ardovan zarandian
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خدمات اکوسیستم مجموعه مزایای مستقیم و غیرمستقیمی است که انسان از اکوسیستم دریافت می کند. با توجه به اهمیت خدمات اکوسیستمی مربوط به تالاب ها، ابزارها و مدل های مختلفی برای مطالعه و بررسی این خدمات وجود دارد، مطالعه حاضر با موضوع ارزیابی و ارزش گذاری اقتصادی خدمات اکوسیستمی محدوده مطالعاتی تالاب قره قشلاق با هدف شناخت نوع تالاب و کارکردهای شاخص تالاب قره قشلاق بوده تا با پهنه بندی و تعیین ارزش و عرضه خدمات اکوسیستمی بتوان با برنامه ریزی و تصمیم سازی مدیریتی تالاب مذکور، توسعه و کارکرد پایدار تالاب را فراهم نمود. در این پژوهش از ابزارهای مختص خدمات اکوسیستمی از جمله اینوست بر روی خدمات آبزی پروری تالاب قره قشلاق استفاده شده است و به جهت ارزشگذاری اقتصادی نیز از روش ارزشگذاری مشروط بهره گرفته شده است. نتیجه بررسی نشان می دهد ارزش اقتصادی کارکرد پرورش آبزیان در ضلع جنوب غربی محدوده، باعث حفظ و تثبیت ارزش کارکرد زیستگاهی تالاب قره قشلاق می باشد که به میزان 2232 هکتار از سطح محدوده برای پرورش ماهی مناسب که درآمد خالص پرورش ماهی 4059 (هزار دلار) بوده و ارزش فعلی خالص 1946 (هزار دلار) در مزارع برآورد گردیده است.
کلید واژگان: آبزی پروری، زیستگاه، اینوست، توسعه پایدار، تالابIntroductionExperts monitor and value the flow of goods and services produced by wetlands, some of which are traded in markets. Many other goods and services are not marketed, but economists have developed techniques to estimate the economic value of goods and services, which have complex economic and biological relationships. Market goods and services provide personal benefits, while nonmarket goods and services primarily benefit society. To estimate these values, economists have developed methods for valuing nonmarket goods. However, differences in methods, physical characteristics, and location of wetlands in the socio-economic landscape and background contribute to further differences in wetland value. This study aims to identify the type of wetland and the functions of the Qarah Qeshlaq wetland index to enable sustainable development and operation of the wetland through zoning and to determine the value and supply of ecosystem services through planning and management of the wetland. This indicates that ecological resources of this region should be allocated to intrinsic functions with a total net benefit measured by assessing the economic benefits of each usage minus the costs. Ultimately, these services and benefits are assigned to the community.
Materials and methodsThe study area of the Qarah Qeshlaq wetland (22,000 ha) is located between the provinces of East and West Azerbaijan and on the edge of Bonab and Miandoab cities (37° 13' 25" N, 45° 51' 38" E). On the other hand, it is situated on the southern shore of Lake Urmia at an elevation of 1270 m above sea level (Fig. 1). This wetland includes part of the estuary of the Zarrineh Rud, Sufi Chai, Mordagh Chai, Lilan Chay, and Haji Mosayeb Chai rivers, as well as Neor Chai, which varies in proportion to the peak discharge of the above-mentioned rivers.InVEST3.7.0 is free software available under open source license. Updated versions of the tool are released approximately every three months, which include updated science or new models. First, the main InVEST models were created in ArcGIS. But now almost all models are executable in an independent form and there is no dependence on other software.This model was developed to study the fish production and their economic value in an area. Water temperature and aquaculture conditions are the main factors considered. This model provides the most accurate results using on-site temperature parameters and aquaculture operations as inputs. The model was implemented in four steps:1) Modeling from growth stage to exploitation of aquatic species;2) Calculating the total weight of fish produced by multiplying the number by the weight of the fish, thus eliminating the fish with lower weight and those eliminated due to natural mortality;3) Harvesting all fish on the farm at the same time and restarting the farm after a user-defined downturn; and4) Assessing the processed harvest