Fore Precipitation and Temperature Regime of The Atmospheric General Circulation Models of Khuzest

Author(s):
Abstract:
Atmospheric general circulation models, due to the large scale of their computing networks, able to predict the parameters of water and weather are not the point scale, So scientists interface tool called the Weather Generator model was developed that can based on the use of cholera numerical model output, the climate change Vaystgah point scale meteorological study and evaluation contract. GCM outputs used in this study, data from the model ECHO-G is under the A1 scenario. and the results on the eight synoptic stations including Khuzestan, Abadan, Ahvaz, Bostan, Dezful, Masjed Soleiman, Omidiyeh, and Ramhormoz was Safi-Abad . The results of comparing the values of the 2005-1986 monitoring compliance Vmdl significant and suggests that the ability of climate models to simulate data. Model output was determined by examining the area of study is very different responses to climate change0 Values and monitor the results of modeling three arguments, minimum temperature and maximum monthly temperature show that the greatest increase in minimum temperature in Abadan station 18.8 ° C, maximum temperature reduction station Hdaksrdr Bostan -1.8 ° C, Most rainfall Ramhormoz station with 1.03 mm in the period 2010-2029 has been statistically. The results also suggest that the greatest change in Nsrbarsh in Srasrmntqh studies. A total of eight stations studied, with annual rainfall will increase with decreasing temperature .
Language:
Persian
Published:
Journal of Physical Geography, Volume:6 Issue: 19, 2013
Page:
59
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