. In this study, Haraz alluvial fan, located in the north of Iran, was studied using GMS software, MODFLOW and MT3DMS models to simulate groundwater quantity and quality, respectively. . MODFLOW is considered an international standard for simulating and predicting groundwater conditions and groundwater/surface-water interactions. MT3DMS can be used to simulate changes in concentrations of miscible contaminants in groundwater considering advection, dispersion, diffusion and some basic chemical reactions, with various types of boundary conditions. The results of the MODFLOW model showed maximum water level in the southern part of the alluvial fan with 125.07 m and lowest in the northern part, adjacent to the Caspian Sea coast with -17.52 m. Also on MT3DMS model output which was prepared based on Cl concentration, maximum amount of this agent is 297.17 mg/lit in the East and the North-West of the study area. Management policy applied was utilization of the alluvial fan aquifer within 2020 as much as previous year. Model predictions indicated that water level in piezometers increased 0.75 m during 2021 and the maximum amount of Cl concentration remain unchanged. According to the results,Keywords: Groundwater Evaluation, GMS, MODFLOW, MT3DMS, Caspian Sea
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In the present paper, the behavior of Kerman-Baghin aquifer has been investigated using the MODFLOW program and GMS 10.3 software. The piezometer data during October 2011 are applied for steady state condition of groundwater modeling. Then, the model is calibrated for 66 months for unsteady condition using observational information, and it is validated for 24 months. Finally, the results are compared with the available observed data and show acceptable accuracy in calibration and validation steps. After validating the model, the status of the aquifer is estimated for a period of 5 years. Management scenarios including 10, 20 and 30 percent reduction in groundwater abstraction as well as artificial recharge at eight selected aquifer sites have been investigated. The location of artificial recharge sites is selected based on seven parameters of land slope, distance from waterways, distance from faults, electrical conductivity, hydraulic conductivity, geology of the area and groundwater depth (thickness of unsaturated area). These parameters are combined with the index overlay method by Arc GIS 10.3 software. The results show that by continuing the current situation, the Kerman-Baghin aquifer could face an average annual deficit of more than 52 million cubic meters. It may cause various problems in the near future including abstraction water from groundwater sources and reducing water quality. The results of implementing different scenarios show that, the best scenario can be obtained by 10% reducing water withdrawal with artificial recharge in four zones 1, 2, 10 and 12.
Keywords: Numerical modeling, Groundwater, Artificial recharge, GMS, MODFLOW -
شبیه سازی ریاضی سیستم منابع آب زیرزمینی یکی از ابزار های ضروری در مدیریت این منابع ارزشمند به حساب می آید و کالیبراسیون این مدل های شبیه ساز یکی از مراحل وقت گیر و پیچیده در این فرآیند است. کالیبراسیون خودکار که در سال های اخیر توسط محققان با الگوریتم های مختلفی توسعه داده شده است، یکی از روش های موثر در غلبه بر این مشکلات محاسباتی است. از طرف دیگر، کمبود داده های صحرایی از لحاظ زمانی و مکانی و پیچیدگی های هیدرولوژیکی و هیدروژیولوژیکی، عدم قطعیت های زیادی را به نتایج کالیبراسیون وارد می کند. الگوریتم SUFI-II یک روش کالیبراسیون خودکار مبتنی بر عدم قطعیت است که توانایی کالیبراسیون و تحلیل عدم قطعیت مدل های شبیه سازی عددی را دارد. در این مقاله، برای اولین بار، از این الگوریتم برای کالیبراسیون و تحلیل عدم قطعیت پارامترهای هیدرودینامیکی (هدایت هیدرولیکی و آبدهی ویژه) مدل MODFLOW استفاده شده است. نتایج اجرای مدل برای آب های زیرزمینی دشت اردبیل (شمال غربی ایران)، نشان دهنده قرار گرفتن به طور متوسط 62 درصد مقادیر مشاهداتی سطح ایستایی در محدوده بازه اطمینان 95 درصد است. درنهایت، با رویکرد پیشنهادی، مناسب ترین مقدار برای بازه پارامتر های هدایت هیدرولیکی و آبدهی ویژه تعیین شده است. همچنین کالیبراسیون مدل شبیه سازی آب زیرزمینی با استفاده از PEST نیز صورت گرفته است. مطابق نتایج، مقدار مجذور میانگین مربعات خطا (RMSE) در این حالت (37/3= RMSE) بیشتر از مقدار به دست آمده از روش SUFI-II (86/1 =RMSE) است که نشان دهنده ی عملکرد بهتر الگوریتم SUFI-II نسبت به مدل PEST است.
کلید واژگان: آبخوان دشت اردبیل، کالیبراسیون خودکار، MODFLOW، تحلیل عدم قطعیت، الگوریتم SUFI-IIAutomatic Calibration of Groundwater Simulation Model (MODFLOW) by Indeterministic SUFI-II AlgorithmMathematical simulation of groundwater resource systems is one of the essential tools in managing these valuable resources and calibration of the groundwater simulation models is the time-consuming, and complicated step of these systems. Automated calibration, developed in recent years by researchers with different algorithms, is one of the effective methods to overcome these computational problems. On the other hand, lack of field data in terms of time and space and the hydrological and hydrogeological complexities leads to many uncertainties in the calibration results. The SUFI-II algorithm is an uncertainty-based automatic calibration method that is capable of calibration and uncertainty analysis of numerical simulation models. In this paper, for the first time, this algorithm is used to calibrate and analyze the uncertainty of hydrodynamic parameters (hydraulic conductivity and specific yield) of the MODFLOW model. The results of model implementation for the Ardabil plain groundwater model (Northwestern Iran), indicate an average of 62 percent of the observation data within the 95 percent confidence interval. Finally, the best intervals of parameters are determined for the hydraulic conductivity and specific yield by the proposed approach. Also, the calibration of the groundwater model has been carried out using PEST. According to the results, the root-mean-squared error (RMSE) value in this case (RMSE = 3.37) is higher than the SUFI-II method (RMSE = 1.86), which indicates better performance of the SUFI-II algorithm than the PEST model.