as an optional and final step of the model.This study has used a conditional valuation method to value the indirect services of the Qarah Qeshlaq wetland. A questionnaire was used to determine people's willingness to pay under hypothetical market scenarios. We used a logit regression model to examine the effects of different explanatory variables on willingness to pay.Conditional Valuation Method is the only method used to estimate unused values. The amount that people were willing to pay for environmental protection was directly asked using a questionnaire. According to Venkatachalam (2004), willingness to pay is the lowest value individuals place on environmental goods. This method seeks to predict people's willingness to pay considering hypothetical market scenarios.The results of Aquaculture service modeling 1) Depending on the scale and capacity of rearing in each farm, juvenile fish up to 0.06 kg were released, leading to the production of larger fish up to 1.4 kg as fishery product. Table 1 shows the numbers and pieces of fish. The release period in each farm ranged from 20 to 70 days per year.2) The amount of fish produced is estimated to be 280 tons per year or one breeding period after calculating the total weight of fish produced by multiplying the number of fish by their weight and eliminating lower weight fish and fish with natural mortality. Finally, all fish in the farm were harvested at the same time. 3) Reducing the inflow of the above two rivers into the Qarah Qeshlaq wetland will not only affect the water quality of the wetland, but also the volume of water in the wetland, which will also negatively affect the performance of fish farming during this period. In other words, the number of farms is reduced from 14 to 13 plots, and water quality affects the performance of the Qarah Qeshlaq and Neor Chay wetlands, reducing from 200,000 to 167934 plots over a year.4) In terms of crop production, fish farming currently produces the most, followed by the Qarah Qeshlaq wetland, while Neor River and water supply canals are in the last place. Fig. 3 depicts the mean and standard deviation of each farm, with farms 3 and 8 having relatively high production compared to the others. The river is less productive due to the lack of human intervention and the releasing of juvenile fish into the river.
ConclusionThe study area is the Qarah Qeshlaq wetland, with an area of 22 thousand hectares. About 60% of this wetland is in East Azerbaijan province, and 40% of it is located in West Azerbaijan. There are 13 types of land use in the area of the Qarah Qeshlaq wetland, which shows the diversity of land use and the active presence of human factors over nearly 22,000 hectares. Around 46% of the area is used for agricultural purposes, and about 28% of the land contains saline and infertile soil. The level of land use, its importance, and the geometric form have been effective in threatening the Qarah Qeshlaq wetland ecosystem. In this regard, residential centers, as the center of threat, and the access road, as the development of the threat, have contributed the most to the change in land use. Among 14 land uses in the study area, 8 land uses are considered as habitats, of which agricultural lands are habitats for ewe and chicken, barren lands, pastures, salt marshes, and floodplains are habitats for waterfowls, and river, water supply channel, and Qarah Qeshlaq wetland are habitats for aquatics. Considering the average income of each household, the willingness to pay was 50000000 Rials for the villages of Qarah Qeshlaq, Ahmadabad, Salarabad, and Majidabad, with 307 native households, leading to a total amount of 6975418531 Rials for one month. The willingness to pay was 259781500 Rials for 500 non-native people, leading to a total value of 7235200031 Rials. However, based on international calculations, the economic value of the Qarah Qeshlaq wetland was estimated at 227773688 dollars per year, whose significant difference shows less attention to ecosystem services during the lifetime of this wetland.
