aziz ghazanfari

After establishment of the illegitimate regime of Israel, the security of the western Asia entered a new era in a way that fraternity-enmity patterns of this regime affected regional countries. Historical defeats of Arabs from Israel, the dependence of their security on the West and interaction of regional changes in the last decade propelled the Arabs-Israel’s relations toward a political current called normalization. Ambiguity in perceptions of regional actors, epistemological and methodological deficiencies in studying these relations and lack of literature in some variables of these relations motivated the current research to adopt an innovative approach to study this subject. To this aim, a multi-phase/multi-method approach blending both qualitative and quantitative methods was used. Research findings showed that in the construct of Arab-Israel normalization three economic-technological, ideological-political and military-security factors are involved which entail 24 different variables. It was revealed that many of these variable are the direct effect of the Islamic revolution.

This study seeks to answer this question: what grounds and reasons can be given for the withdrawal of the United States from the nuclear deal. Without examining the contexts and factors that influence the decisions of US foreign policy, it is impossible to trace the US withdrawal from JCPOA and start of  an economic war against Iran. This article takes advantage of “James Rosina’s theory of continuity.” Rosina, who is a representative of the combination of two levels of micro and macro analysis in theoretical models of analyzing foreign policy behaviors, believes that in examining and analyzing foreign policy of each country, we must pay attention to five categories of main variables: individual, role, government, society and finally international system. The findings of this study on the withdrawal of the United States from JCPOA and the confrontation with Iran’s asymmetric deterrence strategy show that although the central sign of this phenomenon is Trump’s individual and personality variable, other variables, despite direct impact on US foreign policy towards Iran, have largely emerged as intermediate, stimulating and influential opportunistic factors in the context of Trump’s personality conditions.