A reliability growth model for a launch vehicle with its requirements

In this paper, reliability growth concepts and modeling methods have been studied and a reliability growth model for launch vehicles has been proposed. Numerical example shows how we can obtain the model parameters. A method for calculating the initial launch vehicle reliability is suggested, also a method for estimating and validating of launch vehicle reliability in various number of launches with number of successes based on binomial distribution has been proposed. Results show after 10 successful launches we can conclude that launch vehicle reliability is between 0.741 and 1.