Keywords: Aquaculture, Habitat, InVEST, Sustainable Development, wetland -
بررسی الگوهای مکانی خدمات اکوسیستمی نقش مهمی در ارزیابی آن ها دارد. از این رو در این مطالعه با هدف شناسایی و تعیین الگوهای مکانی خدمات اکوسیستمی پس از کمی سازی خدمات اکوسیستمی زیستگاهی در محدوده مطالعاتی تالاب قره قشلاق با مساحت 22 هزار هکتار که در بین استان آذربایجان شرقی و آذربایجان غربی قرار دارد از روش های نوین آمار فضایی هم چون همبستگی فضایی موران و قابلیت سامانه اطلاعات جغرافیایی (GIS) استفاده شد. بررسی ها نشان می دهد در محدوده تالاب قره قشلاق 13 نوع کاربری وجود دارد که در محدوده به اندازه حدود 22 هزار هکتار نشان از تنوع کاربری و در واقع حضور فعال عوامل انسانی می باشد که حدود 46 درصد از محدوده دارای کاربری زراعی بوده و حدود 28 درصد اراضی شوره زار است و در این خصوص مراکز سکونتی بعنوان کانون تهدید و جاده دسترسی بعنوان توسعه تهدید بیشترین سهم در تغییر کاربری اراضی بوده است. با توجه به شاخص موران به میزان 0.62 و شاخص مورد انتظار به میزان منفی 0.000017 و z-score با 1505869 احتمال تصادفی بودن توزیع کم بوده و توزیع بصورت خوشه ای می باشد. آنالیز بهینه شده نقاط حساس در محدوده تالاب قره قشلاق نشان می دهد در ضلع غربی محدوده که فاقد فعالیت و حضور عوامل انسانی بوده، بیشترین همبستگی وجود دارد و در ضلع شرقی که بیشترین فعالیت انسانی وجود دارد، کمترین همبستگی وجود دارد.
کلید واژگان: خدمات اکوسیستمی، همبستگی مکانی، شاخص موران، توزیع تصادفیValuing ecosystem services requires consideration of spatial patterns. Therefore, we used new spatial statistics methods, such as Moran's spatial correlation and GIS capability, to identify and determine spatial patterns of ecosystem services after quantifying habitat ecosystem services in the Qarah Qeshlaq wetland, a 22,000 ha wetland between the eastern and western Azerbaijan provinces. Studies show that there are 13 types of land uses in the area of Qarah Gheshlagh wetland, which in the area of about 22,000 hectares shows the diversity of land use and in fact the active presence of human factors, about 46% of the area has agricultural land and about 28% of saline land. In this regard, residential centers as a threat center and access road as a threat development have been the largest share in land use change. According to the Moran index of 0.62 and the expected index of -0.000017 and the z-score of 1505869, the probability of random distribution is low and the distribution is clustered. The optimized analysis of the sensitive points in the area of Qarah Qeshlaq wetland reveals that the correlation is highest on the western side of the wetland where there is no human activity, while it is lowest on the eastern side where there is a great deal of human activity.IntroductionIn general, any type of wetland is composed of a large number of physical, biological or chemical factors, and water, soil and nutrients represent these components that, in conjunction with each other in an integrated system, form the wetland and the processes between the components, the functions of the components. Creates. Wetlands are defined based on their biological, chemical, and physical properties, regardless of their specific function, production, or process (Ganagey, 2018). In order to identify wetlands, first the type of wetlands must be determined from a hydrological point of view, and each of the different classes of wetlands provides different ecosystem services. In other words, many benefits that ecosystems provide to individuals are called ecosystem services.Methodology Introduction of the study areaThe study area of Qaraghshlagh wetland with an area of 22,000 hectares is located between East Azerbaijan and West Azerbaijan provinces and on the outskirts of Bonab and Miandoab cities in a geographical position of 37 degrees 13 minutes and 25 seconds north latitude and 45 degrees and 51 minutes and 38 seconds east longitude. It is located on the south shore of Lake Urmia at an altitude of 1270 meters above sea level.InVEST habitat quality model, by combining land use / vegetation patterns and biodiversity threats, leads to the production of habitat quality maps. This model is implemented using raster data or maps divided into square cells (pixels). Each pixel in the image is assigned to a type of land use / vegetation, which can be a natural cover or a man-made cover. This approach provides two basic types of information necessary for the initial assessment of conservation needs: which includes the relative extent and extent of degradation of different types of habitats in an area and its various changes over time.Understanding patterns and discovering trends in spatial data is important. Because before any analysis, it must be determined how the data are distributed in space and their spatial patterns. In this study, Moran correlation statistic was used to analyze the spatial correlation of ecosystem services. There are two types of Moran indices to determine the spatial correlation between variables whose efficiency is different from each other. Global Moran Index and Local Moran Index. One of the most basic global indicators of solidarity is the Moran index. This index gives a number (as a standard score) that can be used to measure the dispersion or concentration