Keywords: Automatic calibration, MODFLOW, Uncertainty analysis, SUFI-II algorithm, Ardabil plain aquifer -
تبادل آب و مواد محلول بین جریان سطحی و جریان داخل محیط متخلخل بستر رودخانه بعنوان تبادلات هایپریک شناخته می شود. تبادلات هایپریک آب و مواد مغذی را به ارگانیسم هایی که در ناحیه هایپریک زندگی می کنند، رسانیده و شرایط اکولوژیکی و چرخه مواد غذایی را در این ناحیه تحت تاثیر قرار می دهد. یکی از عوامل موثر بر این تبادلات، گرادیان های فشار در اطراف فرم بستر رودخانه می باشد. خیزاب ها و گوداب ها از اشکال ژیومورفیک رودخانه ها تلقی می شوند که گرادیان فشار در امتداد آن ها منجر به تبادلات هایپریک شده و اخیرا در پروژه های احیاء رودخانه ها مورد توجه قرار گرفته اند. هدف از تحقیق حاضر مقایسه میزان دبی تبادلات هایپریک و زمان ماندگاری جریان داخل بستر رسوبی در خیزاب-گوداب دو بعدی و سه بعدی می باشد. برای این منظور ابتدا به شبیه سازی جریان سطحی با استفاده از مدل OpenFOAM پرداخته شده و سپس فشار حاصله بر روی فرم بستر بعنوان شرط مرزی به مدل آب زیرزمینی MODFLOW معرفی می گردد. نتایج این تحقیق نشان می دهد با افزایش تقریبا 50 درصدی دامنه فرم بستر، دبی تبادلات هایپریک هم در حالت دو بعدی و هم در حالت سه بعدی 26 درصد افزایش و زمان ماندگاری در مدل دو بعدی 36 درصد و در مدل سه بعدی 41 درصد کاهش می یابد. همچنین، مقایسه نتایج خیزاب-گوداب سه بعدی با مدل دو بعدی معادل آن نشان می دهد که دبی تبادلات هایپریک و زمان ماندگاری به ترتیب 3 و 4 درصد افزایش می یابند.
کلید واژگان: خیزاب-گوداب، OpenFOAM، MODFLOW، تبادلات هایپریک، زمان ماندExchanges of water and solute between stream flow and flow through river bed porous media are known as hypoerheic exchanges. Hyporheic exchanges transfer water and nutrient to the organism lived in the hyporheic zone, so affect ecological conditions and food cycle. One of the important factor effects on these exchanges is pressure gradient along the bed form. Riffle-pools are geomorphic features of rivers which pressure gradient along them drive hyporheic exchanges and recently considered in river restoration projects. The goal of this study is to compare the hyporheic flux and residence time of flow within sediment bed, in 2D and 3D riffle-pool. For reaching this goal, the surface flow simulated with OpenFAOM and then the results of pressure along bed form, set as a boundary condition on groundwater model (MODFLOW software). The results show that, by increasing bed form amplitude, hyporheic exchanges flux increases by 26 percent for both 2D and 3D models, and residence time decreases by 36 percent for 2D and 41 percent for 3D models. Also, comparison of 3D riffle-pool with equal 2D model shows that hyporheic exchanges flux and residence time increase by 3% and 4%, respectively.
Keywords: Riffle-Pool, OpenFOAM, MODFLOW, Hyporheic Exchanges, Residence Time -
This paper evaluated an integrated water resources management approach through linked WEAP-MODFLOW model. Study area is Ravasnar-Sanjabi plain located in Kermanshah province in the west of Iran. A MODFLOW model was evaluated and then, accepted as a groundwater model for the region in present research. Schematic WEAP model was provided as representing general features of water resources system after designing a conceptual model for the study area. The simplified rainfall-runoff model in WEAP was used to perform hydrological simulations. In the second step of present research, the groundwater model was linked to WEAP dynamically. Simulation years with 12 time steps per year included years of 2007-2015 for creating and verifying WEAP-MODFLOW model and years of 2015-2030 for performing scenarios. Statistical criteria included mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and Nash-Sutcliffe (NASH), with Box plot diagram being selected to assess accuracy of calibrated model. Four scenarios were implemented for 2015 until 2030. They included unchanged present situation and situations with 35%, 45% and 57% reduction of groundwater and surface water withdrawal. Results showed that the fourth scenario with a 57% decrease in the extraction of surface water and groundwater resources was the best one. Based on this scenario, exploitation of the system will be sustainable, with the system recovering as 0.023 meter rising per year. Finally, the results of present study indicated that the approach was feasible for planning and managing water resources in spite of the lack of some data.Keywords: Integrated Water Resources Management (IWRM), MODFLOW, Sustainable Development, WEAP
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