علی علیزاده
-
برای برنامه ریزی به منظور افزایش کارآیی، سرعت عمل و کاهش هزینه های آماربرداری نیاز به بررسی و استفاده از روش های مختلف نمونه برداری با مساحت متغیر از جمله خطی یا ترانسکت است. این مطالعه به منظور بررسی تاثیر طبقه بندی جنگل و مقایسه دقت برآورد کننده ها در روش نمونه برداری با مساحت متغیر خطی(Transect)در جنگل های صفارود مازندران به مساحت 176 هکتار انتخاب گردید. ابتدا با استفاده از روش آماربرداری صد درصد تمام درختان عرصه اندازه گیری، سپس روش خطی((Transect ا طول خط نمونه 30 متر در دو مرحله صورت گرفت. مرحله اول در عرصه به مساحت 176 هکتار بدون طبقه بندی با ابعاد شبکه 100x100 متر اندازه گیری گردید. مرحله دوم عرصه جنگل مورد بررسی با استفاده از روش طبقه بندی « نیمن» به سه مونه از نظر موجودی حجمی شامل کمتر از 200 متر مکعب، بین 200- 250 متر مکعب و بیشتر از 250 مترمکعب در هکتار مونه بندی و بر اساس روش خطی((Transect با استفاده از ابعاد شبکه جدید برای هر مونه صورت گرفت. در این مطالعه، اثر مونه بندی بر دقت و زمان با استفاده از معیار (E%2×T) مورد بررسی قرار گرفت. نتایج این بررسی از نظر شاخص دقت و هزینه نشان می دهد که با مونه بندی جنگل و اجرای نمونه برداری خطی، میانگین برآورد شده مشخصه های مورد بررسی 8/22 درصد به میانگین واقعی نزدیک تر هستند و میزان اشتباه از معیار آماری کمتر شده است. از نتایج این بررسی نتیجه گیری می شود که برآورد مشخصه های جنگل مانند تعداد و حجم در هکتار با روش نمونه برداری با مساحت متغیر خطی (Transect) برای جنگل های ناهمگن و پر تراکم شمال ممکن است، اما به دلایل مختلفی مانند انبوهی و تراکم بالای درختان و تداخل تاج آنها نتایج نمونه برداری خطی مانند خط نمونه که مبنای آن برخورد تنه یا تصویر تاج درختان است با خطای نمونه برداری همراه می باشد و میانگین نتایج برآوردها با میزان واقعی آن فاصله دارد.
کلید واژگان: روش خطی یا ترانسکت، جنگل صفارود، طبقه بندی نی من، رامسرTo plan in order to increase the efficiency, speed of action and reduce the cost of statistics, it is necessary to examine and use different sampling methods with variable area such as linear or transect. This study was chosen in order to investigate the effect of forest classification and compare the accuracy of estimators in the transect sampling method in Safaroud forests of Mazandaran with an area of 176 hectares. First, using the statistical method of 100% of all the trees in the field, then the linear method (Transect, the length of the sample line was 30 meters) was done in two stages. The first stage was in an area of 176 hectares without classification with a grid size of 100x100. meter was measured. The second stage of the forest area under investigation using the "Neyman" classification method into three categories in terms of volume inventory including less than 200 cubic meters, between 200-250 cubic meters and more than 250 cubic meters per hectare and according to the classification method A linear (transect) was made using the new grid dimensions for each stratum. In this study, the effect of segmentation on accuracy and time was investigated using the criterion (E%2×T). The results of this study in terms of the accuracy and cost index show that by segmenting the forest and implementing linear sampling, the estimated average of the investigated characteristics is 22.8% closer to the real average and the error rate is higher than the standard. Statistics have decreased. From the results of this study, it is concluded that the estimation of forest characteristics such as the number and volume per hectare is possible with the sampling method with linear variable area (Transect) for heterogeneous and dense forests in the north. However, due to various reasons such as the bushiness and density of trees and the interference of their crowns, the results of linear sampling, such as the sample line, which is based on the collision of the trunks or the image of the crowns of the trees, is associated with sampling error, and the average of the estimation results is with the actual amount of that distance has it.
IntroductionThe continuous need to improve statistical methods has led to the use of methods with minimum bias and minimum variance in forest statistics. to plan in order to increase the efficiency, speed of action and reduce the cost of statistics, it is necessary to examine and use different sampling methods with variable area such as linear or transect. This method is one of the specialized methods that ecologists can use to estimate the density or the total number of plants in a studied area. In the heterogeneous forest, to increase the accuracy of sampling, the forest can be classified in terms of stock. Classified estimation is a statistical technique that can reduce the variance of estimates without increasing the sample size.