of phenomena or spatial data.ResultsLand use related to the current timeThere are 13 types of land uses in the area of Ghareh Gheshlagh wetland, which in the area of about 22,000 hectares shows the diversity of land use and in fact the active presence of human factors, about 46% of the area has agricultural land and about 28% is saline land. If this area was not saline, it could be added to the area of agricultural land. Of the remaining 24%, about 7% is used as a fish farm and 7% is a rangeland. In other words, 35% of the lands in this area are national lands (rangeland and saline). Only 10% of the area as an aquatic habitat belongs to Qarah Gheshlagh wetland, river, flood area and water supply canal. Qarah Gheshlagh wetland in the current situation with an area of about 140 hectares and covers less than one percent of the area (Figure 2). In evaluating ecosystem services, there is a wider range of goals, including ecological sustainability and social welfare, along with the traditional economic goal of efficiency. In fact, by determining the value of ecosystem services in socio-economic and ecological dimensions, we can understand the contribution of each of these services in achieving the above goals. Therefore, due to the heterogeneity of units of measurement in three dimensions of economic, social and ecological, it is necessary to develop criteria for measuring each and in some cases to determine the degree of importance of these criteria in the specific service of the ecosystem by qualitative weighting. On the other hand, the implementation of the development plan can have different socio-economic and ecological effects; Effects that can change the value of ecosystem services and reduce and in some cases increase the value of these services.In the present study, in order to investigate the spatial structure of ecosystem services in the area of Gharaghshlagh wetland, spatial statistics (value2 column of land use) have been evaluated. The statistics used, based on the conceptualization of the dispersion index, examine the ratio of variance to the average based on the distance of services. 0.62 does not follow a random distribution, but the p-value is zero, which indicates a high correlation and cluster distribution and is significant.According to Table 4, the Moran index is 0.62 and the expected index is negative 0.000017 and the z-score is 1505869. The probability of random distribution is low and is in the form of clusters. Examination of Map 5 Analysis of hotspots in Qarah Gheshlagh area shows the southwest side of the area which includes wetland, fish breeding place, Zarrineh river and flood spreading place in this area has the highest value and in the eastern side of the area which is agricultural use has the lowest value or points. It is hot or correlated, and there is no correlation with pale pink in the center of the range and paths of rivers and water supply canals.ConclusionQarah Gheshlagh wetland is located on the shores of Lake Urmia and at the mouth of large rivers such as Zarrineh and Simaneh rivers, as well as Mordagh Chai, Leylan Chai and Sufi Chai, and has been a habitat and water source in the region. These wetlands have provided food, drinking water, pastures and transportation routes for indigenous communities and have emerged as part of their culture. In this study, the spatial correlation pattern for habitat ecosystem service was investigated. Gharaghshlagh wetland is the first station for waterfowl in the country due to its migration route from north to south, especially birds living in Siberia, and therefore, it carries a rich source of animal diversity and serves as a link between the north and The south is home to rare species of birds. Studies show that 14 ecosystem services are affected by each other in the area of Ghareh Gheshlagh wetland and these uses are interdependent, so that without the river and canal, neither the wetland is important nor agricultural activity is possible in that area. As the studies show that the standard standardization row has been done, the distance threshold is 10813163 m and the studied data do not follow the random distribution according to Moran index of 0.62, and the p-value is zero, which indicates high correlation and clustering of the distribution. And is significant and according to z-score 150.586901454, there is less than 1% probability that this clustering pattern can be the result of a random chance that positive value values in this statistic indicate cluster data and negative value values indicate unsatisfactory data. is. However, each of the farms and ecosystem service centers of the wetland have scalable conditions and are suitable for a variety of ecosystem service traits, and on the other hand, the level and capacity of services and outgoing data in each user is easily identifiable and on the other hand sensitive to they do not prioritize ecosystem services and each has a specific application and role in the ecosystem.
Keywords: Ecosystem services, spatial correlation, Moran Index, Stochastic distribution
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