linear regression model
در نشریات گروه عمران-
شاخص های ایمنی جانشین، امکان بررسی میزان خطرپذیری و نیز در معرض آسیب بودن عابران را فراهم می آورند. به کارگیری این شاخص ها مزیت هایی دارد: اول، عدم وابستگی به آمار تصادفات و برخی جزییات و خطاهای آن و دوم، امکان بررسی تعاملات خطرآفرینی که منجر به تصادف نشده اند، سوم، ارزیابی قبل و بعد سیاست ها و اقدامات ایمنی. در این پژوهش شاخص های کاربردی مربوط به ایمنی عابران شناسایی شده و عوامل موثر بر این شاخص ها تعیین گردیده است. نوآوری های مقاله شامل استفاده از شاخص ایمنی خط مبنا برای عابر پیاده و همچنین بررسی توام گذرگاه میان مقطعی عابر پیاده در یک خیابان و در یک تقاطع است. چهار شاخص زمان پس از تخطی، زمان پس از تخطی خط مبنا، فاصله زمانی و زمان تا تصادف محاسبه شد. شاخص ها و متغیرهای قابل برداشت از فیلم های ضبط شده در معابر شهر اصفهان استخراج شد و با برازش خطی، متغیرهای معنادار برای هر شاخص و نیز عوامل موثر در افزایش یا کاهش هر شاخص شناسایی شد. نتایج نشان داد، متغیرهای گذرگاه عابر از نوع میان مقطعی، تداخل عابر با یک خودرو، وجود خودروی شاسی بلند در تداخل، جنسیت عابر پیاده، روشن بودن هوا، توقف عابر حین عبور، عبور گروهی عابران، جهت حرکت عابر پیاده، سرعت عابر پیاده و خودرو مهم ترین عوامل موثر بر ایمنی تداخلات عابر و خودرو هستند. برای برنامه ریزی و پیش بینی تسهیلات مناسب عبور عابران پیاده از خیابان، توجه به متغیرهای مذکور حائز اهمیت است.کلید واژگان: ایمنی عابر پیاده، تداخل، شاخص جانشین ایمنی، مدل رگرسیون خطیSurrogate safety measures make it possible to assess the level of risk and vulnerability of pedestrians. There are advantages to using these indicators: first, the independence of the accident statistics and some of its details and errors, and second, the possibility of examining risky interactions that did not lead to an accident, and third, in evaluating before and after safety policies and measures. In this research, practical surrogate safety measures related to pedestrian safety have been identified and the effective factors on these indicators have been determined. Innovations of the article includes the use of the Lane-based surrogate safety measure for pedestrians, as well as the combined examination of the Mid-block of pedestrian crossings in a street and at an intersection. Four Surrogate safety measures of Post Encroachment Time, Lane-based Post Encroachment Time, Gap Time and Time to Collision were calculated. Surrogate safety measures and extractable variables were extracted from the recorded videos in the streets of Isfahan and by linear fitting, significant variables for each surrogate safety measures as well as effective factors in increasing or decreasing each surrogate safety measures were identified. The results showed that the variables of Mid-block of pedestrian crossing, Conflict of a pedestrian with a car, presence of a SUV vehicle in the Conflict, gender of pedestrian, day light, Group crossing of pedestrian, direction of pedestrian movement, pedestrian velocity and car velocity are the most important Factors affecting safety of pedestrian and vehicle conflicts. It is important to pay attention to the mentioned variables in order to plan and predict appropriate facilities for pedestrians to cross the street.Keywords: Pedestrian Safety, Conflict, Surrogate Safety Measures, Linear Regression Model
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According to previous studies, 60% to 70% of the total rural road accidents would occur at the city entrance zones in Iran. Therefore, the characteristics of these zones could be considered as effective parameters in rural road accidents. In all prior studies, a 30-km buffer of the cities' entrances has been assumed as the border of the entrance zone. The 30-km buffer could not be considered as the boundary of the influenced area (BIA) of the cites´ entrance for all types of the roads and cities, merely based on aggregate rural road accidents´ data and a traditional definition of the city entrance zone. Determining the BIA for various rural roads with different characteristics using the modelling approach is the innovative aspect of this research. Furthermore, according to their specifications, implementing safety improvements in these areas, not only reduce the number of rural road accidents and fatalities, but also prevent the loss of road safety costs due to the economic problems of Iran. Thus, this study aimed to develop linear and logistic regression models to predict the BIA of rural roads in Iran. The results of this study indicated a fit index value of 0.737 for the linear regression model, and 0.379 and 0.346 for the ordered probit (OP) and multinomial logit (ML) models, respectively. The analysis of significant variables at 95% confidence level, revealed that the access points' density, and the length of adjacent land uses are the most significant variables affecting the BIA.Keywords: Boundary of Influence Area (BIA), Linear Regression Model, Logistic regression model, Highway Access Point, Highway Adjacent Land use
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In spite of many benefits, FRP materials are susceptible to elevated temperatures. On the other hand, because FRP laminates are different from other FRP materials, data acquired from investigations concerning FRP materials cannot be suggested for FRP laminates. An assessment of the tensile performance of fibers impregnated by epoxy resin as binder is needed. In recent decades, many methods have been presented to protect fiber reinforced polymer (FRP) composites against high temperatures. The application of fire protection mortar is a low-cost and easy technique among all methods. In this investigation, the influence of fire protection mortar on the improvement of the tensile strength of glass fiber reinforced polymer (GFRP) and carbon fiber reinforced polymer (CFRP) laminates was evaluated. For this object, over 200 FRP laminates with or without fire protection mortar were tested at various elevated temperatures. Investigated temperatures varied from 25°C to 500°C. According to the results obtained from this study, the strength of FRP laminates considerably reduced following the laminates experienced the temperatures higher than 400°C. However, the samples covered with fire protection mortar underwent lower the tensile strength decrements. Eventually, a linear model was presented to estimate the strength of FRP laminates including or excluding protective mortar at elevated temperatures on the basis of linear regressions carried out on test data.
