Evaluation of the physical resilience of the central fabric of cities against accidents (Case study: District 8 of Shiraz)

The mission of this article is to evaluate the physical resilience of the texture of District 8 of Shiraz. This area includes the primary core of Shiraz city and besides historical buildings that have cultural heritage value. Most of this area is residential and has a population of 35,727. The method of this research is descriptive - analytical and based on spatial data related to buildings in this area. The indicators used in this research are the index of building age, building quality, building skeleton, number of building floors, building area and building facade materials. The models used in this research include spatial regression model to discover the pattern trend that has been done using Geoda software; And Moran’s I model is used to discover the spatial pattern (clustered, random, scattered) of physical resorption in the region, and Moran’s local insulin model is used to observe clusters formed in Arc Gis software . The results showed that out of a total of 12717 units of buildings in this area, 2371 units equivalent to 18 .6 % are in good condition; And 3587 units equal to 28 .20 % are in unfavorable condition and 6759 units equivalent to 53 .14% are in average condition. In general, most of the texture of District 8 of Shiraz is in non - resilient and moderate resilient clusters. Which are prone to many casualties and financial losses in the event of an accident; Therefore, they need to act quickly in order to make a comparison