Cabinet political changes and its effects on the instability of economic growth in Iran

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Article Type:
Research/Original Article (دارای رتبه معتبر)
Abstract:

The main purpose of this study is to examine the political developments of the Cabinet and its effects on the instability of economic growth in Iran from 1968 to 2012. In this regard, Iran's economic structure was divided into two oil and non-oil parts. Using the concept of Engle Granger co-integration, the effects of political risk, Cabinet change (basis, development, and reform and justice governments), and labor, capital stock and export variables are evaluated on economic growth. Oil sector Results showed that the reform government has performed better than other government in the capital, labor and political risk. In oil exports, Studied Governments has also performed such as basic government. The results of the non-oil sector showed that the effect of exports on economic growth in the justice government is like the basic government, but in the development and reform governments is not. The effect of labor on economic growth is not meaningful, in the basic government; but in development, reforms and justice developments are positive and meaningful. Political risk in the reform government (compared to other governments) has had the greatest impact on economic growth.

Language:
Persian
Published:
Quarterly Journal of The Macro and Strategic Policies, Volume:7 Issue: 28, 2020
Pages:
96 to 117
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