Keywords: FRP laminates, Fire protection mortar, Elevated temperatures, Linear regression model -
یکی از عواقب بروز آتش، دود است. گاها رصد دود و آشکارسازی آن می تواند به عنوان راهکاری به منظور جلوگیری از وقوع و یا گسترش آتش محسوب شود. از سوی دیگر، بواسطه ی اثرات مخرب گسترش دود برای سلامت انسان، می توان با پهنه بندی و پایش روند گسترش آن، تدابیر لازم را به منظور ارتقای سطح خدمات بهداشتی در دستورکار قرار داد. در این مقاله، روشی خودکار به منظور آشکارسازی دود رقیق ناشی از آتش سوزی های وسیع در تصاویر چندطیفی پیشنهاد شده است. ایده ی اصلی این روش، عدم امکان بازسازی دقیق دود در باندهای متاثر از دود (باندآبی) به کمک مدل های رگرسیونی از سایر باندهای طیفی است. در گام اول از روش پیشنهادی، قدر مطلق باقیمانده های تخمین رگرسیونی باند طیفی آبی به کمک آستانه گذاری اتسو به یک ماسک باینری تبدیل می شود. سپس در یک روند تکراری، نواحی غیر دود شناسایی و خوشه بندی می گردند. در روند تکرار، به ازای هر خوشه یک مدل رگرسیونی برازش یافته و برای هر پیسکل از ضرایبی که کمترین خطای بازسازی باند آبی را برخوردار باشند استفاده می شود. اینکار با تخمین دقیق تر باند آبی، اثر خطاهای نوع اول را کاهش داده و ماسک بدست آمده از روند آستانه گذاری باقیمانده ها را به سمت نواحی دود هدایت می سازد. آخرین گام از روند پیشنهادی نیز به پالایش و حذف قطعات تصویری نادرست اختصاص دارد. موفقیت این روش در شناسایی دودهای رقیق مطلوب بوده و از دیگر ویژگی های این روش نیز می توان به عدم شناسایی دود در تصاویر فاقد دود اشاره داشت. نتایج پیاده سازی این روش در چند مجموعه داده توام با دود های رقیق بطور متوسط دقت 04/99 درصدی را تامین ساخته است.
کلید واژگان: آشکارسازی دود، مدل رگرسیون خطی، خوشه بندی تکراری، آستانه گذاری اتسوOne of the consequences of a fire is smoke. Occasionally, monitoring and detection of this smoke can be a solution to prevent occurrence or spreading a fire. On the other hand, due to the destructive effects of the smoke spreading on human health, measures can be taken to improve the level of health services by zoning and monitoring its expansion process. In this paper, an automated method is proposed to detect the dilute smoke caused by large fires in multispectral images. The main idea of this method is the impossibility of precisely reconstructing the smoke in the bands affected by smoke (blue band) using regression models from other spectral bands. In the first step of the proposed method, the absolute value of the residuals of the regression estimation of blue spectral band is transformed into a binary mask with the help of Otsu thresholding. Afterwards, in an iterative process, non-smoke areas are detected and then clustered. In the iteration process, a regression model is fitted for each cluster and for each pixel, coefficients with the least error of the blue band reconstruction is used. Through more accurate estimation of the blue band, it reduces the effect of First Positive Error and leads the mask of residuals obtained from thresholding process to the smoke areas. The final step of the proposed method is to refine and remove the incorrect image segments. This method has been successful in detecting diluted smokes and also in disregarding smoke in non-smoky images. The results show the average accuracy of 99.04 percent in several datasets with diluted smokes.
Keywords: Smoke Detection, Linear Regression Model, Iterative Clustering, Otsu Tresholding -
ارائه مدل رگرسیون خطی جهت پیش بینی درصد مجاز استفاده از خرده آسفالت بازیافتی به عنوان جایگزین سنگدانه در مخلوط بتن غلتکی روسازی
کلید واژگان: بتن غلتکی روسازی، خرده آسفالت بازیافتی، بازیافت، مدل رگرسیون خطیEvery year, a large volume of waste materials are produced in the world, however a very small part of it take place in recycling and reusing. Recycled Asphalt Pavement (RAP) is a waste material which may have undesirable influence on its environment. Considering these materials reported characteristics, there have been introduced different strategies to reuse RAP’s. One of these applications recently noticed by the researchers is using RAP’s in cement mixtures such as concrete.As RAP is mainly gathered from roadsides and highways, so it is desirable to use them in common mixtures for roads pavement construction. Hence, Roller Compacted Concrete -a concrete mixture with unique features such as ease of application and low costs - was selected as basic mixture. In this research, after introducing two mixing ratios with two designing strengths, replacing a part of aggregates with RAPs was carried out in three states: 1-with fine and coarse aggregates, 2-with just fine aggregates, and 3-with just coarse aggregates, with ratios of 0, 10, 20, 40, and 80 %. Then, in the next step regression models with acceptable correlation coefficients were presented for prediction of compressive strength as well as allowable percentages of RAP aggregate to use in theconcrete. Valid using other types of RAPs was another work conducted in this research.
Keywords: Roller compacted concrete pavement, recycled asphalt pavement, recycling, linear regression model
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