Analysis of quantitative and economic indicators of housing and forecasting of population structure, housing prices and houses required till 1410 in Tehran

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Article Type:
Research/Original Article (بدون رتبه معتبر)
Abstract:
Introduction and Objectiv

 the quality of the urban housing indicators is one of the indicators of the socio - economic development in the countries of the world.in developing countries, including Iran housing supply is one of the Acute issues, are due to the presence of the defects in the planning of Housing and also increase urbanization rapidly. Over the decades, the changes in the city of Tehran have made it important for housing planning. The purpose of this article is to analyze Indicators of the quantitative and economic housing.

Method

The method used in this research is based on objective, applied and based on data collection, descriptive and analytical - quantitative. The library and documentation method were used to collect information. Finally, the prediction of population structure (exponential method), housing needs (aggregation and index methods) and housing prices (Arima method) have been addressed in three minimum, average and maximum scenarios.

Findings

The research findings indicate that the population of Tehran will reach from 8537000 to 9734000 by 1410 And will require 2863,000 to 3534,000 residential units. It is also expected that the average price per square meter of housing will reach 6.4 to 6.8 million tomans.

Conclusion

Housing Analysis in Tehran shows that quantitative indicators of housing have improved and economic indicators of housing have declined. And for the future of Tehran, a scenario with at least population growth and the scenario of maximum housing prices seems more likely.

Language:
Persian
Published:
Journal of Urban Management Studies, Volume:9 Issue: 31, 2017
Pages:
37 to 57
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