MethodologyThis study was chosen in order to investigate the effect of forest classification and compare the accuracy of estimators in the transect sampling method in Safaroud forests of Mazandaran with an area of 176 hectares. The selected arenas were measured and recorded using the statistical method of 100% of all the trees in the areas (counting limit, diameter equal to chest more than seven and a half centimeters). In order to avoid mistakes and make it easier to perform 100% statistics, the studied area was divided into square pieces with dimensions of 50x50 meters and 704 plotes were placed in the field. Then the trees in each of these parts were measured separately. The linear transect method was carried out in two stages with a sample line length of 30 meters. The first stage was measured in an unclassified area of 176 hectares with a grid size of 100x100 meters. The second stage of the forest area under investigation using the method of "Neyman" classification into three categories in terms of volume inventory including less than 200 cubic meters, between 200-250 cubic meters and more than 250 cubic meters per hectare and based on The linear transect method was performed using the new grid dimensions for each stratum. In this study, the effect of segmentation on accuracy and time was investigated using the criterion (E%2×T). For this purpose, the time required to unload the sample plotes for the necessary measurements inside the sample plot and the time required to travel the distance between the adjacent sample plotes were also calculated and recorded using a stopwatch. In the present study, in addition to comparing the accuracy of statistical estimators, time studies were also conducted. In order to perform calculations related to time studies, the index value (E%2×T) was used. The effect of segmentation on accuracy and time was investigated using the criterion (E%2×T).
ConclusionThe results of the comparison of the statistical test between 100% statistical methods and Transect linear sampling without classification and with the implementation of classification showed that there is a significant difference at the level of 0.05%.With the implementation of stratification in the linear sampling method, the amount of statistical error has decreased and the estimated average of the examined characteristics has become closer to the real average. But the difference between the results and the actual amount is still significant. In other words, the reduction of statistical errors after classification for the characteristic of number per hectare by 3.37% and the reduction of 1.14% of statistical errors for the characteristic of cross-section width and 2.96% reduction of statistical errors for the characteristic of volume per hectare has not been able to improve the calculation results. put in the range of the real average. The results of this study in terms of the accuracy and cost index show that by segmenting the forest and implementing linear sampling, the estimated average of the investigated characteristics is 22.8% closer to the real average and the error rate is higher than the standard. Statistics have decreased. From the results of this study, it is concluded that the estimation of forest characteristics such as the number and volume per hectare is possible with the sampling method with linear variable area (Transect) for heterogeneous and dense forests in the north. However, due to various reasons such as the bushiness and density of trees and the interference of their crowns, the results of linear sampling, such as the sample line, which is based on the collision of the trunks or the image of the crowns of the trees, is associated with sampling error, and the average of the estimation results is with the actual amount of that distance. has it.
Keywords: Neyman Stratification, Transect Method, Ramsar, Safaroud Forest -
این پژوهش برای دست یابی به ابعاد بهینه شبکه آماربرداری در جنگل با استفاده از روش واریوگرافی در زمین آمار در حوزه آبخیز 30 جنگل صفارود رامسر به مساحت 100 هکتار انجام شد. نمونه برداری در یک شبکه منظم با شروع تصادفی به ابعاد 200×150 مترمربع انجام شد. برای تعیین همبستگی مکانی مناسب بین نمونه ها در فواصل کوتاه، از محل تقاطع اضلاع شبکه فوق، دو قطعه نمونه دیگر نیز به فاصله 50 متر در دو جهت اصلی نسبت به قطعه نمونه های مرکزی برداشت شدند. هر قطعه نمونه از دو بخش هم مرکز دایره ای به مساحت سه و هفت آر تشکیل شد. ترسیم مدل انتخابی برای برازش واریوگرام تجربی از مجموع قطعات نمونه زمین مرجع برای متغیرهای حجم و سطح مقطع برابرسینه در هکتار در سطح قطعه نمونه هفت آری نشان از وجود ساختار مکانی قوی و ارتباط معنی دار بین نمونه های اندازه گیری شده دارد. وجود ارتباط مکانی ضعیف بین نمونه ها برای متغیر سطح مقطع برابرسینه در هکتار در قطعه نمونه سه آری بیانگر ساختار مکانی ضعیف آن است.
کلید واژگان: ابعاد شبکه آماربرداری، زمین مرجع، سطح قطعه نمونه، واریوگرام تجربیThis study was conducted to determine the optimal systematic sampling dimensions in forest using Variogram analysis in geostatistics in Catchment Area 30, Safarood forest of Ramsar, with a total area of 100 ha. Sampling was done within a systematic grid (200m×150m) with randomly starting point. To determine the correct spatial correlation between specimens at short distances, from the intersection of the sides of the grid, two other samples were taken at a distance of 50m in two main directions from the central sample plot. Each piece of the sample consisted of two common-centered circular area of 300 and 700m2. The analysis of the selected model for fitting the experimental variogram of the total reference sample plots for the variables of growing stock and basal area/ha indicates the existence of a strong spatial structure and a significant relationship between the measured samples in the 700m2 sample plots. The existence of a weak spatial relationship between samples for basal area/ha in 300m2 sample plots indicate a weak spatial structure in these plots.
Keywords: Systematic Sampling Dimensions, Geostatistics, Sample plot Area, Experimental variogram
- این فهرست شامل مطالبی از ایشان است که در سایت مگیران نمایه شده و توسط نویسنده تایید شدهاست.
- مگیران تنها مقالات مجلات ایرانی عضو خود را نمایه میکند. بدیهی است مقالات منتشر شده نگارنده/پژوهشگر در مجلات خارجی، همایشها و مجلاتی که با مگیران همکاری ندارند در این فهرست نیامدهاست.
- اسامی نویسندگان همکار در صورت عضویت در مگیران و تایید مقالات نمایش داده می شود.